WoodsmanVol
It takes wisdom to understand wisdom.
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Comparing our situation to the one at USC is apples and oranges. These kids know they are not commiting to a preseason #1. They know there is work to be done. I think they will want to see improvement in attitude and scheme more than they will look at wins and losses. Just my two cents. Obviously I don't know any of them personally, but that seems to be a theme in interviews.
I think the class of 2014 sees themselves as a completely new era at UT. Doesn't matter what the classes of 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2013 do on the field this year.
And if we sign a full class and everyone makes it in, the 2014 class will make up more than 1/3 of the roster.
I don't think there's a magic number. I think it's more about progression, and players being better than they were last year.
I don't either. (Short of just really throwing out a 2 or 3 win season)
Some recruits will stick no matter what. Some may get swayed other directions if UT falls on their face and Jones loses his team.
While I see it being minimal if they slip up and look bad, he can gain more than he can lose with a good showing and clear progression.
Doesnt matter.
Kids are not commiting based on this year's results
Doesnt matter.
Kids are not commiting based on this year's results
I agree in part, and disagree in part. I don't think the recruits are going into their commitments thinking, "Well, if they don't go to a bowl game, I'm not going to that school."
However, in that same token, there's probably an idea of, I'm committed 100% to "what I've been told." If this team and these coaches go out there and lost 8 or 9 games, it wouldn't surprise me in the least to see some guys start to take serious looks elsewhere. I don't think this would happen with the in-state guys, as Tennessee is more than just a sales pitch to them, but the guys out of state who committed more to the coaching staff than the school, I wouldn't be shocked if they started fielding some other offers.
Now, to cover all bases, I think the scenario I outlined is HIGHLY unlikely, but it's a little ridiculous to say that Tennessee's not been recruiting well the few years pre-Butch, aka the Dooley era, because of our performance on the field. That would be like saying Alabama recruiting well has nothing to do with them winning national championships. It's just not true.
To answer the OP's question, I think if he wins 5 games, but comes REALLY close to Fla/Oregon/Georgia and hangs with Bama for at least 3 quarters, this class stays together. In that same regard, if we get blown out by 3 of Fla/Oregon/Georgia/Bama, he is going to need 6 wins (including bowl game appearance) in my opinion. I think someone mentioned it earlier in this thread, but the biggest thing that will keep kids around is a sense of progress. W/L record means absolutely nothing in a rebuilding phase. If this team beats who they're SUPPOSED to beat and hangs with a big team or two, we will be gaining momentum, Ole Miss last year style.
I don't understand.....We all agree that Dooley is a bad or arguably mediocre coach.
If Dooley went 6-6 in regular season his first year, and Butch is such a great coach. Why are we saying 5 or 6 games. Dooley could and did that.
And don't give me that, "Dooley had more talent his first year", it's been proven that Butch has the same if not better talent then Dooley his first year.
No it hasn't been proven. The Dooley supporters just say that. Inherited talent was in Dooley's favor.