since you're making the analogy, I'll say that animals in the wild often lie low because they're scared.
The lion respects the water buffalo... but the pride isn't scared because they know they can rely on each other.
Much of my confidence comes from comparing things out of both camps. UF fans, players, and coaches are talking alot more about this guys talent or that guys speed, yada, yada, yada.
UT is showing the signs of being a "team". Not just guys on the same roster but guys ready to crawl into a foxhole together with artillery landing all around.
But that isn't to say they don't have individual talent. They do on the same level as UF.
20% sure of it not being close...in UT's favor? There's a reason why the great majority of objective prognosticators are favoring us to win - because so far we've shown to be the better team.
Actually there are three reasons that I can think of that are having a tremendous impact that have absolutely nothing to do with UF being the better team.
One, Meyer's charisma. He like Carroll is "pretty" on tv. He's flashy. Fulmer is not and Cut's return to K'ville while now raising some eyebrows was hardly a glamour hire.
Two, the stigma of 5-6 is still lingering. The Vols haven't been forgiven by the "prognosticators" for last year. They are still waiting for the wheels to fly off again so they can be proven right about their pre-season blather. I'd ask you to remember that almost all the "prognosticators" said that Cal was much better than UT. At least the same percentage that now predict Meyer will go to Neyland for coronation were only 3 weeks ago predicting the same for Tedford.
Three, the "prognosticators" look at scores and highlights. Few do any kind of indepth analysis of their own. The ones who claim to do factual analysis are so full of holes it isn't even funny. Terry Bowden was singing the praises of Cal and talking about the long road back for UT. He cited last year's performances as proof without even taking the next level look at Cal's competition.
The prognosticators haven't looked at UF's and UT's respective opponents in any depth. They've just read the box scores and rosters... and maybe are blinded a little by that "new car shine" of Meyer.
The "we played tougher teams" angle doesn't really hold water.
Yes it does. Both of the teams played by UT would beat the teams you've played as bad as you did. Both of those schools have respectable programs but both cycle up and down. Neither is on the upswing this year.
You know darn well if UF were to play the same game against Cal, you'd say it was because the PAC-10 is weak, which it pretty much is.
You haven't heard me say that. I've lived all over the country. I've lived Pac10, ACC, SEC, Big10, and now Big12 "country". Football isn't the same but for every argument you could make about the Pac10 being weak, they'll counter with stats and game results.
Cal, SC, UCLA, ASU, and Oregon are all good programs with good prospects for this year.
They are slow and they can't tackle, or at least not on that day they didn't.
See. That seems to be the automatic doesn't it? UT thumped them and made them look slow so they must be slow and weak.
They didn't have alot of trouble tackling against Minnesota. They have speed. I think people just assume Cal's DB's were poor tacklers rather than giving a 6'3", 210 (and now much stronger) Meachem credit for running through their tackles.
UCF is no great team, but they're DI and went to a bowl game and we had 400yds of off in the first half, 600+ total, all with a -4 TO margin for the game. hat's why you should be scared.
Cal's defense is alot closer to UF's than UCF's is to UT's... and UT put 500+ on them in what amounted to about 2.5 quarters.
For that matter, Cal would probably put 600+ on UCF. They put 500+ on a decent Big10 defense last week and took a big step toward validating UT's win against them as a "quality win".
Well, that and Percy Harvin. That kid is sick, and if you're an opposing fan you are not looking forward to playing against him for the next 3 years.
He sounds like a very good player... and will line up with and against a whole bunch of other very good players on Saturday. He's going to find the athletes he plays this Saturday on a different level from the ones he's faced the last two weeks.
UCF and AFA are comparible teams in most observers' eyes, and the difference in the results from our game vs your game says a lot.
Name that observer.
UCF beat 1AA Villanova the first week. 'Nova outgained them by 18 and threw 22-32 for 231. The following week Lehigh (you know the mighty Mountain Hawks) beat 'Nova while rolling up 426 yards of offense.
Interpretation: At least two 1AA schools are better offensively than UCF. Sorry. I'm not impressed.
Air Force would run them off the field at least as bad as UF did.
Neyland has lost a little (or a lot maybe) luster, much like the Swamp. I do believe we're on our way back to being a dominant home team, if we're not already - 8 in a row last 2 yrs - not spectacular but light years ahead of that Zook fiasco.
The Zook "fiasco" may have been more pronounced but it was no more detrimental than the Sanders "fiasco".
Having said all that, I hope the game is well played, refs don't play a hand on either side and all players stay relatively healthy. If those things happen I think we win, maybe by 14+.
I think either team could win big. If the breaks fall one way or the other, you can never tell. Talent wise, UF is not 14+ better than UF nor is UT that much better than UT.
My prediction of the margin is based on two things. The overconfidence being shown by UF and the teamsmanship of the Vol players. They are tight and when it comes to big games that means alot. UF sounds a whole lot more like a bunch of individuals... and Meyer strikes me as a Prima Donna who is totally impressed with himself.