dreVol
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Again, not true. Let's go step-by-step:
1. You can see down the line that the official marked (thanks in part to it being notably behind the play). You can see that the ball isn't there.
So, immediately there is indisputable video evidence the overturn the call on the field. But, accepting that fact, where should the ball be spotted?
2. Carta-Samuels maintained possession throughout the play. He went into the pile with the ball, and came out of the pile with the ball.
3. Carta-Samuels' arms are bent, so the ball cannot have been lower than his waist.
4. Carta-Samuels' waist is clearly beyond the first down marker. So if the ball isn't below his waist, then the ball has to be past the first down marker.
The rules regarding replay only state that there needs to be indisputable visual evidence to overturn the call on the field. While the rulebook makes a spot reviewable, it does not give any instruction as to what to do when the original spot can be overturned, but the correct spot can't be determined. Seems like a major oversight, but it's an oversight encoded in the rulebook.
You may argue that if the correct spot can't be determined, then it should go back to the original spot even though that spot was indisputably determined to be incorrect. But the rulebook does not mandate that.
Your conclusion to point 1 begs the question. There is no video evidence that the spot was behind the play, because there is an absence of evidence. You can't conclude that the spot was wrong and advance to points 2-4 without establishing the ball's position on the field. If you can't establish the ball's position with replay video, then you must defer to the ruling on the field. Otherwise the rule can be summarized as follows: "Well, we can't really tell where the ball should be spotted, but we're pretty sure the spot is wrong, so we'll just put the ball at the X yard line because that's the fair thing to do."
For all we know, the official determined forward progress was stopped where he marked the ball. If that's the case, the angle of ACS's arm bend becomes irrelevant.