TennTradition
Defended.
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Ok that makes me think of something, is there some statistical way to cut the numbers?
We have to do multiple tests if positive. First one you find out you are positive and then assumidely you have to get a second to prove you arent positive.
That one person could easily count as 2, with some counting as 3, 4, 5 etc if they keep testing positive.
Seems like there is an argument that we are pretty heavily double dipping our numbers. Granted not everyone's second test comes back positive, but it seems like we should be able to calculate a "law of increasing (vs diminishing) returns" based on recovery rates, right?
I dont think we are full on double counting, but I could easily believe some math if it showed that the increasing returns accounts for ~25% of the total cases.
It helps with the total infected but would hurt us on mortality rate.
Has anyone seen some numbers on this? @TennTradition
Maybe not specifically for Covid, but some type of rule of thumb to adjust for double/triple counting?
EthicalSkeptic is saying that 25% is the real case rise in the 10 hot spots - supported by 33% increase in hospitalization rates. But, I'm not sure about that.
As for how positives are counted, it completely depends on the state and possibly even the labs. It shouldn't be this difficult, but it is.
I do know that Tennessee no longer counts people who re-test positive during recovery as another case. That positive test is reported separately and new cases are used to calculate percent positives when looking at testing.