GUNTERSVOL
VOL FROM BIRTH
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- Dec 30, 2017
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Because what happens when a player gets to the NFL has no bearing on collegiate success or potential. Completely different leagues and coaches. The NFL doesn’t expose anything at the college level. That’s insane. There is a DIRECT correlation between the amount of blue chip recruits you have and success rate in college. Let’s take an example from the SECE. Kentucky.
Mark Stoops, imo, is a top 5 coach in the SEC. Does he win at a high level? No. Why? He just doesn’t get the blue chip recruits. Who does? Saban and Smart. Who wins at the highest level year in and year out? Saban and Smart.
You can try and argue that all you want but if you do, show me the evidence at the COLLEGE level. Not the irrelevant NFL. Show me the team that goes to the playoffs routinely, wins conference and national championships, routinely that have roster not chocked full of blue chip recruits.
Services are services, they assign stars, do a pretty good job considering the number of players they have to assess and the fact that they mature at different rates and get very different coaching and training assistance. So yes, a kid rated a 5 star has a higher probability of success than a 4 star and down the line, BUT BUT BUT, that does not justify anyone ASSUMING that a player is PROPERLY rated and make value judgements about his POTENTIAL to be productive at the college or pro level.
Stoops is a good example of evaluating and signing enough of the upper echelon lower star groups and closing ground on those with higher rated classes. How many upper level SEC players has he uncovered on his ascent up the conference standings? He is finding misses, not creating the talent. Even then you might have to invest more time in a player to get them there.
Bottom line stars can be used to calculate probabilities a group of players can help you, not as a ceiling on any single players potential. Late bloomers and misused and under coached guys exist and can be found in camps when they are in drills side by side with higher rated guys, and we need to wait and see if the staff was simply ahead of the services and if these kids climb up the ladder with their senior performances before we celebrate or trash them. Sometimes you are lucky, sometimes you are good, and sometimes you are not. The number of times you are right gates your progress till you can reduce your three star percentages in your classes. Beat the odds and life can get good faster. Ability is ability, drive is drive, and attitude is attitude and that is hard to measure en mass with 17 year olds and their highlight reels. Size and speed is easy, the rest not so much.