Top 5 recruiting classes since '02
02': Texas, Tennessee, Georgia, FSU, and OSU
03': LSU, UF, USC, OU, and Miami
04': USC, LSU, FSU, Miami, and Michigan
05': USC, FSU, OU, Tennessee, and Nebraska
06': USC, UF, FSU, UGA, and Texas
07': UF, USC, Tennessee, LSU, and Texas
08: Alabama, ND, UF, OSU, and Miami
09': Alabama, LSU, OSU, USC and Texas
Past Champions since 03'
03' LSU
04' USC
05' Texas
06' Florida
07' LSU
08' Florida
09' Alabama or Texas
Ok so based on all those recruiting classes 14 teams are represented total. Five of which have won Natl. Championships since 03' giving you a 36% success rate of winning a championship every year if you recruit consistently. That means 64% (the majority) factor into what the athlete learns and coaching up the athletes. I'm going to out on the limb and say that of all the national champs I just listed all had coaches that are known to coach up talent and not waste it (except for Les Miles) his championship was because he got lucky with someone else's talent.
If you want to factor in talent alone then why havent FSU or Tennessee won a national championship since 03'. FSU especially, survey says.... Coaching!