I believe ND to be one of the teams most likely to get back to the FF and have one of the highest probabilities if not he highest of hoisting up that trophy again. However, Mabrey's fatigue or being tired at the end of the games won't change that's been something that's plagued her her entire career since Muffet asked her to do more ball handling whether she was coming back from injury or not. I don't see that changing for her. She will have help coming though and she is still a bomber and a competitor. Turner is always going to get blown by on the baseline by Collier or anyone from that distance for that matter. UConn played 5 out a good bit because they knew Shepard and Turner (even if she was back in game shape) aren't perimeter defenders but they can certainly hold their own in the paint. That wasn't a fitness issue that was just a good scout and familiarity w/ playing them numerous times. I will admit, with them starting all highly recruited upperclassmen who have been in the system for a while having to work so hard on defense seems a little strange for them but they will figure it out. It's not like she had a bunch of rookies out there. They all know what to do and it was only game 7.
Your statement "I don't see much room for improvement for UConn" strikes me as odd because of what I just mentioned. Notre Dame put 4 seniors and junior on the floor from a championship winning team (Yes Turner is freshly back but knows the system well and she's been a part of tourney run teams before) and you see them improving but you don't see a UConn team with a highly rated freshman and sophomore in the starting line up improving?
As far as playing big minutes, 6 players is old hat for them (both teams actually). They are used that. Muffett even usually only goes as far as 6 to 8 in big games. How many players did it take Muffet to win her last ship or Geno? Just the way it is. I think Miss St played more players in a championship game than I have seen in a while.
Again, I don't understand the ceiling statement based on only playing 7 games so far and having 2 underclassmen in their starting line up. I personally haven't seen enough to say this is as good as they are going to get. I would certainly hope everyone who isn't a senior improves and even the seniors have things they would like to achieve still, so the logic that ND will get better but UCONN is reaching a ceiling doesn't pan out for me. I haven't watched a season (and I watch the entire season every year) where a team has gone from December to April and not gotten better. That's extremely rare for a perennial top team in WCBB because most of the top teams have brought in a high level athlete that year or the year before. Even with bad coaching it generally is going to happen anyway.
Figuring out UCONN is simple. Dawn Staley said it best a couple of years ago before that 1 vs 2 match up when South Carolina was rated number one and was going into Gampel for the first time. It went about the same way the ND game went, although South Carolina bowed out much quicker. She said in a video interview and I'm paraphrasing here: You know what UCONN is going to do, the problem is nobody seems to be able to stop them from doing it. That is exactly it. They aren't a mystery. In fact they're the most predictable team in WCBB, (Other than a JPM lead Duke team not guarding the 3 point line) when it comes to what to expect when you play them. They are just so efficient and most schools lack the combination of talent, coaching, strategy, and effort for 40 minutes to be able to overcome what UCONN does. Even with that being said and some people finally figuring them out they haven't lost a game in regulation since 2013. Of their last 5 losses (which I had to go back to the 2012-13 season to get 5 total losses) 4 of those losses have come in OT. The one non-OT loss was to ND in March 2013. So for figuring them out, the on thing people have learned that I would say is
new information, is that if you stay with them for 40 minutes and give yourself a chance in the final seconds you have significantly higher chance of beating them in a 50 minute game as opposed to a 40 minute game.
As far as physicality, that is stylized. That is not tourney specific. It is all about match ups. UCONN and Notre Dame aren't physical teams period, that's not their style. They simply aren't going to foul or shove you around a ton. That type of game produces stoppages in play. Stoppages in play hurt offense and neither team wants that. You know when you play a B12 or SEC team it is going to be physical, however the other P5 conferences aren't particularly physical either. It really is mainly those 2 conferences. Now Miss St, they are certainly physical but beyond that they are a very good defensive team and they take pride in that.
The ACC may have hurt recruiting Haley Jones. I can't say that I saw her quotes about comparing the AAC to the PAC12 so I will take your word on that. I did see her quotes about Stanford being more about academics and that being important to her after these 4 years and the diversity of the campus. "This is more than a four-year decision," Jones said. "The degree means so much, going to Stanford. Having diversity is really important for personal growth," Jones said. "You get to hear all of these different perspectives on important issues discussed in college. It's such an amazing opportunity to be immersed in this community." -http://
www.espn.com/espnw/sports/article/25394513/no-1-recruit-haley-jones-signs-stanford
The odd thing about the AAC depending on the time of the year opposing fans seem to flip flop on what it does for UCONN. In the summer and fall the AAC according to opposing fans hurts UCONN because of recruiting unless they get who they want and then it's "UCONN gets all the best players", then come spring it's the AAC helps UCONN because they are more rested (completely ignoring the fact that even if you made it to your conference title game and got a tourney bid you'd have a full two weeks off before the NCAAs,
again that's if you even made it that far in your conference tourney, if not you have more time than that and ignoring the fact the UCONN players don't loaf on the court, that's kind of their signature, they play the bad teams just as hard as the good ones, that's why their stats don't waiver). People can't make up their minds on that.
In reference to the last couple years, I was at the FF, and I saw my team lose in OT to a buzzer beater
TWICE. What is the probability of that happening back to back? I respect your opinion but I would suggest that maybe it's not the
"what" that is boring you and may it's the
"who". Regardless of my disappointment in the outcome that was some exciting ass basketball, then again I am a fan of the sport overall not just my team. It would be exciting to me no matter who was there. Honestly, the most competitive games I had seen in weeks by the time the end of March had come because all of the top teams steamroll through up until those last couple days. Last year in particular I felt like any of the 4 could have won it. That's what you want that time of year, parity, right? I'm gonna go out on limb and say had Tennessee been in position with seconds left to get back to a championship game you would have been on the edge of your seat. So hopefully you don't mind me challenging that opinion a bit.
Either way I like the conversation started and I am eager to see Oregon in their big game coming up and a few others before conference play starts.