We are not winning anything meaningful this year so give up on the scenarios for making Atlanta. Georgia is pretty much a lock now.
However, Tennessee could still win 8 or 9 games and make a Bowl Game. Then if they win the bowl game, that is a 9/10 win season. I would call that a success.
Unfortunately, we are not a top program. We always have superior SEC programs in front of us. Even in the 1990s, we got punked every year by Florida even though we had left Alabama behind that decade. Then after Florida fell off, it was Alabama (or Alabama, Florida, and Georgia). Now it is Georgia in the way.
Tennessee just can't get elite and go on runs like Alabama did, Georgia now, or Florida under Urban Meyer. We are not that good of a program.