n_huffhines
What's it gonna cost?
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Romney gained among independent voters, with a three point 48%-45% margin last week expanding to 52%-42% advantage now.
So how does Romney's one-point bounce measure up in the history books?
"It's pretty standard for all conventions conducted since 2000. Twice during that period, candidates got a two-point bounce; twice in that same time, candidates got no bounce at all. So Romney's one-point bounce is right in the middle of the range that political junkies have come to expect in the 21st century," said Holland
The convention did affect how voters view Romney. He went from a 46%-49% deficit on being a strong and decisive leader to a 48%-43% advantage. On the question of having a vision for the country's future, he went from a three-point deficit to a four-point edge.
What the Republican National Committee did to Ron Paul was the height of rudeness and stupidity for this reason: Why would you alienate an individual who has the ability to attract a new generation of voters, who are already skeptical of your institution but are willing to at least listen through the vehicle of this individual and the words that he is saying? Why would you alienate them, get on the floor and not let them speak? Not have his name go up on the board and see the number of electoral votes that he receives? This is crazy! - Michael Steele
Gary Johnson has zero chance of being elected.
Correct
The polls do not show a bounce from the GOP convention.
As of yesterday afternoon Romney had gained 1.8% on Obama in the RCP poll which you posted the link to with Obama leading in 10 of their 12 battleground states.
Incorrect. You said he had no bounce from either Ryan or RNC, I gave you a link with a graph showing the exact opposite. The RCP battleground states is an average of polls taken over months. There are no new polls from battle ground states besides Rasmussen which shows him leading by 2% in 12 battle ground states
Why would you post a link to a poll then deny what the poll says?
The data is old, see above
You then go to another thread and post some underlying data frame an CNN poll that shows Romney gained within certain groups.
Correct. Pretty important underlining data, like POTUS approval ratings well below 50% and Independent voters liking Romney 52% vs Obama 42% and 7 point gains with Women
1.8% gain in the week following the convention is not a bounce.
Incorrect, especially when you look into the data
It good to hear you have a homeowners association with more clout than Gary Johnson.
Several days later, as the harrumphing subsides and the American zeitgeist has its way, it turns out that Eastwood was brilliant in a Garry Trudeau-ian way.
We get that you dont like Romney, but the data shows its very clear that the campaign has changed
Clint Eastwoods speech, reexamined
Romney is like Al Gore , losing his home state.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MI_9312.pdf
September 3, 2012
PPP's first likely voters poll in Michigan this year finds Barack Obama with a solid lead in the state, 51-44.
Michigan voters just don't embrace Romney. Only 45% have a favorable opinion of him to 49% with an unfavorable one. They don't accept Romney as one of
their own either- only 34% consider him to be a Michigander to 57% who do not.
My new favorite is hypocrisy hypocrites. Personally I think the hypocrisy charge is so overdone since everyone is hypocritical about something.
So when I see people endlessly pointing out the hypocrisy of the other side while willfully ignoring the hypocrisy of their own side they are being hypocrisy hypocrites.