The HearForGrumors Manifesto on the Great Gruden Conspiracy of 2017
It is true what they say, "No one does a coach search like Tennessee."
I've decided to name a portion of the ongoing shenangians the "Great Gruden Conspiracy of 2017" (GGC). There is so many moving parts, players, and contradictory facts it is absolutely insane. Here are my views on the major players and the conspiracy, take them as you like.
I am split on the VolNation crowd. Half are brilliant, kind, inquisitive and generous types. The other half can only be explained as troglodytes (intentionally ignorant, in case you didn't bother to define that word).
To start, let's clear some low hanging fruit.
On Atlanta VOL:
This guy is legit. Here's a fact that should solidify his legitimacy. Yesterday evening, he called the AD and had tickets reserved for a stranger in minutes. Any of us outsiders would still be on hold in the amount of time it took for him to resolve the issue. He has dozens of tickets to every home game. He is assuredly in upper management for a business that owns 5 airplanes (that is nuts).
I don't believe he is involved in the GGC. However, I do very much believe he is involved, in some capacity, in the coaching hire. Anecdotally, I remember back in OGT-XXII, or thereabouts, that a poster said something to the effect of, "Nobody is looking in Currie's eyes and hearing things from his mouth..." AV replied, "I do frequently look in his eyes. I meet with him...." The dude is connected to the program, deeply connected.
On the conspiracy itself:
I do believe there is an orchestrated effort underway to influence the fanbase, and by proxy the administration. I believe that the big money players saw the insanity of 2012, and realized how underutilized the fanbase was in influencing the coaching hire. As is frequently reported, we missed on Gruden last time because the AD, et al., couldn't get out of their own way.
In 2012, this site, and all the other TOS's, were full of insanity (much like today). Insiders, plane tracking, etc. Folks reading into every word that was posted. People looking to connect dots that may or may not even exist. I believe they realized that they could influence the hire relatively easily, and concocted the strategic plan that is being currently executed.
I won't speculate on the details, and I think it is irrelevant. Some folks with a lot of money and power got together and decided they would push hard on the administration. They had intimate knowledge of how the University functions, and what the interests were for all parties. I don't believe the conspiracy involves all the groups, and it may only be one group. That much is irrelevant.
Essentially, I believe the conspirators (the "think tank" and the backing money guys) figured out a way to leverage a variety of assets and interests on all sides. They brought more people to the table this time.
In my practice, I believe that, with limited exception, every time another stakeholder is added, the total value of any deal gets better. (Think the Stone Soup parable, except with only three people you have bone broth, carrots, and a rock.)
The fact that the AD, AA, boosters, major corporations, VC funds, etc. may be involved means that everyone is in a position to benefit. There are so many aligned interests among these groups its not even funny. The hard part is forcing them to take action.
Humans can be incredibly lazy and inefficient. The conspirators found a way to frame their interest (and a method of obtaining them) through the fractal of this coaching hire. It should not be understated, this is the most brilliant part of their plan (the call to action disguised as independent self interest)
Thus, I believe that Bubba, MIT, and likely some other recent posters conspired to play their game. I personally think its brilliant. I only wish I could have been a part of it; it sounds delightful.
On Bubba:
Bubba is the most cryptic and bizarre piece of this puzzle. (Two posts after 10 years of holding the account? For real!?) Never posts much more than a riddle or two. His mentions of VC firms, etc. are almost assuredly intended to bump us down a pathway. I believe his role is to widen the scope of our intellectual pursuits. He has astonishing credibility, which is funny, because his posts are the most far fetched and bizarre (Bitcoins, anyone).
He's here to appeal to the investigators among us. The SFD's, Hawks, Squints of the community. He's here to get us to the point we are at now. This community easily talks about Ergen, Dish, VC firms, the AA, the AD, Davenport, etc. like they are family members. None of that happens without Bubba leaving breadcrumbs for us to follow.
On the Beaver:
I believe the Beaver is legit. His role is to be the ring leader of this circus.
DISCLAIMER: IF YOU WEREN'T HERE FOR XX-XXVI, YOU DON'T KNOW WHAT YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT!
Part of the reason that many people have trouble believing the Beaver is that they weren't here in the beginning. That account had hundreds of posts wiped clean! The Mods went through and deleted his entire post history. So, there's lots of info that is no longer available.
It amuses me when some new guy strolls into thread 38 and declares the Beaver to be a troll based on what the guy has tweeted in the last week. The credibility gaining phase of his purpose ended weeks ago. He declared (before Halloween) that he would do nothing further to vet his credibility, and he hasn't since.
However, throughout this process he has been our Sherpa. He led us onto the path of Gruden very early, essentially establishing that the time was ripe. That Butch needed to go, that the boosters were prepared, and that Gruden was the target. Honestly, who knows how involved all the actors were, but the path he's led us down sure looks like it gets close to the summit.
Like it or not, the Beaver's been influential enough that even his choice of language has become the lexicon of the Grudenites. He has changed this search process, it is undeniable.
I personally believe he is the stalking horse for our whale hunt. His presence (and the others who associate with him) have provided insane data sets for anyone involved to use. Whether it be to show JC how valuable this hire would be, to demonstrate to the UT Administration how many people would not accept a mediocre hire, or to show JG how much love he really has here - the data from this experiment was useful to someone in the process.
TO those who attack Beaver's credibility:
(1) If you think that he had every comment scripted - you're wrong. He's just working towards an objective. He's fluid, and flexible. Judging him based on mistakes, choice of language, etc, is a huge mistake.
(2) Does he act particularly douchey? Well, yes. But, he is playing a caricature. His role is to be flamboyant, flashy, outrageous, etc. Without his "Bro-flavored" attitude, his comments wouldn't be as memorable. I bet in his personal interactions the tone is significantly dialed down. (I think his more recent posts reveal not only his natural tone, but his intellect).
(3) He doesn't use all the words of VC firm pitches? WHO CARES!!! He's speaking to a message board where likely < 50% of readers have a college degree and <5% even knew what a VC firm does. He wouldn't need to use all the terms precisely, he just needs to get us acquainted with the possible ways that stakeholders can benefit.
(4) He's been vetted by AV - sufficient to note that he is not a kid in his parents basement. That's satisfactory to get past the threshold of credibility.
(5) "Done Deal" was always mentioned and justified with a game theory approach. The confidence comes from knowledge of the interests and values of all sides involved. If you know what the boundaries are, figuring out a range of acceptance for all parties isn't too difficult.
(6) "These guys don't miss." The people who really put together big deals like this do enough back ground research to ensure that the offer they put together is within the tolerances of all parties. When you reach a hurdle, you find a solution, or you abort the project. The fact that we are where we are means that either (a) they accounted for any potential hurdle and/or (b) no unexpected hurdles appeared. Ultimately, it's a easy statement to justify.
On the "Others":
I don't know that there are too many other individuals actively involved in the conspiracy at VN. However, I do believe that there are lots of different accounts that may be involved. Perhaps, MIT of Bubba's main account is involved to some extent?
The ups, and downs, feel bizarrely coordinated. I see no value in knowing why, because there are numerous equally likely potentials. (1) They want to show the despair of people thinking that JG isn't coming (to persuade). (2) they are assisting in controlling the reveal (3) they are manipulating the data for another purpose...
I just feel strongly that the value of having additional points of influence is too high (pivot points) when compared to the cost of development (making another account and waiting for Freak to approve). To the extent that a substantial amount of effort has been put in, they would take the minimal extra step to magnify their effectiveness. It would be like walking 5 miles for $20, but refusing to go another 100 yards for an additional $20.
Conclusion:
I personally believe the smoke. I believe those who have come and said we got our guy. I believe we got the white whale. I believe we have been playing secret agent since then. I believe that we are coming down the homestretch on the finest horse the world will ever know.
Have we all been trolled? MAYBE!!! But, if you don't see the mystery and intentionality you either lack the intelligence to see the pattern or you lack the effort to discover the clues.
It's a profound amount of effort and coordination. And, maybe it's all make believe. All I know is there is enough meat on those bones to sate my skepticism. There's enough justifications to continue believing. And finally, it's been a whole lot more enjoyable than watching our boys on the field most Saturdays this season.
EDIT: PLEASE DO NOT QUOTE THIS WHOLE THING! It'll kill the usefulness of the pages.