Volman09 said:
For those of you that think stars don't matter, you are dead wrong. I would reccomend you read this article. It is a lengthy read, but well worth your time. It goes in detail exactly how much stars matter...
It went into detail, but it's useless detail that uses skewed statistics to support his article.
Yes, in '08, there was a correlation to star ranking and draft picks. But, the writer only wrote about the first 3 RD's (99 players). The Draft has 7 RD's (252 players). A player can be a great college player and be selected past the 3rd RD. D.J. Hall and Jonathan Hefney went undrafted, yet were very productive collegiate players.
Besides, the scouting services didn't even get 50% of their 5* recruits correctly in compliance with draft position. Out of only 30 players, they only get 12 of their best ranked players to go in the first 3 RD's? That's terribly inaccurate for such a small sample space.
The only thing those percentages did was compare the sample spaces of the 5*'s compared to the 4* and 3*'s. Take this: Even if the recruiting services only get 1 of their 5* recruits correctly in compliance with draft position, then that means that a 5* player has a 4% chance of getting drafted. Thats a better percentage than the 29 drafted 3*'s got, which was 3.6%. Thats only 1 player out of 99!
Anyone who has taken high school level statistics knows that you can take any data and skew it so that it supports your argument, especially when you yourself have done the calculations and presented them. Yes, this guy is telling the truth, but it's out of context.
Besides, this is talking about the chances of a player being drafted early. That's great for bragging rights, but doesn't correlate to the field. Common sense tells us that the higher the player is drafted, then the team he came from benefited more from his play than other players. But, as I mentioned before with Hefney and Hall, good players go undrafted regularly. Hefney had 96 tackles, 6 pass breakups, and 1 INT. Kenny Phillips, a 1st RD pick, had 82 tackles, 5 pass breakups, and 2 INT's. Hefney had better production than Phillips, yet went undrafted while Phillips went in the 1st RD.
The only thing star rankings do is give a player a head start on national recognition. Julio Jones and Da'Quan Bowers are already on people's radars, as opposed to the countless other players who must now make their names through their collegiate performance as opposed to high school performance.
