Playoff Projections

[The_topis_Rocky89]

Playoff projections by media are pretty lame as they just go off current rankings. Here’s a different take. I didn’t study this hard but just based off what I’ve seen, can recall, and looking at schedules.

Top Four (Byes)
1. Ohio St (believe they beat Oregon in rematch)
2. Alabama (I know this is going to make some of you cringe but Bama has the best chances in a multi team tie to make the SEC title game). I also believe they have unlocked something with the realization Milroe is a dual threat QB not a pocket passer). They beat A&M in the SEC title game).
3. Miami (still control their destiny and will beat SMU in the ACC title game).
4. Colorado (Also control their destiny and squeak by BYU in Big 12 title game. BYU is further knocked after loss to Ariz St in Nov).

5 vs 12: Tennessee at Oregon (Since we’re dogs and for the sake of argument UGA gets by us but we still sneak in due to close loss. The iffy part is does 2 loss Tennessee get in over 1 loss Indiana? May depend on how bad OSU beats them and whether the committee can stomach six vs two SEC/Big 10 or if they have to have three to our five). It’s 50/50 here IMO but I think we come out one spot ahead of Indiana. If they are not ahead of us now there is no reason they should be ahead of us after losing to OSU).

6 vs 11: Texas A&M @ Notre Dame (Rematch: Irish jump Penn St on SOS. A&M is here because they beat Texas in last game but lose in the SEC title game).

7 vs 10: UGA @ Ole Miss (Rematch)

8 vs 9 Boise @ Texas (After all this chaos above Boise will not be the 12).

Thoughts? I know you got em.

Of course we do bc money talks and ******** walks. Indiana’s fan base is no where near the size of Tennessee’s imagine how many UT fans flat out don’t watch the playoff if we feel screwed out of a spot. Not only that people know UT travels well

 

[UT97Vol]

I like how you think ... but frankly you need to wake up from dream land ... SEC having 5 teams in the playoff ... no chance. ABSOLUTELY NONE!

If - big if - A&M beats Texas and UGA beats us it’s going to be very difficult for the committee to not have six SEC teams in the top 12. Currently five and A&M is on the fringe. A loss on the road to A&M shouldn’t knock the Longhorns out. They are going to have some hard decisions in this scenario.

 

[HuntlandVolinColo]

Playoff projections by media are pretty lame as they just go off current rankings. Here’s a different take. I didn’t study this hard but just based off what I’ve seen, can recall, and looking at schedules.

Top Four (Byes)
1. Ohio St (believe they beat Oregon in rematch)
2. Alabama (I know this is going to make some of you cringe but Bama has the best chances in a multi team tie to make the SEC title game). I also believe they have unlocked something with the realization Milroe is a dual threat QB not a pocket passer). They beat A&M in the SEC title game).
3. Miami (still control their destiny and will beat SMU in the ACC title game).
4. Colorado (Also control their destiny and squeak by BYU in Big 12 title game. BYU is further knocked after loss to Ariz St in Nov).

5 vs 12: Tennessee at Oregon (Since we’re dogs and for the sake of argument UGA gets by us but we still sneak in due to close loss. The iffy part is does 2 loss Tennessee get in over 1 loss Indiana? May depend on how bad OSU beats them and whether the committee can stomach six vs two SEC/Big 10 or if they have to have three to our five). It’s 50/50 here IMO but I think we come out one spot ahead of Indiana. If they are not ahead of us now there is no reason they should be ahead of us after losing to OSU).

6 vs 11: Texas A&M @ Notre Dame (Rematch: Irish jump Penn St on SOS. A&M is here because they beat Texas in last game but lose in the SEC title game).

7 vs 10: UGA @ Ole Miss (Rematch)

8 vs 9 Boise @ Texas (After all this chaos above Boise will not be the 12).

Thoughts? I know you got em.

First off Oregon will beat OSU 8/10: I give Indiana a 50/50 to give OSU a second loss, I give Mich a 33% chance to take down OSU rival.
BYU will destroy Colorado
SMU by 10 over Miami
Penn State has no offense, good defense
I think we pull off the upset this week at Athens as well.

 

[Sarms58]

I wonder if they write an article for each fan base? This one definitely makes the Volnation happy

 

[BradentonVol]

Wow! They don’t give thee Vols a chance…

A lot has changed since this article was written, Ga. and Miami lost so, I am sure that changed things up a bit.

 

[RDU VOL#14]

Pate knows what’s up

 

[ADPHILLIPS]

Playoff projections by media are pretty lame as they just go off current rankings. Here’s a different take. I didn’t study this hard but just based off what I’ve seen, can recall, and looking at schedules.

Top Four (Byes)
1. Ohio St (believe they beat Oregon in rematch)
2. Alabama (I know this is going to make some of you cringe but Bama has the best chances in a multi team tie to make the SEC title game). I also believe they have unlocked something with the realization Milroe is a dual threat QB not a pocket passer). They beat A&M in the SEC title game).
3. Miami (still control their destiny and will beat SMU in the ACC title game).
4. Colorado (Also control their destiny and squeak by BYU in Big 12 title game. BYU is further knocked after loss to Ariz St in Nov).

5 vs 12: Tennessee at Oregon (Since we’re dogs and for the sake of argument UGA gets by us but we still sneak in due to close loss. The iffy part is does 2 loss Tennessee get in over 1 loss Indiana? May depend on how bad OSU beats them and whether the committee can stomach six vs two SEC/Big 10 or if they have to have three to our five). It’s 50/50 here IMO but I think we come out one spot ahead of Indiana. If they are not ahead of us now there is no reason they should be ahead of us after losing to OSU).

6 vs 11: Texas A&M @ Notre Dame (Rematch: Irish jump Penn St on SOS. A&M is here because they beat Texas in last game but lose in the SEC title game).

7 vs 10: UGA @ Ole Miss (Rematch)

8 vs 9 Boise @ Texas (After all this chaos above Boise will not be the 12).

Thoughts? I know you got em.

Why is it assured that A and M get in the title game If UT beats GA?
They will each have only 1 SEC loss. Also, I think it might be best if we do not win the division. If we do and we lose to Texas or whoever then that will give us an extra game to play and we will just
get further beat up.

 

[jasonvol18]

I don't see the committe putting a 2 loss Tennessee team in the top 12. They seem focused on the Arkansas loss. Plus since a Heupel team isn't scoring 50+ per game, there is an attitude Tennessee isn't that good regardless of the record.

They absolutely would put us in there, unless GA blows us out. If we lose a close one we wouldn't drop far

 

[Power_Sweep_Vol]

Why is it assured that A and M get in the title game If UT beats GA?
They will each have only 1 SEC loss. Also, I think it might be best if we do not win the division. If we do and we lose to Texas or whoever then that will give us an extra game to play and we will just
get further beat up.

There are no divisions

 

[UT97Vol]

They absolutely would put us in there, unless GA blows us out. If we lose a close one we wouldn't drop far

This is where I am. Unless A&M beats Texas. The committee has already acknowledged they can’t punish the conference runner just because of the extra game. Longhorns lose to A&M and then it’s between us and Texas for the last spot. Hopefully we win out and remove all doubt.

 

[UT97Vol]

Updated OP. Keep in mind it’s worst case scenario for us that we lose to UGA and Texas A&M beats Texas (which I chose for this exercise because both teams have these rivalry games at home).

 

[WillisWG]

Tennessee Hosts Alabama in Latest Playoff Projections

Tennessee is inching closer to a potential berth in the College Football Playoff. The Vols just won their fourth game in a row by defeating Mississippi State 3

www.si.com

ESPN writers Kyle Bonagura and Mark Schlabach just released their latest bowl projections including the College Football Playoff matchups. Both writers have projected that Tennessee will be in the playoffs, and they also have projected the same opponent for the Vols. They both predict that Tennessee will face Alabama in a rematch of the Third Saturday in October rivalry that Tennessee already won earlier in the season. Bonagura predicts that Alabama will be the No. 10 seed and play No. 7 Tennessee, while Schlabach says the Tide will be the No. 9 seed and face No. 8 Tennessee. In either one of those scenarios, Tennessee would be the home team.

 

[bpalmer28]

 

[RDU VOL#14]

Tennessee Hosts Alabama in Latest Playoff Projections

Tennessee is inching closer to a potential berth in the College Football Playoff. The Vols just won their fourth game in a row by defeating Mississippi State 3

www.si.com

ESPN writers Kyle Bonagura and Mark Schlabach just released their latest bowl projections including the College Football Playoff matchups. Both writers have projected that Tennessee will be in the playoffs, and they also have projected the same opponent for the Vols. They both predict that Tennessee will face Alabama in a rematch of the Third Saturday in October rivalry that Tennessee already won earlier in the season. Bonagura predicts that Alabama will be the No. 10 seed and play No. 7 Tennessee, while Schlabach says the Tide will be the No. 9 seed and face No. 8 Tennessee. In either one of those scenarios, Tennessee would be the home team.

I’ll be very surprised if they put a rematch in the first round .

 

[Brave Volunteer]

Vols just need to win they last 3 games we are the #2 seed. Handle Business anything else can kick rocks.

Depends on the SEC championship game. Let's say we win out but lose to Texas in the SEC CG, I have to think we'll be punished for that. Not saying we wouldn't get in. But we won't be a 1 or 2 seed.

 

[RDU VOL#14]

 

[Vol4lif3]

It’s ******** cause why don’t they value loses Alabama lost three times

 

[Vol4lif3]

Texas didn’t even play nobody except Georgia and got beat almost got beat by Vanderbilt the committee needs to reward winning like some conferences don’t have a tough schedule at all
But could get in the playoffs it’s bullcrap

 

[temptn]

View attachment 696746

The only thing that is100% is that four big ten teams get in and Notre Dame.

 

[Orangeslide]

Tennessee controls their own destiny. Win out and the Vols are in, lose our fate goes into the hands of the committee, if so we may be kicking ourselves about the loss at Arkansas. This is the biggest game in college football this weekend and a huge game for Coach Josh. The media, Vegas, Georgia is playing an elimination game, they have not lost a home game since 2019 all point to a Georgia win Saturday night. Kirby in the past thrives in these games and he will have the Georgia crowd whipped into a frenzy. He is perceived as a big game coach, so can Josh slay the dragon? We shall see Saturday night, can we go in there in hostile environment and play well. Really hope the officials do not impact the game. Last time we played down there, it was simple we could not block them and they whipped us pretty good. A win Saturday night pushes the program into a status we’ve not been in a long time. We lose, the pacing the floor begins. There is a legit chance there could be 5 teams at 10-2 at the end of the season. All five are not getting in if that happens. I say Go Vols! Get the win between the hedges.