Predict the regular season record

What will Tennessee’s record be?

  • 25-6 or better

    Votes: 68 31.6%

  • 24-7

    Votes: 51 23.7%

  • 23-8

    Votes: 52 24.2%

  • 22-9

    Votes: 23 10.7%

  • 21-10

    Votes: 10 4.7%

  • 20-11

    Votes: 7 3.3%

  • 19-12 or worse

    Votes: 4 1.9%
  • Total voters
    215
#1
bleedingTNorange

bleedingTNorange

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#1
With the full schedule now released, what is your record prediction for the Vols…

11/6 vs. Tennessee Tech
11/10 @ Wisconsin
11/14 vs. Wofford
11/20 N Syracuse (Maui)
11/21 N Maui
11/22 N Maui
11/29 @ North Carolina
12/5 vs. George Mason
12/9 vs. Illinois
12/12 vs. Georgia Southern
12/16 N NC State
12/21 vs. Tarleton State
1/2 vs. Norfolk State
1/6 vs. Ole Miss
1/10 @ Mississippi State
1/13 @ Georgia
1/16 vs. Florida
1/20 vs. Alabama
1/27 @ Vanderbilt
1/30 vs. South Carolina
2/3 @ Kentucky
2/7 vs. LSU
2/10 @ Texas A&M
2/14 @ Arkansas
2/17 vs. Vanderbilt
2/20 @ Missouri
2/24 vs. Texas A&M
2/28 vs. Auburn
3/2 @ Alabama
3/6 @ South Carolina
3/9 vs. Kentucky
 
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#2
#2
At first glance (less than a minute), I'm going to say 25-6 (14-4), which seems crazy as I usually err on the side of conservative. I did that here, and still landed on only 6 losses, which seems incredible.
 
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#5
#5
cncchris33 said:
At first glance (less than a minute), I'm going to say 24-6 (14-4), which seems crazy as I usually err on the side of conservative. I did that here, and still landed on only 6 losses, which seems incredible.
Click to expand...
Guessing you’re expecting a great OOC showing to arrive at that number?
 
#7
#7
I don't know enough about all the opponents to call my shot here, but if Zeigler is back - I mean, back at full speed back - then Tennessee is gonna run out of room to store all the Ws they'll rake in this season.

So if Zeigler's back, 25 or more. If Zeigler's not back, then 24 or less.

For the record, I voted as if Zeigler is fully back.
 
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#13
#13
bleedingTNorange said:
Guessing you’re expecting a great OOC showing to arrive at that number?
Click to expand...
11-2...I think we may lose at UNC, and lose one in Maui. I could still see that being 10-3 without ZZ, perhaps, depending on what our draw in Maui ends up being. But, Wisconsin and Syracuse are down a bit. We get Illinois at home. NCSU isn't a world-beater. The rest should be wins.
 
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#14
#14
cncchris33 said:
My bad...25-6
Click to expand...
Gotcha…saw your 14-4 SEC spot, so 11-2 OOC that would leave, to me both of those seem best case scenario.

11/6 vs. Tennessee Tech…W
11/10 @ Wisconsin
11/14 vs. Wofford…W
11/20 N Syracuse (Maui)
11/21 N Maui
11/22 N Maui
11/29 @ North Carolina
12/5 vs. George Mason…W
12/9 vs. Illinois
12/12 vs. Georgia Southern…W
12/16 N NC State
12/21 vs. Tarleton State…W
1/2 vs. Norfolk State…W

So I would say 6 guaranteed wins, 7 if you count 1 in Maui because at the least you should beat Chaminade. So 7 wins with 6 “tossups” (varying degrees there), 3-3 is kinda what I was thinking in those 6, so 10-3 OOC is kinda where I set the bar in my mind. SEC slate to me 11-7 seems like a floor, 15-3 seems like a ceiling, so settled on 13-5. Which leaves it at 23-8(13-5) overall.

I don’t think 25-6(14-4) is insane or anything, to me it just seems more like a likely best case, rather than where I would set the expectation. I guess easiest way to say it is that I predicted a spot where 1-2 games either way wouldn’t shock me, to 21-10 wouldn’t, nor would 25-6…but using your numbers 27-4 would absolutely shock me, but damn I hope it happens.
 
#15
#15
I think this team has all of the talent, depth, and experience you could want in a national championship caliber roster. Might be the best roster Barnes has had at Tennessee. With that being said, this is not the SEC of yesteryear where it felt like a very good roster could mostly coast to an elite record.

My expectation is 24-7. I think 25-6 or better is in play, but I just think with how deep the SEC is now, Chris Beard at Ole Miss, Gates rolling at Mizzou early, Stackhouse turning around Vandy to a degree and the obvious elite top of the league, it’s hard for me to ever “predict” better than 24-7. Looking forward to the season though.
 
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#17
#17
I went with 23-8 due to the known unknowns which primarily are Ziegler returning from injury, contribution from transfers, SEC grind, and JJJ's health. I definitely see upside potential for a better record but I can't ignore the competitiveness of the SEC (especially road games...we are probably gonna drop a couple you wouldn't expect but hopefully we get a 1 or 2 to help offset).
 
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#18
#18
I went with 23-8 as well due to some of the things that people have mentioned. I think we will lose 1 or 2 we shouldn't in the SEC (it happens) and then might lose 1 OOC game we shouldn't. I wouldn't be shocked at 22-9 as well but that would be my floor and anything less than that will be a little shocking to me.
 
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#19
#19
bleedingTNorange said:
Gotcha…saw your 14-4 SEC spot, so 11-2 OOC that would leave, to me both of those seem best case scenario.

11/6 vs. Tennessee Tech…W
11/10 @ Wisconsin
11/14 vs. Wofford…W
11/20 N Syracuse (Maui)
11/21 N Maui
11/22 N Maui
11/29 @ North Carolina
12/5 vs. George Mason…W
12/9 vs. Illinois
12/12 vs. Georgia Southern…W
12/16 N NC State
12/21 vs. Tarleton State…W
1/2 vs. Norfolk State…W

So I would say 6 guaranteed wins, 7 if you count 1 in Maui because at the least you should beat Chaminade. So 7 wins with 6 “tossups” (varying degrees there), 3-3 is kinda what I was thinking in those 6, so 10-3 OOC is kinda where I set the bar in my mind. SEC slate to me 11-7 seems like a floor, 15-3 seems like a ceiling, so settled on 13-5. Which leaves it at 23-8(13-5) overall.

I don’t think 25-6(14-4) is insane or anything, to me it just seems more like a likely best case, rather than where I would set the expectation. I guess easiest way to say it is that I predicted a spot where 1-2 games either way wouldn’t shock me, to 21-10 wouldn’t, nor would 25-6…but using your numbers 27-4 would absolutely shock me, but damn I hope it happens.
Click to expand...
I should preface my prediction by saying it comes with the assumption that ZZ is ready to go. If he's not, all bets are off. I'm on record as one who would be surprised if he's ready to go by November, but there has been nothing but positive buzz on him, so I'm approaching that prediction with the assumption that he'll be ready. I could see that OOC portion easily flipping from 11-2 to a worst case 9-4 or 8-5 if we hold him out until January and struggle to develop a rotation. I think the Italy trip helped us iron out some of those issues, so it came at a good time.

Your floor (21-10) would be a very disappointing result for this team with its experience and talent level, IMO.
 
#20
#20
24-7, just cause ziggy will be out at first probably. if he was fully healthy, i would say 25-6 or better. if they make it out of non conference play with only 1-2 losses, they would be on track to having a 25+ win season for sure.
 
#22
#22
I could see Tennessee winning the Maui classic going 3-0 and because it's early in season and team trying to jell but I could see Tennessee going 1-2 in Maui...due to being without ZZ..
 
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#23
#23
bleedingTNorange said:
Fwiw Barttorvik projects 22-9, and that’s with them having us as the #6 team in their rankings.
Click to expand...

yeah. Some seasons just have more parity than others, which make records hard to predict.

Some years 10 losses makes you nearly a bubble team. Sometimes it makes you a 4 seed.
 
#25
#25
I don’t see many opportunities for a loss. I think we drop one maybe two in the non-con, and two maybe three in the conference.
 
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