Predict the regular season record

What will Tennessee’s record be?

  • 25-6 or better

    Votes: 68 31.6%

  • 24-7

    Votes: 51 23.7%

  • 23-8

    Votes: 52 24.2%

  • 22-9

    Votes: 23 10.7%

  • 21-10

    Votes: 10 4.7%

  • 20-11

    Votes: 7 3.3%

  • 19-12 or worse

    Votes: 4 1.9%
  • Total voters
    215
#76
#76
They’ll come out jacking up 3s like crazy. Lose a game or two they shouldn’t and try to convert to going inside first…. Just like the last 5-6 yrs.
 
#77
#77
Went with 24-7, assuming that ZZ is game ready and we have a healthy season. I could see 22-9 or 26-5 as reasonable too.
 
#78
#78
Dallasbowlin said:
I don’t see many opportunities for a loss. I think we drop one maybe two in the non-con, and two maybe three in the conference.
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There are always opportunities for losses in the marathon of a basketball season. Even for the very best teams. Always a chance of being blown out a time or two. Even for the very best teams. Exactly why regular season success reflects the very best teams. Sometimes one of best teams wins the season ending, crapshoot NCAA tournament. The regular season reveals the best teams in the country far more than the NCAA tournament
 
#80
#80
KenPom rankings came out, he projects 21-8(12-6, 2 unknown games in Maui account for the variance…without knowing the opponents but assuming 2 of the better teams in the field 1-1 would seem a likely projection from him, would make for a 22-9(12-6) projection from him.
 
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#81
#81
bleedingTNorange said:
KenPom rankings came out, he projects 21-8(12-6, 2 unknown games in Maui account for the variance…without knowing the opponents but assuming 2 of the better teams in the field 1-1 would seem a likely projection from him, would make for a 22-9(12-6) projection from him.
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Am I looking at the wrong rankings? Says here 25-11 and we're a 4 seed?


 
#83
#83
You never know how a team is going to develop over a full season, but I just think this team is so deep and has so few weaknesses that they are going to be a very tough team to beat. I love what all the new guy bring to the table, and I hope that they can develop as the season progresses. I was struggling between 24-7 and 25-6. So, I went with 25-6, because we look like we can succeed even when we have an injured player or two.

I think we have as good a chance at a final 4 as we ever have.
 
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#86
#86
One of these years is going to be our year where everything clicks. I like this team and believe this is it. 26-5. 15-3 SEC.
 
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#87
#87
Really great schedule/season breakdown from Will Warren, he has the Vols going 24-7(13-5)/23-8(12-6). Has us projected at 17 Q1 games, last year we had 15 which would’ve included any SECT games as well. Mentions that we very likely will actually be slight underdogs on the road at Wisconsin, I know that was a game many had chalked up as a W, or one we would be favored in.


statsbywill.substack.com

2023-24 Tennessee basketball preview: schedule analysis

Life is all about over-analyzing a slate of dates, is it not
statsbywill.substack.com statsbywill.substack.com
 
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#88
#88
bleedingTNorange said:
Really great schedule/season breakdown from Will Warren, he has the Vols going 24-7(13-5)/23-8(12-6). Has us projected at 17 Q1 games, last year we had 15 which would’ve included any SECT games as well. Mentions that we very likely will actually be slight underdogs on the road at Wisconsin, I know that was a game many had chalked up as a W, or one we would be favored in.


statsbywill.substack.com

2023-24 Tennessee basketball preview: schedule analysis

Life is all about over-analyzing a slate of dates, is it not
statsbywill.substack.com statsbywill.substack.com
Click to expand...

I’m not surprised that we would be underdogs. Road games early in the season, even for Top 10 teams, are tough. Especially if Zieglar still isn’t playing, and Santi will not have had as many game reps due to the family matter.

I would expect that game to be a nail-biter and if we come out with a win be pleasantly surprised, but happy.
 
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#89
#89
TheMookieMonster said:
I’m not surprised that we would be underdogs. Road games early in the season, even for Top 10 teams, are tough. Especially if Zieglar still isn’t playing, and Santi will not have had as many game reps due to the family matter.

I would expect that game to be a nail-biter and if we come out with a win be pleasantly surprised, but happy.
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I just remember that game being discussed by many as a game we should win, and talk of them not being very good. The schedule, at least as of today, looks really freaking good…Warren says Top 10 SOS type of good, at least as of now.
 
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#90
#90
bleedingTNorange said:
I just remember that game being discussed by many as a game we should win, and talk of them not being very good. The schedule, at least as of today, looks really freaking good…Warren says Top 10 SOS type of good, at least as of now.
Click to expand...

I think it’s a game we should win, but don’t think it’s a guarantee. Wisconsin is a good program, and even in down years that is not an easy place to play your 2nd game of the season.
 
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#91
#91
23-8

Early on, might be a couple bumps more than normal as ZZ gets back into flow.

Draw arguably the remaining 3 best teams in SEC twice (A&M, Bama, UK)
 
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#92
#92
bleedingTNorange said:
With the full schedule now released, what is your record prediction for the Vols…

11/6 vs. Tennessee Tech
11/10 @ Wisconsin
11/14 vs. Wofford
11/20 N Syracuse (Maui)
11/21 N Maui
11/22 N Maui
11/29 @ North Carolina
12/5 vs. George Mason
12/9 vs. Illinois
12/12 vs. Georgia Southern
12/16 N NC State
12/21 vs. Tarleton State
1/2 vs. Norfolk State
1/6 vs. Ole Miss
1/10 @ Mississippi State
1/13 @ Georgia
1/16 vs. Florida
1/20 vs. Alabama
1/27 @ Vanderbilt
1/30 vs. South Carolina
2/3 @ Kentucky
2/7 vs. LSU
2/10 @ Texas A&M
2/14 @ Arkansas
2/17 vs. Vanderbilt
2/20 @ Missouri
2/24 vs. Texas A&M
2/28 vs. Auburn
3/2 @ Alabama
3/6 @ South Carolina
3/9 vs. Kentucky
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For my own sanity I am quoting the OP and bolding potential losses to help me with my final prediction.

So that's 5 tough road games that I could see as losses. 1 OOC and 4 in SEC play, good chance we drop a game in Maui because it's early in the year and you play 3 days in a row and ZZ health is up in the air plus team chemistry etc. 6th loss in Maui potentially.

Final vote I went conservative with a 7th loss for a "wth happened to our shooting" night that could happen, just through the exhibition games I think this is less likely with how well Gainey and Knecht have looked. DK especially seems like he's got a great mind for offense and if he has a slump from outside I think he'll pick it up on his driving and passing.

24-7 or better is my prediction as of today
 
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#94
#94
cncchris33 said:
At first glance (less than a minute), I'm going to say 25-6 (14-4), which seems crazy as I usually err on the side of conservative. I did that here, and still landed on only 6 losses, which seems incredible.
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Tonight, on November 29th, I have to seriously reconsider this prediction if this is the kind of effort we are going to give on the defensive end. I never thought I'd see such a pitiful performance on the defensive side of the floor from a Rick Barnes coached team like I'm witnessing against North Carolina.

If we simply lost this game but played with great effort and intensity, no one logically even blinks. UNC is a good team and we are playing on their home floor. We'd be 4-3, but still feel good about the effort in losses to three top-20 teams (#1, #2, and #17). I still wouldn't feel bad about my above prediction because it might be three of the four toughest teams we'd play all year.

I defended this prediction as our best-case scenario, but the team I've watched tonight has no shot of escaping the regular season without 10 losses. The synergy just seems off. It seemed off in Maui and I just attributed it to great competition and a team that couldn't hit shots. But in a game like this, where we aren't really shooting poorly from a percentage standpoint, there just seems to be a total lack of offensive continuity. A lack of an ability to get easy baskets. Everything comes hard for this team on offense. And now the defense is non-existent. Toughness is non-existent. Pride is non-existent. These have never been issues for a Barnes-led team. This bunch needs to grow up fast.

Perhaps this team always needed time to put it all together and these games are going to pay off down the road. In the past, we've owned November and December and flamed out down the stretch. I'll trade these losses for March success, but tonight's issues; pride, hustle, intensity, and defensive effort are things that shouldn't need to be coached or coaxed out of these guys.
 
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