headhunter15
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Ok, I’m not the best at economics. What are we looking at? A 2008 repeat or worse?
but doubtful we'll have high unemploymentOne of the hallmarks of true stagflation is high unemployment (along with low/negative growth and high inflation). We have 2 of the 3 right now but doubtful we'll have high unemployment so it won't be 70s levels problems.
I'd still rate inflation as the big problem and it's likely to be with us for a while.
Personally I don't see a major, sustained market drop but we might sideways trading for some time.
One of the hallmarks of true stagflation is high unemployment (along with low/negative growth and high inflation). We have 2 of the 3 right now but doubtful we'll have high unemployment so it won't be 70s levels problems.
I'd still rate inflation as the big problem and it's likely to be with us for a while.
Personally I don't see a major, sustained market drop but we might sideways trading for some time.
As long as employment levels are maintained I think we will have a recession however it shouldn’t be as severe as Carter era since employment income will still be available to fuel our consumerism. And with boomers continuing to leave the work force could mean ample employment opportunities for the rest. The wild card is productivity. As long as company production efficiency is maintained then profits should remain good which will support employment. If profits erode significantly then Katie bar the door I think it all falls apart.One of the hallmarks of true stagflation is high unemployment (along with low/negative growth and high inflation). We have 2 of the 3 right now but doubtful we'll have high unemployment so it won't be 70s levels problems.
I'd still rate inflation as the big problem and it's likely to be with us for a while.
Personally I don't see a major, sustained market drop but we might sideways trading for some time.
We didn’t have housing bubble or both monetary and supply and demand inflationAs long as employment levels are maintained I think we will have a recession however it shouldn’t be as severe as Carter era since employment income will still be available to fuel our consumerism. And with boomers continuing to leave the work force could mean ample employment opportunities for the rest. The wild card is productivity. As long as company production efficiency is maintained then profits should remain good which will support employment. If profits erode significantly then Katie bar the door I think it all falls apart.
So I think a shallow but perhaps longer than usual decline is likely. If company profits erode due to all the head winds then employment support erodes and it all falls apart.
Eh there were plenty of head winds back then. But I agree with bham on employment I don’t see the bottom dropping out as long as companies can maintain some semblance of profits. If those erode rapidly then the goto quickest hit to immediate cost reductions is to cut payrolls. Always has been.We didn’t have housing bubble or both monetary and supply and demand inflation
on top of a massive fed debt
This could ensure Republicans take the White House for multiple elections. Assuming, elections are fair…
I think that ignorant incompetent wench will do massive damage for any amount of time she is in office however.I think the next one will be a gimme anyway , the Rs will take it from “ giggles” the first female , AA/ Indian / Ms. potato head in American history . My prediction is that the Dems get slaughter in the house and senate, Biden either resigns due to health or more likely , as the ultimate sacrifice to the left and the first woman President , probably in his 3rd year , then she gets steam rolled by anybody that’s able to form a complete sentence without a teleprompter.