Recruiting Football Talk VII

Status
Not open for further replies.
Heading to Clarksville shortly to see the Govs play.
I know most have a sour taste towards The Peay, but a win clinches a share of the Conference Championship, and probably locks them into an at-large bid to the FCS playoffs.

Big day today...............
Still very pissed at your boys, Peay. No griddled honey bun posts from me in support today. 😑 But always wish you the best. Sorry about your dog. That's a tough one.
 


This is exactly what I've been preaching for years with regards to Barnes teams -- you can teach anyone defense but you can't teach anyone to be a pure shooter and Barnes' teams have lacked shooters of Dalton's caliber. I'm so happy to see we finally have a guy that can drain the net on that s-tier level.
 
He always did well for us against garbage teams too. We need to check his stats during conference play
Like when he dropped 27 on Duke in the NCAA tournament? But I know what you're saying.

I think it has more to do with him being an offensive-minded player and not a natural defender. So it kinda clashed with Barnes' style where he demands constant defense and wants to slow the game down on offense. I think he's being given the freedom to play on the offensive end and Michigan probably plays faster on that side of the court. He's also shooting a handful of 3s in both games so far.
 
I created an ELO model for win probabilities in college football last night. It's bare bones, and doesn't take in any advanced stats yet, just simply looks at historical win/loss/spreads over the last 3 years and into this season. It doesn't have anything opponent adjusted or even home field advantage yet. For now I just manually adjusted 3 points off the away team. Going to implement those later to really dial in what I want the model to pay attention to. In other words, very untrustworthy at the moment. That being said, this is what it gave me for UT today:

-1 Tennessee at Missouri (-4 before manually adjusting 3 points since we are away)

That's close to what the real line is, DraftKings is at -2.5 currently, but other ones I ran for notable match ups today seemed further off. For example, Washington vs Utah, at Washington, was essentially a pick em in my model but DK has Washington at -8. I think the main reason is that the model is weighing too heavy on prior seasons currently. Kind of like FPI with their rolling 3 year model being slow to catch up to a major uptick for a team in a season. Will need to look ways to counter that. Plus, the lack of any advanced stats so far doesn't help either. That will help.
Don't Bring Me Down
 
If YouTube ever decides to let you actually pick which games in multi-view you want to watch, it will be the best feature of all-time. Love the multi-view but hate I can’t pick the 4 games.
It's like having a time-machine that only travels to where someone just farted.

It's like having a dog that likes everyone else but you.

It's like having a supercharged V8, but no gas pedal.

It's like having the world's best cup of coffee, but it always stays too hot to drink.

Is like having a telephone that only calls people you don't know.

It's like having a gf that makes you watch her date other guys.

It's like having a teleporter that only travels to the the surface of the sun.
 

praise-thats-high-praise.gif
 
This is exactly what I've been preaching for years with regards to Barnes teams -- you can teach anyone defense but you can't teach anyone to be a pure shooter and Barnes' teams have lacked shooters of Dalton's caliber. I'm so happy to see we finally have a guy that can drain the net on that s-tier level.
Agree with the sentiment of your post minus one caveat:

He's not a shooter; he's a pure scorer. Big difference and one that Barnes' teams have been sorely lacking.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

VN Store



Back
Top