I’ve gradually been increasing my social activities of late and it occurred to me that I might be taking on additional risk. The life expectancy for Tennesseans is 76 years and the last time I used one of those online life expectancy calculators based on demographics and lifestyle it said I should live for 84 years.
Last month I celebrated my 64th birthday, implying I have 20 years remaining, or 12 years depending on which metric comes into play. I’ve been smoking cigarettes for 45+ years now, minimum a pack a day, Marlboro regular, so I have about a 75% chance of surviving that lifestyle choice.
I wanted to know what my estimated survival probability might be given a snapshot of the latest numbers from the Tennessee department of public health if I should catch the Wuhan flu here in Tennessee. It turns out for my age group my probability for survival could be almost 96% and given that I’m pretty sure my genes come from the Appalachian tribe that’s probably a good bet. Now I’m back to the most likely limiting factor of life expectancy for me as my smoking habit which I have promised myself to quit sometime in the next 20+ years.
Just for the record, it is my belief that during the time I presumably have left we as Vols will win at least 20 national championships in football. Positive people live longer. It’s a law of natural science. jmo.
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