Here's a weird and sad statistic.
From 2009-2019 we beat each of our "guaranteed 3 wins" teams by more than 11 points only 3 times. I'm talking our FCS opponent + 2 G5/lowest opponents. In 2011, the closest game was 24 over MTSU, 2014 15 over Arky St , 2015 24 over North Texas.
The other 8 years:
2009 - 11 pt win over Ohio
2010 - 3 pt win over UAB
2012 - 7 pt win over Troy
2013 - 7 pt win over South Alabama
2016 - OT win over App St
2017 - 4 pt win over UMass
2018 - 11 pt win over Charlotte
2019 - Loss vs Ga St
To say the least, a couple of those could have gone the other way.
I at least have faith Hype won't let scrubs stick close by. For some context, during his 2 yr stint at Mizzou playing lower level opponents, he averaged 63 ppg in those 6 games...with mostly low 3 star talent outside of QB. Bowling Green, South Alabama, and TN Tech gonna get smashed. No sweating.