This should be a fun game...will be a tremendously important win for one program & real tough loss for the other. Two programs that are truly "middle of the road" right now & evenly-matched in my opinion.
Statistically:
UT OFF vs KY DEF
26.2 ppg (T-83rd in FBS) vs 28.1 ppg allowed (78th)
235.7 pass yds per game (62nd) vs 190.3 pass yds per game allowed (19th)
131.4 rush yds per game (102nd) vs 199.7 rush yds per game allowed (99th)
KY OFF vs UT DEF
29.4 ppg (69th) vs 25.0 ppg (T-52nd)
243.0 pass yds per game (55th) vs 203.0 pass yds allowed per game (T-32nd)
159.5 rush yds per game (66th) vs 172.0 rush yds per game allowed (79th)
Little bit more: Sagarin's rankings, FWIW, have UT as the #28 ranked team despite our record but likely due to our schedule being ranked as the most difficult in the country up to this point. 0-4 vs top 10 teams & our 5th loss vs the #17 ranked team. KY ranked #48 w/ the 20th most difficult sched. If you believe his predictor & factor in home field, Vols by 10.
I say 34-28 Vols.