The Championships, Wimbledon

Roddick couldn't have been given a better draw, and yet it's still quite possible that he'll find a way to lose early.
 
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My gambling thoughts from last night:


Tsonga ain't losing because that would bring happiness into my life, and this is no time for that.

Is Delpo healthy? If so, he ain't losing. At least, I hope not. I like delpo.

Don't look now, but Garcia-Lopez looks good to take the first set.
 
Thank you, Mardy Fish. I still have not lost a bet on a tennis match in this tournament.*

*I've only bet on six matches so far and I'm only betting generally between 30 and 50 bucks a match. Just don't want y'all getting the impression that I'm like the Jimmy The Greek of tennis. I continue to dabble in it because I'm winning more than I'm losing, and if I can continue to do that over a large enough sample size of bets to where I can reasonably conclude that maybe I'm not half bad...well then maybe at that point I'll ramp up the amounts a little. For now, I'm small potatoes. And it's actually tough to not stay small potatoes in tennis. I hate throwing down big on a dog that I'm only halfway sure about, and I can't throw down big on a big favorite because the odds are so massive that I would end up putting more at stake than my guy allows per play. I can't even bet on Nadal, Federer, Djokovic until usually the 4th round of a major. Prior to that point, you're looking at 100-1 odds each match. And you lose the bet if your guy gets injured. So, I'm not messing with those absurd odds.
 
Thank you, Mardy Fish. I still have not lost a bet on a tennis match in this tournament.*

*I've only bet on six matches so far and I'm only betting generally between 30 and 50 bucks a match. Just don't want y'all getting the impression that I'm like the Jimmy The Greek of tennis. I continue to dabble in it because I'm winning more than I'm losing, and if I can continue to do that over a large enough sample size of bets to where I can reasonably conclude that maybe I'm not half bad...well then maybe at that point I'll ramp up the amounts a little. For now, I'm small potatoes. And it's actually tough to not stay small potatoes in tennis. I hate throwing down big on a dog that I'm only halfway sure about, and I can't throw down big on a big favorite because the odds are so massive that I would end up putting more at stake than my guy allows per play. I can't even bet on Nadal, Federer, Djokovic until usually the 4th round of a major. Prior to that point, you're looking at 100-1 odds each match. And you lose the bet if your guy gets injured. So, I'm not messing with those absurd odds.

Would have been interesting to have a hundred on Rosol, wouldn't it?
 
Would have been interesting to have a hundred on Rosol, wouldn't it?

Even if I thought Rafa would win every time out of 100, I would never touch it because of the chance of a freak injury.

If we assume for the sake of argument that Rafa wins this match, he is going to have his hands full in the third round. Not only did Kohlschreiber beat Rafa in the grass court tuneup, but the guy is playing out of his mind. If Rafa is 100-1 in that match (he won't be; prolly like 15-1), I'll definitely toss a 25 on Kohl.

My boy Baghdatis is playing Murray in the third round. Can he pull it out?
 
One thing that I do think is true about Rafa in this tournament especially is that he actually benefits from early round matches that are played tight or even pushed to additional sets. He is such a natural clay courter, that I think he doesn't really start to feel comfortable with the surface until the second week of the tournament. More drawn out early round matches allow him to get more reps, and become accustomed to the bounce of the ball, and his changed stylistic tactics like moving his court position in and various other tweaks.

What I'm saying is that I think Rafa more than the others has to play his way back into top form.
 
One thing that I do think is true about Rafa in this tournament especially is that he actually benefits from early round matches that are played tight or even pushed to additional sets. He is such a natural clay courter, that I think he doesn't really start to feel comfortable with the surface until the second week of the tournament. More drawn out early round matches allow him to get more reps, and become accustomed to the bounce of the ball, and his changed stylistic tactics like moving his court position in and various other tweaks.

What I'm saying is that I think Rafa more than the others has to play his way back into top form.

Good points, but the way the ball is bouncing is in a blur as it goes past Rafa. This guy has a rocket.
 
Anyone arguing that the women deserve equal pay hasn't seen number 100 in the world, Rosol, play. gtfo.
 

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