With all due respect, you're insane! I worship at the altar of Federer but there is no way I'd put bank on a Federer match at this stage of his career. Today is why.
But what Federer does is he crushes everybody in the first four or so rounds; gets analysts and fans alike thinking the old Fed is back and might win the tournament; and then gets exposed by Djoker or Rafa.
I've seen this scenario play out for two years now. His game is still money, and the only guys that can expose his drop in agility are the two guys that are simply just better athletes than him (again, Rafa and Djoke).
And so when I was down 25 or 30 bucks on my early morning plays, I decided I'd go ahead and toss 25 on Fed at -10000....bring me back to even on the day.
And then, I swear to all things sacred, this was the first time I've seen a guy outside the top ten give Fed problems. Of course it happened the one instance where I loosely risked to 2,500 to win 25. That. Sucked.
Thank God he won. When he was serving at 4-5 in the 4th, he would get up an ad -- I'm watching all of this unfold on espn courtcast -- and then I'd see it come back down to deuce, and I'm sure he's gonna choke. I had to close out courtcast.
My brother called me like 45 minutes later and I was sure he was calling me to tell me that Fed lost. Why was I sure of this? My brother made a $500 bet with his buddy during the trophy ceremony of the 2009 Aussie Open (the one where Fed was crying). If Fed got to 17 majors my brother would lose the bet. Anyway, so as you can imagine my brother has been sweating out every major for the last two years and in-between analyzing the situation with me and saying things like "[Tournament X] is really Fed's last good shot at a major". Except that Tournament X keeps moving forward in time.
Anyway, I figured my bro was calling me because Fed lost and he was relieved because he couldn't foresee Fed winning any future majors if he couldn't win this one.
I didn't pick up.
I waited 30 more minutes, typed "tennis live scores" into my google search box, clicked the first link, and braced myself for the sight of the name Benneteau appearing in bold type.
Alas, the name "Federer" appeared in bold type. All was right with the world again.