So, here are the games that matter this weekend with regard to the Titans draft position, both with regards to if the Titans lose to the Texans and if they beat the Texans:
IF THE TITANS LOSE TO THE TEXANS:
New England (3-13) vs Buffalo (13-3) - 1PM ET
- New England winning would give Tennessee the #1 pick overall
- New England losing would give Tennessee the #2 pick overall
IF THE TITANS BEAT TO THE TEXANS:
- Cleveland (3-13) vs Baltimore (11-5) - Saturday 4:30PM ET
- New York Giants (3-13) vs Philadelphia (13-3) - 1 PM ET
- Jacksonville (4-12) vs Indianapolis (7-9) - 1PM ET
- Carolina (4-12) vs Atlanta (8-8) - 1PM ET
- New York Jets (4-12) vs Miami (8-8) - 4:25PM ET
In addition if the Jets lose after a Titans win, the following games also become important given the closeness of the Jets and Titans SOS:
TO INCREASE THE JETS' SOS:
- Pittsburgh (10-6) beating Cincinnati (8-8) - Saturday 8PM ET
- Denver (9-7) beating Kansas City (15-1) - 4:25PM ET
- Minnesota (14-2) beating Detroit (14-2) - 8:20PM ET
TO DECREASE THE TITANS' SOS:
- Pittsburgh (10-6) beating Cincinnati (8-8) - Saturday 8PM ET
- Dallas (7-9) beating Washington (11-5) - 1 PM ET
- Las Vegas (4-12) beating Los Angeles Chargers (10-6) - 4:25PM ET
It's worth noting for that aspect that for Tennessee's SOS to be less than the Jets', Tennessee needs all 3 of those outcomes (Bengals, Commanders, and Chargers losing) AND BOTH Denver and Minnesota to each win their games.
- If (A) any of Tennessee's 3 noted opponents win OR (B) Minnesota AND Pittsburgh AND Denver all lose:
- The Titans' SOS will stay stronger than the Jets, giving NY any tiebreaker
- If all 3 of Tennessee's noted opponents lose AND EITHER Denver beats Kansas City OR Minnesota beats Detroit
- The Titans and Jets would have the same SOS, meaning any tie would be for the draft pick order would determined by coin flip.
At the moment, the Titans can end up anywhere from the #1 overall pick to the #7 overall pick depending on their game and this weekend's outcomes.