THE SPORTS BETTING THREAD!

[ionaVOL]

Where in NY are you?

Live in Westchester about 25-30 min outside of NYC and work in CT.

 

[ionaVOL]

Here is a parlay of picks that are most likely to happen. Like any big parlay, it's unlikely these will all hit. Which ones do you think are wrong?

View attachment 540812

No NIT picks for me lol I don’t trust those games man. I did put a small one in this AM for Corpus Christi and Miss St to win tonight though

 

[LIvol]

Live in Westchester about 25-30 min outside of NYC and work in CT.

Watch the games from home or a local sports bar? I live in LI and work in Westchester. We are getting a sports book one day!

 

[ionaVOL]

Watch the games from home or a local sports bar? I live in LI and work in Westchester. We are getting a sports book one day!

Yea, I will definitely be working from home Friday, but tomorrow might be a struggle for me, have to be in the office for most of the day at least

I am really close to Yonkers Raceway, supposedly MGM is pushing to upgrade that to table games and I’m sure a Sportsbook.

 

[Nash_Vol97]

Just saw some info that may help us for March Madness, especially if you want to try and pick a tournament winner now. Every champion since 2002, has been better than 57th in KenPom Offense combined with top 37 in KenPom defense. That number is actually skewed a bit due to UConn though in 2004 since they had the 57th offense. Every other winner has been 21st in KenPom Offense or better, and then 37th in KenPom defense or better.

Teams that fit the 57/37 model this year:
Bama
Arkansas
TCU
Creighton
Houston
Kansas
Kansas State
Michigan State
Purdue
Nevada
Maryland
San Diego State
Texas
UCLA
UConn
St Marys

Now, if you take out 2004 UConn and use the 21/37 model, 95% of teams that have won it in the last 21 years, all fell in the 21/37 model. These are the teams that fit that:

Bama
Houston
Texas
Purdue
Kansas
UConn

Now, how to use this info for some solid bets is left to the masters, but felt like it was some useful info.

 

[Enki_Amenra]

No NIT picks for me lol I don’t trust those games man. I did put a small one in this AM for Corpus Christi and Miss St to win tonight though

Yeah, I'm just looking at the full slate offered.
NIT is scary to bet on.

 

[Enki_Amenra]

Just saw some info that may help us for March Madness, especially if you want to try and pick a tournament winner now. Every champion since 2002, has been better than 57th in KenPom Offense combined with top 37 in KenPom defense. That number is actually skewed a bit due to UConn though in 2004 since they had the 57th offense. Every other winner has been 21st in KenPom Offense or better, and then 37th in KenPom defense or better.

Teams that fit the 57/37 model this year:
Bama
Arkansas
TCU
Creighton
Houston
Kansas
Kansas State
Michigan State
Purdue
Nevada
Maryland
San Diego State
Texas
UCLA
UConn
St Marys

Now, if you take out 2004 UConn and use the 21/37 model, 95% of teams that have won it in the last 21 years, all fell in the 21/37 model. These are the teams that fit that:

Bama
Houston
Texas
Purdue
Kansas
UConn

Now, how to use this info for some solid bets is left to the masters, but felt like it was some useful info.

Interesting.

 

[Enki_Amenra]

Interesting.

also, you guys like the "research" part of betting really need to install the sofascore app. It covers all major sports and has a great amount of info, including head-to-head stats, recent performance, schedule w/l, recent trends like pts avg over last 10 games for both teams and combined. . .

it also shows how teams perform when capped at a certain number. For example, a team is capped @ -110, it will show their winning percentage when capped at -110, like this: "team a" should win 55% of the time at -110, but they actually win 74% of the games at -110. If that makes sense, it can really help.

 

[Enki_Amenra]

Here is a schedule cheat sheet. The books do not list whether the game is NIT or NCAA. It's easy to slip up and throw one or more in on accident. You can look over this bracket and avoid the teams if you want to stay away from NIT.

 

[Enki_Amenra]

Upsets to keep an eye on (thank you @SD189 ):

VCU over Saint Mary’s
Miss State over Iowa State
Charleston over San Diego St
Providence over Kentucky
Drake over Miami
Nevada over TCU
Montana State over Kansas State
Iona over UCONN
*Arizona State over TCU
Oral Roberts over Duke

 

[LIvol]

I like VCU and Drake. I have issues with the matchups...oral roberts got screwed and so did providence

 

[LIvol]

Again I don't know what thread we can come up with but if start 2023 March madness thread and then put up bets and thoughts it would be awesome for this week

 

[Enki_Amenra]

Again I don't know what thread we can come up with but if start 2023 March madness thread and then put up bets and thoughts it would be awesome for this week

Maybe a "March Madness 2023 Betting thread"? They probably just merge it here.

 

[Nash_Vol97]

Maybe a "March Madness 2023 Betting thread"? They probably just merge it here.

Yeah that’ll just end up in here.

 

[TNDCVol]

Any picks tonight?

 

[ionaVOL]

Any picks tonight?

No locks from me lol but I’m taking A&M Corpus Christi and Miss St ML for a small amount and maybe both unders also

 

[Enki_Amenra]

No locks from me lol but I’m taking A&M Corpus Christi and Miss St ML for a small amount and maybe both unders also

I like Miss State too. I dont much about amcc. BoL!

 

[Enki_Amenra]

@ionaVOL
What do you think will happen with Iona v uconn?

 

[UTSuave’]

I will have to try and send you what I’m seeing for boosts on Caesar’s, problem is I can’t even access the app on my phone during the day until I get home back to NY. Making sure I’m working from home Thurs and Fri tho

Oh boy…

I’ll get on this and let you know

 

[UTSuave’]

No NIT picks for me lol I don’t trust those games man. I did put a small one in this AM for Corpus Christi and Miss St to win tonight though

There’s never 2 favorites to win on a 2 game night cash out. If A&M wins hammer Pittsburgh ML

 

[ionaVOL]

@ionaVOL
What do you think will happen with Iona v uconn?

I don’t think I could answer that unbiased hah I think it could potentially be a pretty good game, we match up decently well with them, we have good guard play and a couple skilled bigs. Need to run Hawkins off the 3 point line and try and throw bodies at Sanogo. I’m sure Pitino will run his press and if we can turn them over, really disrupt them and make shots we have a chance.
I’ll be taking the points but I’m certainly expecting a UConn win

 

[UTSuave’]

Hammer the Pittsburgh ML

 

[Enki_Amenra]

I don’t think I could answer that unbiased hah I think it could potentially be a pretty good game, we match up decently well with them, we have good guard play and a couple skilled bigs. Need to run Hawkins off the 3 point line and try and throw bodies at Sanogo. I’m sure Pitino will run his press and if we can turn them over, really disrupt them and make shots we have a chance.
I’ll be taking the points but I’m certainly expecting a UConn win

Iona was good this year. Ive seen it a lot where a team will light up their conference level competition and then fade against a major university. I'm not sure Uconn should be considered as playing someone like a Pittsburgh or Texas a&m type of team.

I have a feeling it might be closer than the spread, but thats just instinct from seeing their scores throughout the year. I don't think ive seen either of them play.

Also, a&mcc got the win it looks like. I've got Miss State in the next game. Anyone having a change of heart on MS St? Is Pittsburgh gonna lose? I thought MS St had been playing pretty solid ball here lately

 

[ionaVOL]

Hammer the Pittsburgh ML

I put in another small parlay with them so I’m covered either way but might bet them straight now

 

[Enki_Amenra]

Hammer the Pittsburgh ML

Whats going on?