BigPapaVol
Wave yo hands in the aiya
- Joined
- Oct 19, 2005
- Messages
- 63,225
- Likes
- 14
The keyword being "request". There's a mile of difference between submitting an actual budget and making a proposal. It's up to Congress to pass a budget bill. Hence the reason that it's a little silly IMO to be completely doom and gloom based on who is elected President. We are electing a chief executive in a three branch government; not a King.
ok a 30% increase in a year, may not be spiraling but it's a hefty increase
I bet your ad rates haven't climed 30% in a year
View attachment 11769
until they decide to cash in their T-bills. Then the dollar will become equivalent to the peso....
well first off they would have zero incentive to dump their treasuries because of the power we have over their economy and also because it would cost them billions in losses. and it should be noted that china has bought 30% less treasuries this year (and apparently actually stopped completely buying them for a couple of months) and treasury rates are below inflation and near 30 year lows so clearly the demand is still there. the treasury is the most liquid paper in the world. even china doesn't have the ability to control it's price.
What makes you think we have any power over the Chinese economy? Maybe 10 years ago. Today, no.
50% of their economy runs on US exports. that isn't power? all the govt would have to do is put a tarrif on chinese goods and we would destroy their economy. This theory that a recession in america wouldn't affect china and india despite their reliance on our economy is really baseless.
(1) The trade deficit simply says that we are a net importer from China. It certainly says that they need our economy as an outlet for their goods. Their nation is the world's largest supplier of ultra cheap labor. As the largest consumer in the world, the US economy is of paramount importance to all huge exporters.So if China is so reliant on the US for their economy, why do we have an over $200 billion trade deficit with China? Are lawmakers intentionally putting us at a disadvantage?
China currently has the world's second largest economy and most people in Washington realize they will become the largest in less than a decade.
If we imposed trade restrictions or tariffs on goods from China, we could slow their growth down, but we would completely nuke our own econmy in the process.
China is a very long way from reversing the situation. They will some day, but not until their absolutely broke population can absorb a tremendous portion of the goods they are producing.Good points by both of you. On a global level, I'm more skeptical on our economical outlook and I am very concerned that China is positioning itself perfectly for the US to need them more than they need us. That would be a bad thing. (see crude oil reliance as reference point)