TN's SEC Tourney Scenarios

[golfballs]

I'd take whichever scenario gives us the best chance to avoid Florida as long as possible. I have a feeling they'll be out for revenge.

3 seed vs Mizzou?

 

[bleedingTNorange]

3 seed vs Mizzou?

You may have already answered this, but what scenario do you see as the best?

 

[utvolz98]

I did not see the scenario if the Saturday winners are UT, Bama, LSU, Kentucky. I think the winners will be UT, Bama, LSU definitely, but not sure at UK/Florida game.

Edited original post to add this scenario

 

[BigZiti09]

It looks like the scenarios come down to this...

If UT wins and Ole miss loses, UT is a 5 seed and plays on Thursday.

If UT wins and Ole Miss wins, UT is a 3 or 4 seed and gets the double bye.

There is only one scenario where this isn't true: If Tennessee beats Missouri, Alabama loses to Georgia, Ole Miss loses to LSU and Kentucky loses to Florida.
1. Florida
2. Ole Miss (4-2)
3. Kentucky (3-2)
4. Tennessee (3-4)
5. Missouri (2-3)
6. Alabama (2-3)


However, our opponents for friday's potential game would change with each scenario.

 

[BigZiti09]

I'm curious...how many are hoping for the double bye, and how many are hoping for the single bye and playing a bad team the first game???

I've become convinced that all that Thursday's game can do is hurt us. If we win, it won't help our chances and will just mean we are playing another bubble team on short rest Friday.

Friday's game is the one we need to help solidify a NCAA spot. In my mind, all Thursday's game can do is damage our chances greatly with a loss. I know they say that they look at the whole season but it would be hard to ignore a loss that bad while other bubble teams play on throughout the weekend potentially picking up quality wins. I don't think it would matter so much if there were not so many SEC bubble teams.

 

[golfballs]

You may have already answered this, but what scenario do you see as the best?

I'm on the fence. 4 seed vs UK or 5 seed vs Ole miss. For either to happen we need UK and UGA to lose today.

The determining game will be Ole Miss.

 

[cubs3vols]

If Tennessee beats Missouri, Alabama loses at Georgia, Ole Miss loses to LSU and Kentucky beats Florida
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. Ole Miss (4-1)
4. Missouri (2-2)
5. Tennessee (2-3)
6. Alabama (1-3)

If Tennessee beat Missouri, Alabama loses to Georgia, Kentucky beats Florida and Ole Miss beats LSU
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. Ole Miss
4. Tennessee (2-1)
5. Missouri (1-1)
6. Alabama (1-2)

Edited to add as requested:

If Tennessee beats Missouri, Kentucky beats Florida, Alabama beats Georgia, and LSU beats Ole Miss
1. Florida
2. Alabama
3. Kentucky
4. Ole Miss (3-1)
5. Tennessee (1-2)
6. Missouri (1-2)
Tennessee wins the tie break with Missouri because they beat Florida[/QUOTE]

Well here are the 3 scenarios:

Im personally pulling for the last one. We get the 5 seed and possibly play Ole Piss in the Quarterfinal.

Plus I want Ole Piss to lose again.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Agreed, want the last scenario.

 

[BigZiti09]

Maybe I'm missing this scenario and someone can point it out....

What happens if
UT wins
KY wins (already happened)
Bama wins
Ole miss wins

I realize we'd be the 5, Missouri would be 6. Bama ky and ole miss would all tie for 2nd. But who holds the tie break between just those three? More specifically, who would be the 4?

 

[VFL 24/7]

Now with the UK win we need Bama to lose, Ole Miss win and of course a UT victory. We will be 4th if that happens.

 

[MAD]

If Tennessee beats Missouri, Alabama loses at Georgia, Ole Miss loses to LSU and Kentucky beats Florida
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. Ole Miss (4-1)
4. Missouri (2-2)
5. Tennessee (2-3)
6. Alabama (1-3)

If Tennessee beat Missouri, Alabama loses to Georgia, Kentucky beats Florida and Ole Miss beats LSU
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. Ole Miss
4. Tennessee (2-1)
5. Missouri (1-1)
6. Alabama (1-2)

Edited to add as requested:

If Tennessee beats Missouri, Kentucky beats Florida, Alabama beats Georgia, and LSU beats Ole Miss
1. Florida
2. Alabama
3. Kentucky
4. Ole Miss (3-1)
5. Tennessee (1-2)
6. Missouri (1-2)
Tennessee wins the tie break with Missouri because they beat Florida

Well here are the 3 scenarios:

Im personally pulling for the last one. We get the 5 seed and possibly play Ole Piss in the Quarterfinal.

Plus I want Ole Piss to lose again.[/QUOTE]

What about if Bama and Ole Miss both wins?

 

[Chris4Vols22]

Now with the UK win we need Bama to lose, Ole Miss win and of course a UT victory. We will be 4th if that happens.

Do not want 4 seed. We need wins.

 

[Volstylexx]

Why wouldn't we want to play MO? A loss to MO in the SECT does nothing to hurt us. A loss to Ole Miss might end the season

 

[VFL 24/7]

Do not want 4 seed. We need wins.

No we do want 4 seed, It would be a lot easier to make a run at the SEC championship with a double bye

 

[bleedingTNorange]

No we do want 4 seed, It would be a lot easier to make a run at the SEC championship with a double bye

When talking about making a run you have to take into account opponents...do you see us beating Missouri 2 games in a row? Or beating ole miss more likely?

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Maybe I'm missing this scenario and someone can point it out....

What happens if
UT wins
KY wins (already happened)
Bama wins
Ole miss wins

I realize we'd be the 5, Missouri would be 6. Bama ky and ole miss would all tie for 2nd. But who holds the tie break between just those three? More specifically, who would be the 4?

Anyone figure this one out?

 

[Truth]

What if you just waited for them to release the SECT schedule....

 

[bleedingTNorange]

What if you just waited for them to release the SECT schedule....

What fun would that be?

 

[golfballs]

Maybe I'm missing this scenario and someone can point it out....

What happens if
UT wins
KY wins (already happened)
Bama wins
Ole miss wins

I realize we'd be the 5, Missouri would be 6. Bama ky and ole miss would all tie for 2nd. But who holds the tie break between just those three? More specifically, who would be the 4?

Not UK
I think ole miss would be the 4

 

[YankeeVol]

So no worse than 5th

 

[Chris4Vols22]

No we do want 4 seed, It would be a lot easier to make a run at the SEC championship with a double bye

We win against Mizzou today, we likely need 1 SECt win to seal a bid. It would behoove us to play a worse team after a single bye than risk playing a team that has beaten us with a double bye, and we get no SECt win at all.

 

[utvolz98]

Anyone figure this one out?

1. Florida
2. Kentucky (1-1)
3. Ole Miss (1-1)
4. Alabama (1-1)
5. Tennessee
6. Missouri

Kentucky just beat FL so they get the 2.

 

[golfballs]

Uk, ole miss, and Bama are all 1-1 against each other. But UK beat Florida so they become #2.

Then it goes to head to head and since ole miss beat Bama. They get 3rd and Bama gets 4th. Sound right?

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Maybe I'm missing this scenario and someone can point it out....

What happens if
UT wins
KY wins (already happened)
Bama wins
Ole miss wins

I realize we'd be the 5, Missouri would be 6. Bama ky and ole miss would all tie for 2nd. But who holds the tie break between just those three? More specifically, who would be the 4?

If my math and tie breaks are accurate this would put...

1. UF
2. UK
3. Ole Miss
4. Bama
5. UT
6. Missouri

This would be best scenario I've seen, we are the 5, and would get Bama in our first game. If this is accurate its definitely what I'm pulling for

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Uk, ole miss, and Bama are all 1-1 against each other. But UK beat Florida so they become #2.

Then it goes to head to head and since ole miss beat Bama. They get 3rd and Bama gets 4th. Sound right?

So it's not just down to Missouri and ole miss then?

We could be the 5 and draw Bama?

That's what I'm pulling for!