TennesseeTarheel
Sorry, but, this IS my day job.
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I'm figuring that the #3 team is going to beat the #21 team, but good question...could say the same about Ole Miss winning SEC championship and beats UGA I guess? But, I'd probably say MI is in, and OSU probably out...but all of this depends on what other teams in the top 8 do for the rest of the year and what style points they have.So if Michigan loses to Illinois, beats Ohio State and Michigan wins the B10 title are both in the playoff?
If their are 4 one loss teams or better LSU won’t make the CFP,imo. I think if The puppies lose the Seccg, they still have a better shot at getting in.Top team in the SEC west? SEC championship game? Really left out of playoff? You could be right, but not likely... Lets say you are right and the powers that be pick Ga., who wins the playoff set of games. What do you say then if you are the college football know it alls? This is not the same as basketball or baseball where it is alright for a team to get hot and win it all regardless of their season record, but if Ga. were to win out in this scenario, I guess we will be following the baseball - basketball idea. But it's hard for me to accept this type of situation because of the limited number of games in a season for football.
Ohio University is significantly older. When Ohio State was established in 1874 there was a push to demote the status of the existing state university (as well as Miami University) but eventually Ohio University was able to secure continued state support. Ohio State seems to be threatened enough by their older neighbor that they insist on being called THE state university, when of course Ohio has a bunch of state universities.
Top team in the SEC west? SEC championship game? Really left out of playoff? You could be right, but not likely... Lets say you are right and the powers that be pick Ga., who wins the playoff set of games. What do you say then if you are the college football know it alls? This is not the same as basketball or baseball where it is alright for a team to get hot and win it all regardless of their season record, but if Ga. were to win out in this scenario, I guess we will be following the baseball - basketball idea. But it's hard for me to accept this type of situation because of the limited number of games in a season for football.
It seems like a slam dunk that we should be in the playoffs if we win out. But I think the only teams to get the benefit of the doubt from not winning their divisions are Alabama and Ohio State (2017 and 2016). By losing, and not just losing but getting dominated, to Georgia, we are at the mercy of an untrustworthy committee. They can twist things to fit whatever narrative they want. We can debate this till the cows come home, but unless USC, TCU, and Clemson all lose a game (and I've even someone suggest that if TCU loses once but then wins the Big12 championship they'd still get the nod over us), we're going to be sweating it out until they announce the teams.
I think it would be ridiculous to put LSU in over us given the fact that we crushed them and would have a better record, but they could spin it as "LSU is clearly a different team now and playing its best football. Winning the SEC championship over the #1 team demonstrates they belong, whereas Tennessee's beatdown by Georgia proves they don't."
I think it would be ridiculous to put a 1-loss TCU or 1-loss Clemson or 1-loss USC in over us, but they can spin those as "these teams won a P5 conference championship while Tennessee couldn't win its own division."
I think it would be ridiculous to put a 1-loss Michigan who also didn't win its own division in over us, but they can spin that as "Michigan battled Ohio State to a much closer game than Tennessee did against Georgia."
I I’m telling ya, we are gonna get screwed out of the playoff and a Heisman.
The fact Bama took an extra L hurt us a lot.. Kentucky losing to Vandy hurt us also. SOS and SOR are very important to to the selection committee. If Michigan were to beat OSU it would really come down to HOW they beat them. If its a close game Ohio state is in if they get spanked its a different story.I was watching a CBS SEC game of the week preview on YouTube for the Missouri game and Dennis Dodd said that we need Ohio State to beat Michigan because that knocks Michigan out. I agree on that but he also said that if Michigan beats Ohio State then Ohio State wouldn’t drop out of the top 4. Why would they not? We were 1 lost to 3 away and dropped to 5. Ohio State is 1 and would lose to 3 and would have their loss at the end of the season on their own field while we would finish strong with 3 wins with two on the road.
We won’t get to play for a conference championship and neither would Ohio State. They also keep saying that conference championships carry more weight. Why does their loss carry less weight than ours in the same exact scenario? He did say margin of victory matters. We lost by 14 as the visitor at Georgia. Ohio state would have lost on their home field to Michigan which is good for at least a 7 point difference between our loss away and their loss at home as far and point spread prediction assuming they lost to Michigan by a touchdown or less. I’m telling ya, we are gonna get screwed out of the playoff and a Heisman.
It seems like a slam dunk that we should be in the playoffs if we win out. But I think the only teams to get the benefit of the doubt from not winning their divisions are Alabama and Ohio State (2017 and 2016). By losing, and not just losing but getting dominated, to Georgia, we are at the mercy of an untrustworthy committee. They can twist things to fit whatever narrative they want. We can debate this till the cows come home, but unless USC, TCU, and Clemson all lose a game (and I've even someone suggest that if TCU loses once but then wins the Big12 championship they'd still get the nod over us), we're going to be sweating it out until they announce the teams.
I think it would be ridiculous to put LSU in over us given the fact that we crushed them and would have a better record, but they could spin it as "LSU is clearly a different team now and playing its best football. Winning the SEC championship over the #1 team demonstrates they belong, whereas Tennessee's beatdown by Georgia proves they don't."
I think it would be ridiculous to put a 1-loss TCU or 1-loss Clemson or 1-loss USC in over us, but they can spin those as "these teams won a P5 conference championship while Tennessee couldn't win its own division."
I think it would be ridiculous to put a 1-loss Michigan who also didn't win its own division in over us, but they can spin that as "Michigan battled Ohio State to a much closer game than Tennessee did against Georgia."
I said this weeks ago. A 1 loss Ohio St has nothing to fear. ESPN will make sure they make it in. The issue I see is TCU. They may very well get in BUT there’s gonna be a lot of hand wringing when Ga beats them 42-0.Ohio state is in, win or lose against Michigan. The media, ESPN, and big money will demand it.
The committee chairmen has been quoted as viewing the Oregon and Tennessee losses to UGA as “being viewed the same”. They look at the game and not just the final scoreI seriously doubt any of the cfp committee watches all these games. All they know is Ga beat us 14 points at Ga. I doubt they even know they dominated us, just looking at the score.
I was watching a CBS SEC game of the week preview on YouTube for the Missouri game and Dennis Dodd said that we need Ohio State to beat Michigan because that knocks Michigan out. I agree on that but he also said that if Michigan beats Ohio State then Ohio State wouldn’t drop out of the top 4. Why would they not? We were 1 lost to 3 away and dropped to 5. Ohio State is 1 and would lose to 3 and would have their loss at the end of the season on their own field while we would finish strong with 3 wins with two on the road.
We won’t get to play for a conference championship and neither would Ohio State. They also keep saying that conference championships carry more weight. Why does their loss carry less weight than ours in the same exact scenario? He did say margin of victory matters. We lost by 14 as the visitor at Georgia. Ohio state would have lost on their home field to Michigan which is good for at least a 7 point difference between our loss away and their loss at home as far and point spread prediction assuming they lost to Michigan by a touchdown or less. I’m telling ya, we are gonna get screwed out of the playoff and a Heisman.