USA Today bowl projections

#28
#28
A January Bowl would be fantastic, if for no other reason, over a month of additional practice!!



.
 
#29
#29
lawgator1 said:
Last year's game:


cupcake-dog-war-flashbacks.gif
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That's a hilarious GIF
 
#30
#30
Velo Vol said:
Odds are the loser in Atlanta will be the second highest ranked team.
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Not unless they're both undefeated going into that game or if they're still one less loss ahead of all the others.


The polls often work very short term memory that time of year...and that's often meant in the past that, if two teams are close, there's a tendency to see that while one of those teams didn't play, it was still better than losing.
 
#31
#31
TXA&M07 said:
thank you for clarifying that for him.
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I had accidentally hit send on my phone while typing but stopped the transfer to the next page. It must have just posted a part of what I was typing.

The full post I was trying to type was posted further below on that page.
 
#33
#33
TrueOrange said:
Correct. That rule's there to help keep those teams from being passed in favor of a generally bigger name team (pretty much a similar reason to why there's that rule for only two teams max from each conference).

But also don't forget year before last; a #13 VT getting in (as well as that year's #11 Michigan) seemed to suggest that ticket sales rule all if you're not in the automatic zone and there's a better option available.


Though I wonder if they can take a lower ranked team (from the same conference) that's still in range over a higher ranked conference member.
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what i heard was the sugar bowl wanted texas a&m last year, but again, florida finished 3rd.

but, the sugar bowl thought they had a florida-oklahoma matchup right up until northern illinois decided to crash the party.
 
#36
#36
This would be a great bowl for this team... because of nothing but the date. Jan 4 gives EE's max time to get involved in practice.
 
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#37
#37
We beat South Carolina and Auburn and we're looking at a far better bowl. Let's build on the momentum from the Georgia game and mow down some teams.
 
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#39
#39
Rudy123 said:
Good prediction, but I can't seem to find our 6th win. We current have 3. Vandy is horrible, so that should be win # 4. Kentucky is bad, so that should be win #5.

But Alabama is un-defeated and playing well. Missouri is un-defeated. Auburn is 4 -1. South Carolina is vunerable but certainly not a game that we will be favored in.

I don't see a 6th win. Our best chance is against Missouri, Auburn or South Carolina though....
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Missouri hasn't beaten a team with a recruiting average in the top 40 in the nation. Missouri's mascot should be "paper tiger".

The likelihood of us beating Auburn is very slim, that is an incredibly talented team.

Here is a look at how all of the teams on our schedule have performed vs. their talent averages. UT is 3-3, and that is exactly what our talent averages would predict. Talent averages predict UT goes 4-2 over this 6 game stretch.
 

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#41
#41
Houston vs Tennessee, that's interesting.

They've got Missouri going to the Music City Bowl.
 
#42
#42
steelejacs said:
They're picking us to lose to auburn if they have auburn playing in the gator bowl and us in the compass vs. Houston
That cannot happen!
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what bowl we play in is more based on the record we finish the season with, not who beat who
 
#45
#45
So we need 6 wins period. I was under the impression that a certain number of those HAD to be SEC wins. I guess not.
 
#46
#46
coug said:
So we need 6 wins period. I was under the impression that a certain number of those HAD to be SEC wins. I guess not.
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No, six wins makes you eligible.


It used to be an FCS (at the time Division I-AA) win could only count towards bowl eligibility once every four years, but they changed that in the middle of the last decade (I want to say it was changed around the 2004-2005-2006-2007 area)
 
#47
#47
Way, Way premature, we must win 3 SEC games to become bowl eligable and that means 2 SEC road wins
 
#48
#48
daj2576 said:
Missouri hasn't beaten a team with a recruiting average in the top 40 in the nation. Missouri's mascot should be "paper tiger".

The likelihood of us beating Auburn is very slim, that is an incredibly talented team.

Here is a look at how all of the teams on our schedule have performed vs. their talent averages. UT is 3-3, and that is exactly what our talent averages would predict. Talent averages predict UT goes 4-2 over this 6 game stretch.
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daj,

When looking at talent averages vs. rankings, we've discussed Oregon plenty so we won't re-hash that but what about schools like Baylor and Stanford. Are those also heavily skewed teams where there ranking is significantly greater than their talent?

Just curious.
 
#50
#50
Rudy123 said:
Good prediction, but I can't seem to find our 6th win. We current have 3. Vandy is horrible, so that should be win # 4. Kentucky is bad, so that should be win #5.

But Alabama is un-defeated and playing well. Missouri is un-defeated. Auburn is 4 -1. South Carolina is vunerable but certainly not a game that we will be favored in.

I don't see a 6th win. Our best chance is against Missouri, Auburn or South Carolina though....
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Tennessee beats Vandy in a rout, beats Kentucky, beats Auburn and South Carolina - 7 wins and bowl and TN wins the bowl game
 
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