USA Today bowl projections

#51
#51
photovol said:
Way, Way premature, we must win 3 SEC games to become bowl eligable and that means 2 SEC road wins
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Not sure how you have figured this. We have SC, Vandy, Auburn at home with Bama, Missou, and KY on the road. There are 3 possible wins on the home schedule alone let alone one road win gimme by what I have seen and another possible.
 
#53
#53
Vol logic said:
Not sure how you have figured this. We have SC, Vandy, Auburn at home with Bama, Missou, and KY on the road. There are 3 possible wins on the home schedule alone let alone one road win gimme by what I have seen and another possible.
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Don't worry photovol is one of the negative posters around here. He still thinks our team stinks and we have no shot at getting to a bowl.
 
#57
#57
Still lucky to get 5 wins. Vandy is not a given. We still suck guys. So far we have lost the games the experts predicted. Worley is awful. I hope we bring it against SC but that will probably be a loss as well, at which point the wheels begin to come off. The SC game is THE game that will determine our season.
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#60
#60
Rudy123 said:
Good prediction, but I can't seem to find our 6th win. We current have 3. Vandy is horrible, so that should be win # 4. Kentucky is bad, so that should be win #5.

But Alabama is un-defeated and playing well. Missouri is un-defeated. Auburn is 4 -1. South Carolina is vunerable but certainly not a game that we will be favored in.

I don't see a 6th win. Our best chance is against Missouri, Auburn or South Carolina though....
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if there is a 6th win this year,it is going to be tuff going for the Vols,do i think they have a chance yes,it is hard to say what they are going to do,they need to establish who they are and go from there,hopefully Worley has shown that
 
#61
#61
im usually the optimistic one here boys and girls....but i dont see 3 more wins. sorry
 
#62
#62
lawgator1 said:
Cocky_soccer_goalie.gif
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Hahahaha hahahaha

That's so great!
 
#64
#64
I hope we get to a bowl game not gonna be easy to do.
SC win really outs us in great position.
 
#65
#65
Boca Vol said:
daj,

When looking at talent averages vs. rankings, we've discussed Oregon plenty so we won't re-hash that but what about schools like Baylor and Stanford. Are those also heavily skewed teams where there ranking is significantly greater than their talent?

Just curious.
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Remember using this very simple talent eval you can get to about a 70% prediction rate. Some teams / coaches fall within the 30% exception, obviously.

Attached is Baylor and Stanford's history to date. As you can see, 1) they haven't played any "top" teams and, 2) they don't recruit exceptionally well. But neither 1 or 2 matters because they don't play in conferences that recruit much better than them anyway. Baylor will play Oklahoma and Texas who out recruit them. Texas is a team who has a coach who has a drastic under performing effect. Similarly, Stanford will play Oregon and USC. Like Baylor only one of those teams has a modern history of using talent to their level of recruiting, or higher.

Either way, these teams sit having both won one game that talent predicted they should lose. BUT neither of their wins came over teams with exceptional talent gaps.
 

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#66
#66
daj2576 said:
Remember using this very simple talent eval you can get to about a 70% prediction rate. Some teams / coaches fall within the 30% exception, obviously.

Attached is Baylor and Stanford's history to date. As you can see, 1) they haven't played any "top" teams and, 2) they don't recruit exceptionally well. But neither 1 or 2 matters because they don't play in conferences that recruit much better than them anyway. Baylor will play Oklahoma and Texas who out recruit them. Texas is a team who has a coach who has a drastic under performing effect. Similarly, Stanford will play Oregon and USC. Like Baylor only one of those teams has a modern history of using talent to their level of recruiting, or higher.

Either way, these teams sit having both won one game that talent predicted they should lose. BUT neither of their wins came over teams with exceptional talent gaps.
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you probably posted this in one of your other threads but what is UT's number. You put the chart up there but not UT's number.
 
#70
#70
daj2576 said:
Remember using this very simple talent eval you can get to about a 70% prediction rate. Some teams / coaches fall within the 30% exception, obviously.

Attached is Baylor and Stanford's history to date. As you can see, 1) they haven't played any "top" teams and, 2) they don't recruit exceptionally well. But neither 1 or 2 matters because they don't play in conferences that recruit much better than them anyway. Baylor will play Oklahoma and Texas who out recruit them. Texas is a team who has a coach who has a drastic under performing effect. Similarly, Stanford will play Oregon and USC. Like Baylor only one of those teams has a modern history of using talent to their level of recruiting, or higher.

Either way, these teams sit having both won one game that talent predicted they should lose. BUT neither of their wins came over teams with exceptional talent gaps.
Click to expand...

So based on your talent charts it looks like Stanford and Oregon could be considered the most efficient or over-achieving teams in the country. Stanford has 29 talent and a 5 ranking.

UT at 15 in interesting. The problem is UT plays in the SEC. UT can have top 15 recruiting numbers and still be ranked 7th or 8th in the SEC. Thus, playing Bama, UGA, UF, S Carolina, etc. UT can have a 6-6 or 7-5 record with "solid" talent.
 
#71
#71
Rudy123 said:
Good prediction, but I can't seem to find our 6th win. We current have 3. Vandy is horrible, so that should be win # 4. Kentucky is bad, so that should be win #5.

But Alabama is un-defeated and playing well. Missouri is un-defeated. Auburn is 4 -1. South Carolina is vunerable but certainly not a game that we will be favored in.

I don't see a 6th win. Our best chance is against Missouri, Auburn or South Carolina though....
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Of course Missiouri is undefeated, pretty easy when your toughest game to this point has been vandy
 
#74
#74
http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2013/10/13/4833612/bowl-game-projections-predictions-2013-lsu-alabama-oregon`

were not predicted to make one
 
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