Vols open as 9.5 favorites over A&M

#51
#51
No way that line holds. I'll be surprised if we win this one even if it is at home. Just don't think we can run successfully against aTm and I certainly don't think our passing game can carry us. Don't like this matchup at all.
 
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#52
#52
VOLnMiami said:
It's not neutral, Hard rock is Miami's home stadium and its only minutes from campus.
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It's not minutes man. More like 30 minutes on days with no traffic.

Would be the equivalent of UT having their stadium in Dandridge.

I'm sure it made perfect sense costwise when they built it 40 years or so ago considering there was nothing out near Davie when they built the place, but that stadium is an albatross for the Canes and the Dolphins.

Best thing for Miami would be to let the Marlins go and somehow re-tool that stadium for football.
 
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#54
#54
SP+ rankings have them as 3 points better at a neutral site. So, we would be slight favorites at home with a bye week. FPI about the same. Massey says we are 2 points better at home. This line seems high.
 
#56
#56
cherokeeeVOL said:
I’m pleasantly surprised by that. They look like the most balanced team we’ll face the rest of the way. Maybe they came out of Arkansas with some injuries or they’re factoring in the game against Bama before they face us.
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It will be their 7th game in a row and we'll be coming off a bye (and like you mentioned, they're playing Bama). I think that certainly favors us.
 
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#59
#59
vavolfan6 said:
I wouldn't touch this game until after the Bama game. There is still alot to learn about Texas A&Ms offense with Max Johnson at QB

Also, I'm not sure what to think about A&Ms defense. They are supposedly a top 5 group in some statistics (Sacks, Yards Allowed, etc), and top 25 in most other categories, yet Miami put up 48 on them. I think they've played one dimensional offenses in both Auburn and Arkansas, along with two other smaller programs, so that may have skewed some numbers.
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Auburn is dreadful on offense. They have absolutely nothing at QB. I'm surprised they moved it reasonably well against Georgia. Arkansas also looks pretty bad this year. The Bama game will help me determine a lot about them. I think they're pretty solid, but their defensive line beat up a really terrible Arkansas offensive line. I think ours should fare much better.
 
#60
#60
Got to see them live at Jerry World. QB and offense looked good. Hard to tell on Defense against Arky but they moved the ball well early. Seems QB likes to run more than they want. Can see Neyland having a big affect.
 
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#61
#61
VolPack22 said:
I thought Miami had been playing home games at Hard Rock for at least 15 years now? It’s just they never have the fan support to put people in the stands so it’s not a home field advantage.
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Yes, Hard Rock has been Miami’s home field since 2008. They are 69-28 in regular season games there during that time. While they don’t fill it week in and week out, it’s still a major advantage for them, particularly in big games when it’s full.
 
#62
#62
VolCalls said:
Yes, Hard Rock has been Miami’s home field since 2008. They are 69-28 in regular season games there during that time. While they don’t fill it week in and week out, it’s still a major advantage for them, particularly in big games when it’s full.
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I would have loved to play in the ACC all these years too. No telling what our record would be.
 
#67
#67
CAVPUT said:
No way that line holds. I'll be surprised if we win this one even if it is at home. Just don't think we can run successfully against aTm and I certainly don't think our passing game can carry us. Don't like this matchup at all.
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I love this match-up. It's on our turf with an extra week to buff up. Bring it.
 
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#68
#68
bigorangecrush89 said:
Home field and coming off a bye are worth several points. I do think they have a more talented roster top to bottom.
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They do every year with Jimbo, but still underachieve. There’s not a great deal of development with that talent so far. This year may be the outlier though. It’ll be a tough game.
 
#69
#69
I think the bye week we have plus home field advantage should give us an edge but it will be close. Whichever offensive line plays better may win this game. If we start efficiently with tempo, A&M may not react well on the road, with the crowd noise. They are prone to turnovers too. Our rushing attack needs to attack both between tackles and on perimeter and some misdirection can slow them down.

They have a good defensive line but I'm not sure about their secondary. Offensively, if we can play with the lead I think they will abandon their running game early, which is what we want. I do worry a bit about Petrino calling plays. If Johnson has time to throw he will make us pay as he is pretty good and they have 2 good WRs. Smith is dangerous with the ball in his hands after the catch. This may be a game Banks has to dream up some interesting blitz packages at the right time, as I'm not sure we will be able to rely exclusively on a 4 man rush much like we did against South Carolina.

A&M beat LSU on the road last year because they ran the ball effectively. We have to shut that down from the jump. In many ways, A&M and UT are very similar. Will know more about A&M after they play Bama this weekend. I'm not sure they or even UT knows exactly what both teams have this year until the competition levels increases. Miami gave up turnovers to A&M 2x in their own redzone and still blew them out on the scoreboard.
 
#70
#70
Tough one—I just want to win. TAMU is easily the most talented team we’ve played this year. Hopefully they beat Alabama this weekend. I think they will have a good shot w/Bama coming to College Station. TAMU with what I call the “golden home dog” number of +2.5. I love that number for TAMU. In my gambling opinion that is a TAMU or no bet. No way I’m touching Bama in this game at -2.5 if it holds until kickoff. All the Bama mystique has faded for me at this point. Should be a good game and I’ll be watching.
 
#71
#71
tennesseeduke said:
A&M will beat Bama this week and then they will be favored over us. I'm waiting on the line till then. Bama's season will start to crumble with 2 losses, and I've predicted they lose 4 games this year. 8-4 for the Tide turds!
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Flat-footed QBs don't beat Alabama. Max Johnson is immobile, and TAMU won't risk running him anyway. The 3rd string -- Henderson -- threw 8 passes in 2021 (for Fresno State) -- that's it.
 
#72
#72
Does this mean they will be favoring us at Bama? Bama is only a field goal favorite against TAM
 
#75
#75
CAVPUT said:
No way that line holds. I'll be surprised if we win this one even if it is at home. Just don't think we can run successfully against aTm and I certainly don't think our passing game can carry us. Don't like this matchup at all.
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Plus I think they may beat Bama this week. So get 9.5 will you can
 
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