War in Ukraine



Trying to catch up since last night.

This seems to be most plausible. This was clearly well planned and aided by internal factions (beyond Wagner). The question is how much support they have internally and how many wait-and-see factions internally are going to break towards Wagner.

If those wait-and-see factions are numerous and start breaking towards Wagner, this could end quickly in a way inconceivable just a few days ago.

Lots of unknown factors right now.
 
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Trying to catch up since last night.

This seems to be most plausible. This was clearly well planned and aided by internal factions (beyond Wagner). The question is how much support they have internally and how many wait-and-see factions internally are going to break towards Wagner.

If those wait-and-see factions are numerous start breaking towards Wagner, this could end quickly in a way inconceivable just a few days ago.

Lots unknown factors right now.

Remember at the beginning of the war last year, Putin jailed the head of the FSB fifth service, Sergei Beseda, and sacked many of the agents whose sole job was to prepare Ukraine for an invasion, and provide intelligence on what was occurring in the country.

A senior Russian official was sent to a notorious Moscow jail in retribution for poor Ukraine intel, expert says

This can't have garnered much love from the FSB as a whole.
 
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Wagner forces have crossed from occupied eastern Ukraine into the big southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don, and claim to have taken control of the city and its military facilities. President Putin says the situation is difficult but has promised to do everything to defend Russia.
 
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Wagner forces have crossed from occupied eastern Ukraine into the big southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don, and claim to have taken control of the city and its military facilities. President Putin says the situation is difficult but has promised to do everything to defend Russia.

It's probably about chicks.
 

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