1. A vastly-improved defense. At least in the top half of the SEC. A defense with our level of talent should never be in the bottom half. A simpler system should help our players' on-field instincts.
2. A solid 3-man rotation at RB. Hopefully Neal, Lane, and Smith or Hill can combine for at least 1,500 rushing yards this season because that would mean we're winning some games.
3. A QB that can manage the game. I really don't expect Bray-like numbers from Worley or Peterman this year. If we can have a more than solid running game and be effective enough when passing, I think we'll be just fine.
I can't wait to upset some people...I don't expect much from this season, and if we win a lot of games I will be happily surprised, but I do expect an upset here or there. This year will be a foundational year...I think shooting for a bowl game (6-6) and winning the bowl (7-6) is within a reasonable expectation for this team. Though we really wont know for sure until they strap on the game day jerseys. So I'm looking for improvement in all areas of the team.
Yeah losing our oline is going to be roughI am going to go ahead and upset some people.
I am pretty sure Jones will not survive if he only wins 6 or 7 games this year. He has one of the deepest, most experienced OL's in the country. He has young talent at skill positions. He has two returning SEC quality RB's. He has big athletic bodies on the DL. He is thin but has some good players at LB. He has speed and athleticism at DB. He has two kickers that have now been around for 4 years and have some talent.
So let's say he gets only 6 regular season wins... what will that say? It will be the first statement that he really isn't anything special as a HC.
Then we get to next year. That OL is gone. Most of the DL's who will play significant roles this fall will be gone. At least 3 of the top 4 LB's will be gone. He will be down to one SEC quality RB who has played.
If 6 is reasonable this year then surely your top end is what next year? 4? 5 tops?
That would put Jones pretty much in the same situation that Dooley was in last year in '15... win... or get fired. AND he will still have a relatively young team heavily dependent on whoever he signs in the '14 class.
I want the guy to succeed. But this roster is likely to be better than next fall and probably the next one after that. You can wish that Vol fans will be "patient" into year 4 or 5... but that simply isn't realistic.
Yeah losing our oline is going to be rough
I am going to go ahead and upset some people now.
I am pretty sure Jones will not survive if he only wins 6 or 7 games this year. He has one of the deepest, most experienced OL's in the country. He has young talent at skill positions. He has two returning SEC quality RB's. He has big athletic bodies on the DL. He is thin but has some good players at LB. He has speed and athleticism at DB. He has two kickers that have now been around for 4 years and have some talent.
So let's say he gets only 6 regular season wins... what will that say? It will be the first statement that he really isn't anything special as a HC. UT does not need an "average" or "meets expectations" coach. UT needs a guy whose teams are better than the sum of their parts. They need a coach who can outcoach other SEC coaches then out recruit them too. Six wins says he isn't that guy.
Then we get to next year. That OL is gone. Most of the DL's who will play significant roles this fall will be gone. At least 3 of the top 4 LB's will be gone. He will be down to one SEC quality RB who has played.
If 6 is reasonable this year then surely your top end is what next year? 4? 5 tops?
That would put Jones pretty much in the same situation that Dooley was in last year in '15... win... or get fired. AND he will still have a relatively young team heavily dependent on whoever he signs in the '14 class.
I want the guy to succeed. But this roster is likely to be better than next fall and probably the next one after that. You can wish that Vol fans will be "patient" into year 4 or 5... but that simply isn't realistic. I hope he far exceeds expectations every year.... but my bet is it has to start in '13 for him to have a chance.