RiseToTheTop
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People said the same things about Bryce Brown before his freshman year. We all know how that worked out.
People said the same things about Lane before his freshman year. He performed well, but wasn't as awesome as some predicted.
People said the same thing about Devonte Bourque. He was gone in two weeks.
Let's start by having more moderate expectations. Otherwise, some of you guys are always going to be setting yourselves up for disappointment.
Honestly I have no idea what to expect. I imagine he'll show some promise, but Butch's offense usually features one back who gets the lion's share of the carries and yards. That will be Lane this year (as long as he stays healthy).
My expectations for Hurd are probably somewhere in the 500-700 yard range (if he stays healthy) and 3-6 tds.
If Lane stays healthy, I'd expect him to match or slightly exceed Raijon's numbers from last season.
I really don't think 1000-1100 yards is unreasonable as the #2 back with this system. There's really no excuse for Lane to not hit 1500, we should be able to run outside at will with our TE's and are Reciever Core'ps size and blocking ability.
Just matters if he's the #2 or number 1 or 3 Rb,
I know it's probably the offseason-overhyper in me, but I really expect huge things from Hurd. Even this year as a true freshman.
Now granted, he'll have the ball in his hands against Utah State in front of 100,000+ fans for the very first time, and that can be terrifying for a young player, but I think once he gets comfortable he will be a monster in the league. Personally, I expect him to be the starter by Oklahoma.
I'm very aware it's a blind prediction, but for those of you who aren't aware, here's what we're dealing with talent-wise:
-Junior year he rushed for 3,357 yards and 43 TD's. Both state records. 3,357..... in one season...... let that sink in.
-Also junior year, scored 294 points. That's not what his team scored, just him alone.
-He got injured his senior year, only getting to play one game, but in this one game he rushed for 177 yards and 3 TD's.
-Played some defense in this one game his senior year as well, he had 8 tackles and an interception.
-Averaged 10.58 yards per carry in HS.
-In HS, had 3 games of 390+ rushing yards. One was 451.
-In the State Championship of 2012, he led his 15-0 team to a slaughterfest over their opponents. He rushed for 394 yards and 7 TD's that game.
With this in mind, does anyone think he won't have an absolute dynamite year in 2014? If so, why not?
.......... and NB4 too tall![]()
I, like many, think Hurd could be the best back we've had in quite some time. Everything I've seen suggests he's a pretty tough kid. More importantly, he's fast. I wouldn't be surprised if his ypa is pretty high because he is a threat to break it long every time he touches the ball. I think Butch said he still had some work to do before he would realize his potential at this level but I think Gillespie could be our best position coach so we're probably good there.
Our offense favors the run and that has been the case much of Butch & Bajakian's career, at CMU, Cincinnati, and last year with us. Last year Neal had 215 carries and Lane had 101, all in 12 games. We should have at least one extra game this year and we may have more freshmen on defense than is comfortable so we may even run a bit more than normal. I'm figuring 520 rushes for the year for the team and the two primary backs get 70% of the carries. I don't think Lane can make it through a full season without some recovery time so I think Hurd may have at least 1/2 the carries of the primary backs for the full season. I think he'll have a high average, around 6.25 ypa.
[(520*0.7)/2]*6.25 = 1,138 yards rushing with 12 TD's 3 Fumbles,
34 receptions and 4 TD's receiving.
It'll be the toughest year of Jalen's life in a physical sense because there will certainly be a number of times when he's stopped for no gain. That happens when the defense loads the box on you and it'll also be the reason, imo, why he only edges Malone by less than 200 on the year for the lead in all-purpose yards. jmo.
The history of our offense between run and pass:
The sec part of the schedule will take him a little while to adjust to but then look out!