What if We Lose (Updated 11/19/2024)

[508mikey]

I would not want to play Indiana in the playoffs.

its showing ND anyway

 

[VolCalls]

Irrelevant. We are a better team than Indiana.

Not according to the rankings.

 

[BigOrangeTrain]

Not according to the rankings.

You think they are infallible? Have you watched them play? Have you watched Penn State play? I have. And I highly doubt either one of those could score 20 on us. If you don’t think we are better than Indiana right now then you need help.

 

[Other_Guy]

Tenn is actually better off losing a close game with Gaston in to where the committee thinks it could've been different if nico played... this would help get Tenn the benefit of the doubt for the playoffs. If Tenn loses with nico? I have a bad feeling they get left out.

 

[mrmax86]

Rk	11/5 CFP	11/9	11/12 CFP My Projection	+/-	11/12 CFP Actual	+/-	Actual vs Projection	Conference	Current Seeding
1	Oregon	W	Oregon		Oregon			Big Ten	1*
2	Ohio St	W	Ohio St		Ohio St			Big Ten	5
3	Georgia	L	Texas	+2	Texas	+2		SEC	2*
4	Miami	L	Penn St	+2	Penn St	+2		Big Ten	6
5	Texas	W	Indiana	+2	Indiana	+3		Big Ten	7
6	Penn St	W	Tennessee	+1	BYU	+3	+1	Big 12	3*
7	Tennessee	W	BYU	+2	Tennessee		-1	SEC	8
8	Indiana	W	ND	+2	ND	+2		Independent	9
9	BYU	W	Alabama	+2	Miami	-5	+4	ACC	4*
10	ND	W	Ole Miss	+6	Alabama	+1	-1	SEC	10
11	Alabama	W	Georgia	-8	Ole Miss	+5	-1	SEC	11
12	Boise	W	Boise		Georgia	-9	-1	SEC
13	SMU	---	Miami	-9	Boise	-1	-1	Mount West	12
14	A&M	---	SMU	-1	SMU	-1		ACC
15	LSU	L	A&M	-1	A&M	-1		SEC
16	Ole Miss	W	Colorado	+4	K State	+3	+1	Big 12
17	Iowa St	L	K State	+2	Colorado	+3	-1	Big 12
18	Pittsburgh	L	Wazzu	+3	Wazzu	+3		PAC 12
19	K State	---	Louisville	+3	Louisville	+3		ACC
20	Colorado	W	Clemson	+3	Clemson	+3		ACC
21	Wazzu	W	Missouri	+3	S. Car	NR	+3	SEC
22	Louisville	---	Army	+3	LSU	-7	+1	SEC
23	Clemson	W	LSU	-8	Missouri	+1	-2	SEC
24	Missouri	W	S. Car	NR	Army	+1	-2	American
25	Army	W	Tulane	NR	Tulane	NR		American

-Really missed on Miami and Georgia
-I had projected they'd put Indiana over us, but didn't expect BYU (WTF)

I will re-post my future "what if we lose" rankings now that we have actuals from last night

 

[Cartervol]

They're looking for a excuse to punt Tennessee..this would be as good as any..

 

[bigorangecrush89]

I dont care if UT makes the playoffs or not. If they do great, if not, fine. Im enjoying the ride and wins over our rivals again. Im not turning my nose up at a 10-win season no matter how it comes.

 

[mrmax86]

Rk	11/5 CFP	11/9	11/12 CFP My Projection	+/-	11/12 CFP Actual	+/-	Actual vs Projection	Conference	Current Seeding
1	Oregon	W	Oregon		Oregon			Big Ten	1*
2	Ohio St	W	Ohio St		Ohio St			Big Ten	5
3	Georgia	L	Texas	+2	Texas	+2		SEC	2*
4	Miami	L	Penn St	+2	Penn St	+2		Big Ten	6
5	Texas	W	Indiana	+2	Indiana	+3		Big Ten	7
6	Penn St	W	Tennessee	+1	BYU	+3	+1	Big 12	3*
7	Tennessee	W	BYU	+2	Tennessee		-1	SEC	8
8	Indiana	W	ND	+2	ND	+2		Independent	9
9	BYU	W	Alabama	+2	Miami	-5	+4	ACC	4*
10	ND	W	Ole Miss	+6	Alabama	+1	-1	SEC	10
11	Alabama	W	Georgia	-8	Ole Miss	+5	-1	SEC	11
12	Boise	W	Boise		Georgia	-9	-1	SEC
13	SMU	---	Miami	-9	Boise	-1	-1	Mount West	12
14	A&M	---	SMU	-1	SMU	-1		ACC
15	LSU	L	A&M	-1	A&M	-1		SEC
16	Ole Miss	W	Colorado	+4	K State	+3	+1	Big 12
17	Iowa St	L	K State	+2	Colorado	+3	-1	Big 12
18	Pittsburgh	L	Wazzu	+3	Wazzu	+3		PAC 12
19	K State	---	Louisville	+3	Louisville	+3		ACC
20	Colorado	W	Clemson	+3	Clemson	+3		ACC
21	Wazzu	W	Missouri	+3	S. Car	NR	+3	SEC
22	Louisville	---	Army	+3	LSU	-7	+1	SEC
23	Clemson	W	LSU	-8	Missouri	+1	-2	SEC
24	Missouri	W	S. Car	NR	Army	+1	-2	American
25	Army	W	Tulane	NR	Tulane	NR		American

-Really missed on Miami and Georgia
-I had projected they'd put Indiana over us, but didn't expect BYU (WTF)

I will re-post my future "what if we lose" rankings now that we have actuals from last night

Rk

11/5 CFP

11/9

11/12 CFP

+/-

11/16

11/19 CFP

+/-

11/23

11/26 CFP

+/-

11/30

Final Rank

1

Oregon

W

Oregon

W

Oregon

W

Oregon

W

1*

2

Ohio St

W

Ohio St

W

Ohio St

W

Ohio St

W

5

3

Georgia

L

Texas

+2

W

Texas

W

Texas

W

2*

4

Miami

L

Penn St

+2

W

Penn St

W

Penn St

W

6

5

Texas

W

Indiana

+3

---

Indiana

L

BYU

+1

W

3*

6

Penn St

W

BYU

+3

W

BYU

W

ND

+1

W

7

7

Tennessee

W

Tennessee

L

ND

+1

W

Georgia

+1

W

8

8

Indiana

W

ND

+2

W

Georgia

+4

W

Miami

+1

W

4*

9

BYU

W

Miami

-5

---

Miami

W

Alabama

+1

W

9

10

ND

W

Alabama

+1

W

Alabama

W

Ole Miss

+1

W

10

11

Alabama

W

Ole Miss

+5

---

Ole Miss

W

Indiana

-6

W

11

12

Boise

W

Georgia

-9

W

Tennessee

-5

W

Tennessee

W

13

SMU

---

Boise

-1

W

Boise

W

Boise

W

12*

14

A&M

---

SMU

-1

W

SMU

W

SMU

W

15

LSU

L

A&M

-1

W

A&M

W

A&M

L

16

Ole Miss

W

K State

+3

W

K State

W

K State

W

17

Iowa St

L

Colorado

+3

W

Colorado

W

Colorado

W

18

Pittsburgh

L

Wazzu

+3

W

Louisville

+1

W

Louisville

W

19

K State

---

Louisville

+3

W

Wazzu

-1

W

Wazzu

W

20

Colorado

W

Clemson

+3

W

S. Car

+1

W

S. Car

W

21

Wazzu

W

S. Car

NR

W

Clemson

-1

W

Clemson

L

22

Louisville

---

LSU

-7

W

LSU

W

LSU

W

23

Clemson

W

Missouri

+1

L

Army

+1

L

Tulane

+1

W

24

Missouri

W

Army

+1

---

Tulane

+1

---

Iowa St.

+1

L

25

Army

W

Tulane

NR

W

Iowa St

NR

W

UNLV

NR

W

*Conference champs

Reconfiguring my table to include last night's rankings

-Assuming Indiana loses to Ohio State, I now expect Indiana to slot in above Tennessee.
-Colorado could steal a bid and screw over the next one.
-I see a few games that could save us, and have medium likelihood of happening:
---Penn State @ 6-4 Minnesota Week 13
---10-0 Army @ Notre Dame Week 13
---7-4 Georgia Tech @ Georgia Week 14
---Texas @ 9-2 Texas A&M Week 14? Would A&M hop us? Would Texas drop below us?

 

[Titan&Volfan4life]

We're NOT going to lose!!!

UGa is going to wonder what HIT them.

Vols by 14.

VFL...GBO!!!

 

[Johnnyreb#VFL]

I think we can play our way back in if we lose with a “little” help

 

[mrmax86]

Rk

11/12 CFP

11/16

11/19 CFP

+/-

11/23

11/26 CFP

+/-

11/30

12/3 CFP

+/-

Final Rank

Conf

1

Oregon

W

Oregon

W

Oregon

W

Oregon

1*

Big Ten

2

Ohio St

W

Ohio St

W

Ohio St

W

Ohio St

5

Big Ten

3

Texas

W

Texas

W

Texas

W

Texas

2*

SEC

4

Penn St

W

Penn St

W

Penn St

W

Penn St

6

Big Ten

5

Indiana

---

Indiana

L

ND

+1

W

ND

7

Indep

6

BYU

L

ND

+2

W

Miami

+1

W

Miami

3*

ACC

7

Tennessee

L

Miami

+2

W

Alabama

+1

W

Alabama

8

SEC

8

ND

W

Alabama

+2

W

Georgia

+1

W

Georgia

9

SEC

9

Miami

---

Georgia

+3

W

Indiana

-4

W

Indiana

10

Big Ten

10

Alabama

W

Tennessee

-3

W

Tennessee

W

Tennessee

11

SEC

11

Ole Miss

---

Ole Miss

W

Ole Miss

W

Ole Miss

SEC

12

Georgia

W

Boise

+1

W

Boise

W

Boise

4*

MW

13

Boise

W

BYU

-7

W

BYU

W

BYU

12*

Big 12

14

SMU

W

SMU

W

SMU

W

SMU

ACC

15

A&M

W

A&M

W

A&M

L

Colorado

+1

Big 12

16

K State

L

Colorado

+1

W

Colorado

W

Clemson

+1

ACC

17

Colorado

W

Clemson

+3

W

Clemson

W

Tulane

+2

American

18

Wazzu

L

S. Car

+3

W

S. Car

L

Iowa St

+2

Big 12

19

Louisville

L

Army

+5

L

Tulane

+1

W

Wazzu

+2

PAC 12

20

Clemson

W

Tulane

+5

W

Iowa St

+2

W

Illinois

+2

Big Ten

21

S. Car

W

AZ State

NR

L

Wazzu

+2

W

A&M

-6

SEC

22

LSU

L

Iowa St

NR

W

Illinois

+2

W

S. Car

-4

SEC

23

Missouri

L

Wazzu

-5

W

Missouri

+2

W

Missouri

SEC

24

Army

---

Illinois

NR

W

UNLV

NR

W

UNLV

MW

25

Tulane

W

Missouri

-2

W

Memphis

NR

L

K State

Big 12

*Conference champs

Our biggest competition is Ole Miss and Indiana, the last 2 weeks. Need them to lose, or for the committee to favor us over them in the coming weeks. Will be interesting to see.

 

[Estalcup]

.

 

[mrmax86]

.

 

[RDU VOL#14]