What if We Lose

#79
#79
Tenn is actually better off losing a close game with Gaston in to where the committee thinks it could've been different if nico played... this would help get Tenn the benefit of the doubt for the playoffs. If Tenn loses with nico? I have a bad feeling they get left out.
 
#80
#80
Rk11/5
CFP
11/911/12 CFP
My Projection
+/-11/12 CFP
Actual
+/-Actual vs
Projection
ConferenceCurrent
Seeding
1OregonWOregonOregonBig Ten1*
2Ohio StWOhio StOhio StBig Ten5
3GeorgiaLTexas+2Texas+2SEC2*
4MiamiLPenn St+2Penn St+2Big Ten6
5TexasWIndiana+2Indiana+3Big Ten7
6Penn StWTennessee+1BYU+3+1Big 123*
7TennesseeWBYU+2Tennessee-1SEC8
8IndianaWND+2ND+2Independent9
9BYUWAlabama+2Miami-5+4ACC4*
10NDWOle Miss+6Alabama+1-1SEC10
11AlabamaWGeorgia-8Ole Miss+5-1SEC11
12BoiseWBoiseGeorgia-9-1SEC
13SMU---Miami-9Boise-1-1Mount West12
14A&M---SMU-1SMU-1ACC
15LSULA&M-1A&M-1SEC
16Ole MissWColorado+4K State+3+1Big 12
17Iowa StLK State+2Colorado+3-1Big 12
18PittsburghLWazzu+3Wazzu+3PAC 12
19K State---Louisville+3Louisville+3ACC
20ColoradoWClemson+3Clemson+3ACC
21WazzuWMissouri+3S. CarNR+3SEC
22Louisville---Army+3LSU-7+1SEC
23ClemsonWLSU-8Missouri+1-2SEC
24MissouriWS. CarNRArmy+1-2American
25ArmyWTulaneNRTulaneNRAmerican

-Really missed on Miami and Georgia
-I had projected they'd put Indiana over us, but didn't expect BYU (WTF)

I will re-post my future "what if we lose" rankings now that we have actuals from last night
 
#82
#82
I dont care if UT makes the playoffs or not. If they do great, if not, fine. Im enjoying the ride and wins over our rivals again. Im not turning my nose up at a 10-win season no matter how it comes.
 
#83
#83
Rk11/5
CFP
11/911/12 CFP
My Projection
+/-11/12 CFP
Actual
+/-Actual vs
Projection
ConferenceCurrent
Seeding
1OregonWOregonOregonBig Ten1*
2Ohio StWOhio StOhio StBig Ten5
3GeorgiaLTexas+2Texas+2SEC2*
4MiamiLPenn St+2Penn St+2Big Ten6
5TexasWIndiana+2Indiana+3Big Ten7
6Penn StWTennessee+1BYU+3+1Big 123*
7TennesseeWBYU+2Tennessee-1SEC8
8IndianaWND+2ND+2Independent9
9BYUWAlabama+2Miami-5+4ACC4*
10NDWOle Miss+6Alabama+1-1SEC10
11AlabamaWGeorgia-8Ole Miss+5-1SEC11
12BoiseWBoiseGeorgia-9-1SEC
13SMU---Miami-9Boise-1-1Mount West12
14A&M---SMU-1SMU-1ACC
15LSULA&M-1A&M-1SEC
16Ole MissWColorado+4K State+3+1Big 12
17Iowa StLK State+2Colorado+3-1Big 12
18PittsburghLWazzu+3Wazzu+3PAC 12
19K State---Louisville+3Louisville+3ACC
20ColoradoWClemson+3Clemson+3ACC
21WazzuWMissouri+3S. CarNR+3SEC
22Louisville---Army+3LSU-7+1SEC
23ClemsonWLSU-8Missouri+1-2SEC
24MissouriWS. CarNRArmy+1-2American
25ArmyWTulaneNRTulaneNRAmerican

-Really missed on Miami and Georgia
-I had projected they'd put Indiana over us, but didn't expect BYU (WTF)

I will re-post my future "what if we lose" rankings now that we have actuals from last night
Rk11/5
CFP
11/911/12
CFP
+/-11/1611/19
CFP
+/-11/2311/26
CFP
+/-11/30Final
Rank
1OregonWOregonWOregonWOregonW1*
2Ohio StWOhio StWOhio StWOhio StW5
3GeorgiaLTexas+2WTexasWTexasW2*
4MiamiLPenn St+2WPenn StWPenn StW6
5TexasWIndiana+3---IndianaLBYU+1W3*
6Penn StWBYU+3WBYUWND+1W7
7TennesseeWTennesseeLND+1WGeorgia+1W8
8IndianaWND+2WGeorgia+4WMiami+1W4*
9BYUWMiami-5---MiamiWAlabama+1W9
10NDWAlabama+1WAlabamaWOle Miss+1W10
11AlabamaWOle Miss+5---Ole MissWIndiana-6W11
12BoiseWGeorgia-9WTennessee-5WTennesseeW
13SMU---Boise-1WBoiseWBoiseW12*
14A&M---SMU-1WSMUWSMUW
15LSULA&M-1WA&MWA&ML
16Ole MissWK State+3WK StateWK StateW
17Iowa StLColorado+3WColoradoWColoradoW
18PittsburghLWazzu+3WLouisville+1WLouisvilleW
19K State---Louisville+3WWazzu-1WWazzuW
20ColoradoWClemson+3WS. Car+1WS. CarW
21WazzuWS. CarNRWClemson-1WClemsonL
22Louisville---LSU-7WLSUWLSUW
23ClemsonWMissouri+1LArmy+1LTulane+1W
24MissouriWArmy+1---Tulane+1---Iowa St.+1L
25ArmyWTulaneNRWIowa StNRWUNLVNRW

*Conference champs

Reconfiguring my table to include last night's rankings

-Assuming Indiana loses to Ohio State, I now expect Indiana to slot in above Tennessee.
-Colorado could steal a bid and screw over the next one.
-I see a few games that could save us, and have medium likelihood of happening:
---Penn State @ 6-4 Minnesota Week 13
---10-0 Army @ Notre Dame Week 13
---7-4 Georgia Tech @ Georgia Week 14
---Texas @ 9-2 Texas A&M Week 14? Would A&M hop us? Would Texas drop below us?
 

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