What is it going to take..

#51
#51
zansdad said:
It's back up now. It was down all day yesterday. I am not saying that I think that UT wins out. Just saying that the math, according to rpiforcast.com, shows that winning out would make the Vols' RPI jump into the 60's. I'm no math major though, so I will leave it to others to debate the formulas being used.
Click to expand...

According to them winning out reg season and LOSING sec championship game were 44.
 
#53
#53
Don't have any computer models, but we have a very real chance of winning out, coming home for the finale against Vandy. What a game that would be. Win that, then two in the SECT, we are bound to make the dance.
 
#54
#54
If we win 5 of 6 (=18-13) -- very probable -- and avoid Kentucky in the 2nd round of the SECT, @ 20-13 and with 4+ wins vs. Top 25s, UT is in.

Also, there's the Stokes factor -- he wasn't there till we'd already lost 8 games.
 
#55
#55
WiseOlVol said:
If we win 5 of 6 (=18-13) -- very probable -- and avoid Kentucky in the 2nd round of the SECT, @ 20-13 and with 4+ wins vs. Top 25s, UT is in.

Also, there's the Stokes factor -- he wasn't there till we'd already lost 8 games.
Click to expand...

Bingo! may not be considered a lock, BUT we will be on the bubble atleast which is all you can ask for.
 
#56
#56
bleedingTNorange said:
Bingo! may not be considered a lock, BUT we will be on the bubble atleast which is all you can ask for.
Click to expand...

I'm seeing RPI 107, but we bumped FLA all the way down to 28. Heeheehee

Still can't see us getting to 60 with the schedule we've got left. No more 14s to knock off to jump it that high.

Vandy still up there though. But home wins don't count as much.
 
#57
#57
calban said:
I'm seeing RPI 107, but we bumped FLA all the way down to 28. Heeheehee

Still can't see us getting to 60 with the schedule we've got left. No more 14s to knock off to jump it that high.

Vandy still up there though. But home wins don't count as much.
Click to expand...

if we win out, including vandy at home.
go to sec t, and win 1st 2 and lost in sec t championship

our record is...21-13(11-5), 11-1 in our last 12, and 13-5 with stokes...

according to site our projected rpi in that scenario is in the 40's.
 
#58
#58
some food for thought we're not thinking about guys:

if tennessee goes 6-0 the rest of the way, and even if they go 5-1 our conference record is 11-5 or 10-6, that is most likely going to earn us a first round bye. right now msu is 4th place with 4 losses.

so just something to think about there. if we win out and go sec t, most likely will have a first round bye, therefore we wont get a chance to play as many games.

1 and 4 are going to meet in the semifinals, so we really would rather be a 2 or 3 to avoid KY until the championship. at this point vandy and florida are the 2 and 3 so start rooting against them, remember we will hold the tie breaker against florida.
 
#59
#59
if we win out and win 2 games in the sec tourney would put us playing uk in the championship (meaning, winning out gives us a first round bye and possible a 3 seed)

florida still has vandy and uk...does anyone with a brain not see state falling on their face? No way the sec snubs us if we win out and go to the championship game. I think an at large bid is automatic in that scenario
Posted via VolNation Mobile
 
#60
#60
Shaun1985 said:
if we win out and win 2 games in the sec tourney would put us playing uk in the championship (meaning, winning out gives us a first round bye and possible a 3 seed)

florida still has vandy and uk...does anyone with a brain not see state falling on their face? No way the sec snubs us if we win out and go to the championship game. I think an at large bid is automatic in that scenario
Posted via VolNation Mobile
Click to expand...

exactly. if we finish 2, 3 or 4 in the sec and play better down the stretch than everyone other thank UK. how would the committee leave us out, it wouldnt make sense.

obviously we need to take care of business for this to become relevant. so everyone:

cheer for UT to win
and root for vandy, uf, bama, ole miss, and ark to lose. the more they lose, and the more we win the better our chances get.
 
#61
#61
calban said:
I'm seeing RPI 107, but we bumped FLA all the way down to 28. Heeheehee

Still can't see us getting to 60 with the schedule we've got left. No more 14s to knock off to jump it that high.

Vandy still up there though. But home wins don't count as much.
Click to expand...

The thing about the RPI is that while beating teams with high RPI's is nice, it isn't as important as beating teams in general. Especially on the road. UT has 6 games remaining, 3 at home and 3 away. IF UT can win the 3 road games, it is worth winning 4+ games in RPI math, and that helps. The away games are worth 1.4 whether the team you beat is ranked #1 or #300. Now playing the #300 team hurts your SOS and thus your RPI, but that is going to happen just by playing them. Nothing you can do about it.

If Tennessee can handle its business in the road games that will help them jump up in the RPI standings. But they have to avoid losing at home, since those are the ones that tack a big 1.4 in the loss column, to keep from losing any ground.
 
Last edited:
#62
#62
zansdad said:
The thing about the RPI is that while beating teams with high RPI's is nice, it isn't as important as beating teams in general. Especially on the road. UT has 6 games remaining, 3 at home and 3 away. IF UT can win the 3 road games, it is worth winning 4+ games in RPI math, and that helps. The away games are worth 1.4 whether the team you beat is ranked #1 or #300. Now playing the #300 team hurts your SOS and thus your RPI, but that is going to happen just by playing them. Nothing you can do about it.

If Tennessee can handle its business in the road games that will help them jump up in the RPI standings. But they have to avoid losing at home, since those are the ones that tack a big 1.4 in the loss column, to keep from losing any ground.
Click to expand...

bottom line is if we win we will be fine IMO, you win 5-1 and we have to win a couple in the sec t. if we go 6-0, we can probably win 1 in sec t and get in. this is all according to rpiforecast, which projects what your rpi would be in those scenarios.

the benefit we do have is that 5 of our last 6 games, the opposing team has a higher rpi than we do. so those games wont hurt our s.o.s much, if at all, and at the same time would be good rpi boosters for us.
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top