Here are my REALISTIC thoughts as a FAN:
1) As exciting as it was to run through the T for the first two games, it will be close to equally intimidating for this team to take their first road trip to Norman, Oklahoma. Mental toughness is going to be thrown around ALOT by Butch, and they're going to need it. OU is pumping this game, since they rarely play a SEC team (last two times they played traditional SEC teams was Bama last year, and Florida in the 2008 BCSCG). I'm sure they relish the thought of "validating" themselves against the mighty SEC once again. Oklahoma has a huge little-man complex when it comes to the SEC. Trickles down from Stoops. Point is: This is going to be a tough game from an environment standpoint.
2) Losing Pearson and most likely Wolf is bad news. I was really expecting Pearson to have a breakout game, and Wolf has played great, especially as a blocking tight end. Downs is a good blocker, and Helm will probably get some catches, but definitely loved what Ethan did the first two games. Hope both he and Pearson are back soon. Really wanted to see our WRs at full strength for this one.
3) I expect to see Oklahoma do the same thing that the two other opponents have done: Stack the box and force us to throw. With a dominant D-Line like they claim to have, they may not have to stack as much as the other teams did. We HAVE to run the ball. It's that simple: We can't run, there's no way we win. We have to be able to run the ball better than 3.3 yds a carry.
4) I think the past two weeks were confidence builders and pacemakers. They were used and game planned with the purpose of getting these freshmen and newcomers settled in a crazy environment. We didn't do anything fancy. We wanted to get our offense in a rhythm, and we wanted to get Worley comfortable. If you noticed, Worley was not asked to do anything too crazy. Just easy, game management, short throws. I think this week he is going to be asked to do a little more, and I think that he'll have the confidence to do it. I think you're going to see a lot of ball distribution this week, and I think we're going to have to really utilize the fact that their tallest CB's are 6-2'', and we have several WR's that are taller than that. If we don't develop more of a dangerous passing game, then we won't have any chance at running the ball, which as I said, we have to do to win.
5) Time of possession will be big. This offense can put up points. They're averaging 508 yards a game in under 30 minutes TOP. If the defense can keep them off of the field, we'll be in much better shape. Of course, the offense has to stay on the field. How do they do that? They need to run the ball.
6) Butch called Medley's missed field goal "unexcusable." We will need to walk away with points every single time it's possible. We've done well in the red zone, but Medley is going to have to get over the jitters quick. We need him to be money when his number is called. Coming away with points on tough drives will have to keep our momentum going.
7) Defense is going to have to maintain that swagger and intensity. This game is not at Neyland. There's no "Third Down for What" playing in the background. There's no 102,455 in Orange. Can they still play with the nastiness they've been playing with?
8) I HOPE that our DLine can apply some pressure to Knight. Would love to see us rattle him a bit. I think that our secondary can have a good game.
9) 73 players. That's the number I counted on their roster of players that are True or Redshirt Freshmen and Sophomore. They are a young team as well. Not as young as we are, but very young especially in the secondary (4 upperclassmen), QB (Knight is only a Redshirt Sophomore), and RB. They have youth everywhere. The experience however? OL and DL. That's a big difference, and likely the difference in the ballgame.
10) I think that Tennessee has a chance to win this one if the following happens:
1) We run the ball successfully. 3 yards a carry will work, but if the average is 3 yards, we're in trouble. Need some big run plays. If we can average 4-5 ypc, we'll be doing much better.
2) The OL gives Worley enough time to make the right decision. So far, Worley's decision making has been near perfect. But he has yet to face a pass rush like this one. He should have receivers open. He just needs time to get them the ball.
3) WR's need to make some splash plays. Plays like Von's 50+ catch last week, and Josh Smith's play Week 1 need to become more common. We will need plays like that to take the crowd out of the game.
4) DL will need to be disruptive. Doesn't mean they have to stop every play behind the line, or get sacks, but they do need to close holes just enough to give A.J. and Weatherd enough time to track down the RB and end his life, I mean, run.
5) In case I didn't mention it, we need to run the football.
If we can do those things, I THINK we can be in this game. They are a good football team, very talented, but very young, and IMO, very over-rated. We'll see on Saturday!
Go Big Orange!