What would you say the odds of UT being........

#26
#26
Other_Guy said:
If there's less than a 50% chance of us beating either 1 how did you come up with 50% on beating 1 of the 2? Skipped math?
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Might want to get your GED before lecturing people about math, champ.

P (A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

P (A and B) = P(A) * P(B)

P (A and B) = 40% * 20% = 8%

P (A or B) = 40% + 20% - 8% = 52%

Therefore, based on 40% odds for Florida and 20% odds against Oregon, the odds of winning at least one between the two would be 52%. Not that it matters since this isn't some mathematical theorem we're trying to prove and we're just having a casual conversation about the odds.

But ... ya know ... next time you want to call someone out on their math, you probably should make sure that you have some clue what you're talking about and that the other party doesn't have a PhD in a math related field.

Just some food for thought, slugger. Might come in handy when you give incorrect change at your next shift at Mickey D's.
 
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#28
#28
According to some of the players my boys talked to after the game Yesterday....100%.

They believe that they are going to win.

My son "Beat Oregon"
Peterman "We will buddy"

Thanks,

Jim
 
#33
#33
I'll fully believe we beat Florida when we have more points than them and the 4th quarter hits 00:00.
 
#34
#34
10% for Oregon and 30% for Florida.
37% chance of being 3-1 (thanks DG)
3% chance of being 4-0
 
#35
#35
If our O was at least mediocre I'd say theres a chance but our QB can't hit a WR in stride and our WRs have a tendency to drop the 1/20 passes that are well placed. We can over come this by out talenting lesser opponents but its going to cost us when we play teams that have equal or better talent.

The worst part is the WRs that are dropping the passes are the best we have and switching QBs may cause more problems than it fixes.
 
#38
#38
JFBanicki said:
If our O was at least mediocre I'd say theres a chance but our QB can't hit a WR in stride and our WRs have a tendency to drop the 1/20 passes that are well placed. We can over come this by out talenting lesser opponents but its going to cost us when we play teams that have equal or better talent.

The worst part is the WRs that are dropping the passes are the best we have and switching QBs may cause more problems than it fixes.
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Our secondary can catch.
 
#41
#41
If FLA turns the ball over five times like they did in Miami, the odds are pretty good. The odds of them doing that again are pretty slim though.
 
#42
#42
VolsSportsFan said:
I'll fully believe we beat Florida when we have more points than them and the 4th quarter hits 00:00.
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After LSU and North Carolina I am not even fully convinced of this.


For some reason Florida always has our number. They are our freaking Achilles Heel, BUT I sincerely hope we play it close and pull away at the end.
 
#45
#45
About 20 percent. Five percent chance of beating Oregon and about 15 percent of beating Florida.
 
#47
#47
If we werent going from coast to coast in a week, I would give us a pretty fair chance of beating Florida. Their offense has looked beyond brutal this year.
 
#48
#48
With all things considered, I'll say 15%.

Them having the bye week, UT facing Oregon the week before, and being in the swamp leads me to believe UF will step up quite a bit.
 
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#50
#50
The potential positives with this are:

Miami had a worse D yardage-wise than UT did last year. Miami didn't have any Defensive staff change.

Hopefully this is indicative of Florida's Offense being bad (no WRs, poor QB, a lot of injuries on OL) and not Miami's D being good.

However, Miami had a pretty good Offense and returned most skill players. Specially QB and RB. They couldn't move the ball against Florida almost at all. That is what stood out to me given how many starters UF lost from 2012.
 
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