Which team will be the biggest underachievers in the SEC in 2013?

[secking]

Here is the SEC ranked by talent including the 2013 classes according to rivals:

1. Alabama
2. Florida
3. Auburn
4. LSU
5. Georgia
6. Tennessee
7. Texas A&M
8. South Carolina
9. Ole Miss
10. Arkansas
11. Miss. State
12. Missouri
13. Vanderbilt
14. Kentucky

So Alabama and Florida should go undefeated, anything less than that is under-achieving. Florida will probably lose two games this year, by my subjective analysis, so that would be a pretty large under achievement.

Kentucky and Vanderbilt cannot under achieve as they are at the floor.

The team that will be the biggest under-achiever based on latent talent is Auburn. They have consistently recruited very well, but that was masked by how inept Chizik has been.

Tennessee was in the same boat with Dooley (vastly under achieving).

The bottom line is that with the really weak coaches now out of the SEC (Dooley/Chizik), and the biggest over performer out as well (Petrino), we will be left with most teams performing generally within one game (or so) of their talent evaluation.

I doubt this year we will see teams going 4 games on either side of their evaluation, which is what Dooley/Chizik/Petrino and Franklin had done.

Franklin could do that as he was aided by two of those three coaches, and a transitional period for Ole Miss.

And, if you want a brief explanation of attrition from the rosters and its effect on overall talent in the SEC east, read this:

http://www.volnation.com/forum/tenn...trition-vs-talent-evaluation.html#post8698896

Interesting, but I usually don't pay attention to Rivals. But, according to that, UGA over achieves, we vastly under achieve and Auburn just sux. Btw, we sound stupid saying the dogs underachieve when ranked top 5 and are in the Seccg every year.

We know T A&M won't be as lucky but ESPN doesn't, expect hype out the wazzou.

 

[daj2576]

Interesting, but I usually don't pay attention to Rivals. But, according to that, UGA over achieves, we vastly under achieve and Auburn just sux. Btw, we sound stupid saying the dogs underachieve when ranked top 5 and are in the Seccg every year.

We know T A&M won't be as lucky but ESPN doesn't, expect hype out the wazzou.

Actually I wouldn't say UGA over or under achieves. In fact, they tend to follow the arc that their talent averages predict. If I am recalling the data correctly, UGA and LSU under Richt and Miles are the most predictable schools in the SEC when compared to their talent.

 

[HuntlandVolinColo]

MSU, Arky, MO, AUB and UT were last year.

I will keep MSU on that list. Expectations are low for Arky and MO, so they will be fine. Vandy could slip up because last year is hard for that program to repeat. UK is being hyped too much as well.

Aub underperformed to their talent level and coach gus will have them win one or two more than expected.

LSU is still very highly rated and they lost so, so many to the pro's that I will put them on the list.

Anything less than 10 wins will be a disaster for GA, FLA, Bama, SC, LSU and TAM. At least one of them will slip up and GA finally has schedule issues.

UT was being over-hyped but the QB-WR issues have tamped down expectations for now.

 

[Rockytop1018]

I'm gonna say a&m
Posted via VolNation Mobile

Not with that schedule they have. They have 10 games handed to them. They might not generate the same buzz, but their win total will most likely be identical to last year. I fail to see the underachieving in that.

I'll say Georgia because the expectations are there for a national title run. People are practically already handing them the East.

 

[JuggernaUT_VOL]

UGA east A&M west.

 

[Rockytop1018]

Why are y'all saying A&M? Just curious. Their schedule is an absolute joke besides LSU and Alabama. 10 wins pretty much guaranteed.

 

[WoodstockVol]

Why are y'all saying A&M? Just curious. Their schedule is an absolute joke besides LSU and Alabama. 10 wins pretty much guaranteed.

They very well could lose to Alabama,LSU and possibly Ole Miss(I think OM goes 8-4 this season). You don't get the same luck every season

 

[Rockytop1018]

They very well could lose to Alabama,LSU and possibly Ole Miss(I think OM goes 8-4 this season). You don't get the same luck every season

I see the Rebs with a downturn this year. A&M played like garbage against the Rebels last year and still won. I still see the Aggies with a minimum of 10 wins. They're legit BCS contenders.

 

[CNCVol88]

Oh my gosh, some of you guys seriously need to get off of the "true SEC train" and give A&M some credit.

Also, I'd like to note that Missouri didn't even make a bowl game and beat UT. I suppose any "true SEC fan" knows that was just luck.

There's a reason why people outside of the mason dixon think we are ignorant morons.

How does one be outside of a latitude marker? You can be north and south of the Mason-Dixon Line but not inside or outside...the irony of the post.