11/7 Allstate Playoff Predictor

#1
DocVol

DocVol

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#1
A lot changes but the ESPN/Allstate Playoff Predictor shows Tennessee with the best chance (77%) to make the playoffs as a one loss team if we win out.

Better than a one loss PAC12 Champion (64%), a one loss ACC Champion (62%), a 2-loss LSU who wins the SEC Championship (55%), a 1-loss BIG12 Champ (55%) or a 1-loss Michigan (56%).

Tennessee is in a great spot.

With the above, it really is looking like:
1. UGA
2. OSU
3. Tennessee
4. Someone else from the grouping above.

Discuss.
 
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#5
#5
DocVol said:
A lot changes but the ESPN/Allstate Playoff Predictor shows Tennessee with the best chance (77%) to make the playoffs as a one loss team if we win out.

Better than a one loss PAC12 Champion (64%), a one loss ACC Champion (62%), a 2-loss LSU who wins the SEC Championship (55%), a 1-loss BIG12 Champ (55%) or a 1-loss Michigan (56%).

Tennessee is in a great spot.

With the above, it really is looking like:
1. UGA
2. OSU
3. Tennessee
4. Someone else from the grouping above.

Discuss.
Click to expand...
No, stop, you have to find reasons not supported by history or sense or anything else why we have no shot now! Stop making sense, or quoting sources that make it!
 
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#6
#6
5FingerVolPunch said:
This is how I see it shaking out.
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Vols
4. OSU

I think TCU loses to Texas Saturday bumping Vols from #5 to #4. Then I think Michigan upsets OSU. OSU falls to #4 and Vols jump to #3.

This is assuming the CFP has Vols at #5 on Tuesday.
Click to expand...
Where’s Oregon?
 
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#7
#7
DocVol said:
A lot changes but the ESPN/Allstate Playoff Predictor shows Tennessee with the best chance (77%) to make the playoffs as a one loss team if we win out.

Better than a one loss PAC12 Champion (64%), a one loss ACC Champion (62%), a 2-loss LSU who wins the SEC Championship (55%), a 1-loss BIG12 Champ (55%) or a 1-loss Michigan (56%).

Tennessee is in a great spot.

With the above, it really is looking like:
1. UGA
2. OSU
3. Tennessee
4. Someone else from the grouping above.

Discuss.
Click to expand...
Win or lose... I'd rather have a shot at tOSU before UGA again. I hope that plays out.

If the Pac12 produces a one loss champion I will be shocked if they don't make it in.
 
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#11
#11
sjt18 said:
Win or lose... I'd rather have a shot at tOSU before UGA again. I hope that plays out.

If the Pac12 produces a one loss champion I will be shocked if they don't make it in.
Click to expand...
I can see a scenario where PAC 12 champ makes it in and TCU doesn’t and we get the last spot
 
#12
#12
5FingerVolPunch said:
This is how I see it shaking out.
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Vols
4. OSU

I think TCU loses to Texas Saturday bumping Vols from #5 to #4. Then I think Michigan upsets OSU. OSU falls to #4 and Vols jump to #3.

This is assuming the CFP has Vols at #5 on Tuesday.
Click to expand...
Either of Michigan or Ohio lose they are out
 
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#13
#13
sjt18 said:
Win or lose... I'd rather have a shot at tOSU before UGA again. I hope that plays out.

If the Pac12 produces a one loss champion I will be shocked if they don't make it in.
Click to expand...
Next year
Bc Michigan will beat them this year
 
#15
#15
DocVol said:
A lot changes but the ESPN/Allstate Playoff Predictor shows Tennessee with the best chance (77%) to make the playoffs as a one loss team if we win out.

Better than a one loss PAC12 Champion (64%), a one loss ACC Champion (62%), a 2-loss LSU who wins the SEC Championship (55%), a 1-loss BIG12 Champ (55%) or a 1-loss Michigan (56%).

Tennessee is in a great spot.

With the above, it really is looking like:
1. UGA
2. OSU
3. Tennessee
4. Someone else from the grouping above.

Discuss.
Click to expand...
I'd love to be a 3 seed and avoid UGA until the title game, but that committee will do everything it can to avoid an all SEC final. If UGA wins out, UT will not get the 3 seed. No way.
 
#16
#16
lifeisdeep said:
No, stop, you have to find reasons not supported by history or sense or anything else why we have no shot now! Stop making sense, or quoting sources that make it!
Click to expand...

I've never said we had no shot in my 10,000 ft view of the situation but I would argue that we need a lot more help than most are willing to admit. A lot of people were pointing to last year when 2 SEC teams got in. And that happened because there were 2 loss ACC and Big 12 champions and a 3 loss Pac 12 champion. I feel like the committee is going to go with a 1 loss conference champion over UT (except TCU if they are a 1 loss Big 12 champ). If it's UNC or Clemson at 1 loss in the ACC and Oregon/USC/UCLA at 1 loss in the Pac 12 they'd be ahead of UT in the final playoff rankings. And there's a chance that if OSU/Michigan is a very tight game the loser could be ahead of them.

I may be wrong but I just think the people that feel like just winning these last 3 games is all we need is sorely mistaken. These playoff rankings can and will change every week. If Tennessee is ahead of TCU tonight that doesn't mean they'll be ahead of them at the end of the year if TCU wins out. They'll pass Tennessee. An undefeated Big 10 team will be #1 or #2 at the end of the year. And if there's an ACC or Pac 12 champion with only one loss by the end of the season I think they'd jump over UT. There will be a big push for conference champs to get a look over a team that didn't win the conference title.

I do think some of the things Tennessee needs may happen but they need quite a bit of help I think. And they have to win impressively the next 3 weeks. They can't have a 31-20 type of win. All these games need to be like 48-21 type of beatdowns.
 
#17
#17
CAVPUT said:
I'd love to be a 3 seed and avoid UGA until the title game, but that committee will do everything it can to avoid an all SEC final. If UGA wins out, UT will not get the 3 seed. No way.
Click to expand...
I don't think this is true. In the past, it seems to me they've worked harder to avoid an SEC-vs-SEC first round game.
 
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#20
#20
KeyVol14 said:
Where’s Oregon?
Click to expand...
Outside looking in. Even if they win out they'll be at #5.
igotworms said:
Either of Michigan or Ohio lose they are out
Click to expand...
Don't see it. Both have been in the top 5 most of the season. I don't see Oregon winning out and even if they do I don't think they leapfrog a one loss Michigan or OSU.
 
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#21
#21
5FingerVolPunch said:
Outside looking in. Even if they win out they'll be at #5.

Don't see it. Both have been in the top 5 most of the season. I don't see Oregon winning out and even if they do I don't think they leapfrog a one loss Michigan or OSU.
Click to expand...
100 percent whoever loses the OSU/UM game they are out. There SOS and SOR is an absolute joke
 
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#25
#25
5FingerVolPunch said:
This is how I see it shaking out.
1. UGA
2. Michigan
3. Vols
4. OSU

I think TCU loses to Texas Saturday bumping Vols from #5 to #4. Then I think Michigan upsets OSU. OSU falls to #4 and Vols jump to #3.

This is assuming the CFP has Vols at #5 on Tuesday.
Click to expand...
If Oregon wins out I do believe they'd be ahead of Ohio state in that case. Which would be funny because that also means Georgia has beaten two of the top 4 teams, and could also rematch both of them.
 
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