jave36
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I'll bite. As you know, I'm probably the least PC person on this board, so that is not what bothers me.
Most criminals come from destitute backgrounds and are surrounded by negative influences. As soon as a criminal gets out of prison they oftentimed return to that same negative atmosphere and thus revert to their criminal ways. In the case of a college athlete with poor highschool academics: in highschool they are just passed along because they are stud athletes and No Child Left Behind. They are surrounded by people that tell them academics don't matter. Upon arriving at college (UT) they are put in a program that puts an emphasis on them maintaining grades. It would take someone that is truly mentally impaired to screw it up once they set foot on UT's campus.
You make some good points about upbringing, so the analogy isn't perfect, although kids with horrendous grades often have them because they were raised in a setting where education doesn't matter, and that doesn't just go away.
The point of the post though was that past poor performance in anything will get you labeled as a risk for future poor performance, even with some brief recent success. "Risk" doesn't mean guaranteed failure, but I guarantee a kid with his talent and better grades coming out of HS would have an offer list a mile long.
The analogy could have been more PC.