Orange And Garnet
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And what we have seems to be working too.
We've signed quite a few of those highly rated types in 2014 and 2015. I'd rather get them than pass for concern their ego might not mesh well. Just have to make sure from day 1 they know their place. Worrying about higher rated guys and egos is something I'd expect to see Vandy using as a reason they aren't getting them. Not so much Tennessee.
So hypothetically: Well over half of the NFL were 3 stars or less in high school. Even first rounders are 60:40 ratio of 4 and 5 stars as compared to 3 star or less. Which simply means there are a nice group of very talented players lurking in that big pile of 3 stars, but they're much harder to find. If you were able to identify capable 3 stars at a rate consistent with the expected rate of success of 4 and 5 stars, which would you emphasize recruiting? Who do you think would work the hardest? Who do you think would bring the best attitudes to the locker room? Which do you think would reflect the blue-collar sensibilities of our coach?
And before the flames start, I didn't say that Butch had that capability, just pointing out that the statement that says you have to have 4 and 5 stars to win is provably false. You build an entire college team out of 3 stars that made the NFL, and I promise they will win championships. It really then comes down to how well you can find the wheat in the chaff. Butch's 3 star bonanza may prove to be his downfall, only time will tell. But it just may be that they are capable of picking 3 star winners at a rate much higher than others, and you may not see that much of a drop over time, even if the services disagree.
So hypothetically: Well over half of the NFL were 3 stars or less in high school. Even first rounders are 60:40 ratio of 4 and 5 stars as compared to 3 star or less. Which simply means there are a nice group of very talented players lurking in that big pile of 3 stars, but they're much harder to find. If you were able to identify capable 3 stars at a rate consistent with the expected rate of success of 4 and 5 stars, which would you emphasize recruiting? Who do you think would work the hardest? Who do you think would bring the best attitudes to the locker room? Which do you think would reflect the blue-collar sensibilities of our coach?
And before the flames start, I didn't say that Butch had that capability, just pointing out that the statement that says you have to have 4 and 5 stars to win is provably false. You build an entire college team out of 3 stars that made the NFL, and I promise they will win championships. It really then comes down to how well you can find the wheat in the chaff. Butch's 3 star bonanza may prove to be his downfall, only time will tell. But it just may be that they are capable of picking 3 star winners at a rate much higher than others, and you may not see that much of a drop over time, even if the services disagree.
So hypothetically: Well over half of the NFL were 3 stars or less in high school. Even first rounders are 60:40 ratio of 4 and 5 stars as compared to 3 star or less. Which simply means there are a nice group of very talented players lurking in that big pile of 3 stars, but they're much harder to find. If you were able to identify capable 3 stars at a rate consistent with the expected rate of success of 4 and 5 stars, which would you emphasize recruiting? Who do you think would work the hardest? Who do you think would bring the best attitudes to the locker room? Which do you think would reflect the blue-collar sensibilities of our coach?
And before the flames start, I didn't say that Butch had that capability, just pointing out that the statement that says you have to have 4 and 5 stars to win is provably false. You build an entire college team out of 3 stars that made the NFL, and I promise they will win championships. It really then comes down to how well you can find the wheat in the chaff. Butch's 3 star bonanza may prove to be his downfall, only time will tell. But it just may be that they are capable of picking 3 star winners at a rate much higher than others, and you may not see that much of a drop over time, even if the services disagree.
LSo hypothetically: Well over half of the NFL were 3 stars or less in high school. Even first rounders are 60:40 ratio of 4 and 5 stars as compared to 3 star or less. Which simply means there are a nice group of very talented players lurking in that big pile of 3 stars, but they're much harder to find. If you were able to identify capable 3 stars at a rate consistent with the expected rate of success of 4 and 5 stars, which would you emphasize recruiting? Who do you think would work the hardest? Who do you think would bring the best attitudes to the locker room? Which do you think would reflect the blue-collar sensibilities of our coach?
And before the flames start, I didn't say that Butch had that capability, just pointing out that the statement that says you have to have 4 and 5 stars to win is provably false. You build an entire college team out of 3 stars that made the NFL, and I promise they will win championships. It really then comes down to how well you can find the wheat in the chaff. Butch's 3 star bonanza may prove to be his downfall, only time will tell. But it just may be that they are capable of picking 3 star winners at a rate much higher than others, and you may not see that much of a drop over time, even if the services disagree.
F-? L? Smart. I see nobody has actually answered the point though.
You lost me when you made the comment who would work harder and have better attitudes? And the nonsense around that part of the hypothetical. Just maybe the 4-5* guys got there by working harder and in accomplishing it gained a better attitude. Your hypothetical asked was it possible. History says no. Especially in a place like the SEC.
Signing only 3*. Other coaches would use it to negative recruit you like crazy. Wait, its probably already happening in this class.
I would act surprised that all of you missed the actual point being made in that post, but I am not surprised at all. It had to do with the number of 3-stars that become all-conference and NFL players. Enough each year to, dare I say, fill a starting offense and defense completely? So based on the facts you could have 11 3-star starters on both sides of the ball that all get drafted. So the question was, is there any credence to a coaching staff being able to scout recruits at an elite level and distinguish which 3-stars have what it takes to make the NFL? There will be enough 3-stars in just the 2016 class that make the NFL to fill a starting roster. The conversation centers around coaching staffs being able to determine which ones it will be.
I would act surprised that all of you missed the actual point being made in that post, but I am not surprised at all. It had to do with the number of 3-stars that become all-conference and NFL players. Enough each year to, dare I say, fill a starting offense and defense completely? So based on the facts you could have 11 3-star starters on both sides of the ball that all get drafted. So the question was, is there any credence to a coaching staff being able to scout recruits at an elite level and distinguish which 3-stars have what it takes to make the NFL? There will be enough 3-stars in just the 2016 class that make the NFL to fill a starting roster. The conversation centers around coaching staffs being able to determine which ones it will be.
Odds are no staff is good enough to be that lucky to sign all 3 stars that end up NFL players. Sprinkle Ina few is fine but at the end of the day recruiting sites don't miss on everyone and most pan out. Maybe the # rank is off but most part they are 4-5 star for a reason.
Think of why we are back to this national spotlight right now. Majority are guys that were a 4 star or above on at least one major site.
Dobbs, Hurd, Kamara, Preston, Jennings, Malone, Barnett, JRM, Tuttle, KMAC, Kirkland, Martin, Gaulden, Kelly JR. A lot of key key guys that put you over the hump from a good team to a great team.
When I think of guys like Wolf, Sutton, Coleman Thomas, Robertson who were 3 stars that have become impact players they are great stories but heck i though they should have been 4 stars during recruiting and wasn't sure why they weren't.
I don't disagree with any of this. My effort was mostly to help any that are willing to see that even if this class steps back a bit, it probably isn't as much as feared. If Butch puts the questions to bed this year, and we put half a dozen in the league, the '18 class should be back to former levels and '17 will only be a minor impact.
The truth is rarely as good as you hope or as bad as you fear, so even the most optimistic thoughts on the staff's evaluation prowess is probably not good enough to build an entire roster of 3 stars and still win at the level we want...but...given that the staff is becoming known for evaluations, I think it is reasonable to expect that their top 15 classes might compete well with other's top 5. That won't placate the astronomers, but it gives me some comfort that we aren't gonna fall back to Dooley-esque suckitude.