Is Rafa the greatest of all time? He clearly has Rogers number, but he still needs at least 6 more to tie him in Grand Slam titles. I think he could be....
He doesn't need 6 more titles to be considered the GOAT. The presently-anointed GOAT has been Nadal's personal whipping boy since Nadal was a teenager. The head to head dominance is not an argument that can be dismissed with a straight face and/or a retention of self-respect. Perhaps the head to head dominance doesn't overcome a 6 grand slam discrepancy. But what if it was 4? Or even 3?
So here is kidbourbon's criteria: If Rafa gets within 4 majors of Roger, he has has has to be considered the better historical player than Roger.
I'm actually very much willing to make the argument for Rafa as GOAT right here and now (though it does incude assumptions about eventual GS tally's...all of which are -- methinks -- conservative. It would go a little something like this.
Nadal is better than Federer. I'm calling Nadal GOAT...at least vis a vis Federer.
1. Nadal owns Federer on one of the surfaces.
2. Federer does not own Nadal on any surface.
3. A good chunk (almost half) of Federer's majors came in a very soft period of tennis where he was beating the likes of Lleyton Hewitt, Andy Roddick, Mark Phillipoussis, Marcos Baghdatis, etc. His rate then started to slow down when Nadal came on the scene. While it would be convenient to chalk this up to Fed phasing out of his prime, that is a weak argument. Why? Because he was beating everybody else in the world....except Nadal. He was still in his prime; he just finally came up against a guy that was elite.
4. In other words, if Rafa was born 4 years earlier, how many titles would Fed have? Would Nadal have more than Fed? The plain evidence suggests yes.
5. Fed wouldn't have won a career grand slam if it hadn't been for Robin Soderling. We can say this with confidence.
6. Rafa didn't need any such help in winning wimbledon. He took on and beat the man himself.
7. Roger has 6 more majors than Nadal. Maybe that cancels out the head to head. But what if it were only 4 majors? Or 3 majors? At that point, the head to head trumps...and Nadal is the GOAT.
8. I have a hunch Nadal will get to 13.
9. And so in view of the above..
10...Nadal is the greatest of all time.