2020 Primaries

#960
#960
Bernie Sanders Leading in Super Tuesday State Support

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is leading the Democrat primary field in Super Tuesday states, according to a Morning Consult poll released Tuesday.

The poll, released on the same day as the New Hampshire primary, shows Sanders not only leading the Democrat primary field on a national scale but experiencing a seven-point advantage over his closest competitor in Super Tuesday states — including Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.

Bernie Sanders Leading in Super Tuesday State Support
 
#961
#961
Interesting

5. Voting is already happening in “Super Tuesday” elections.

We typically think of races in terms of momentum – a candidate wins Iowa, which propels her into New Hampshire, which thrusts her toward the nomination. But the advent of early voting – where ballots can be cast before Election Day – scrambles that calculus. People have been voting in Super Tuesday states such as California for days, and in Minnesota, Vermont, and Michigan for weeks. Early voting in Tennessee, North Carolina, Arkansas and Texas opens this week. And so on.

There are a few takeaways here. First, if the field were to winnow, thousands – perhaps millions – of votes will be cast for candidates no longer running. In other words, with every passing day it becomes more difficult for the race to winnow meaningfully. We may only have three or four candidates by Super Tuesday, but nine will be receiving votes.

For that reason, the 15% threshold becomes crucial. To receive delegates, a candidate must receive 15% of the votes in a given jurisdiction. When the number of candidates exceeds three or four, it becomes difficult to hit that number. Bernie Sanders’ 25% of the vote could turn into 100% of the delegates if he is the only candidate in the race reaching the 15% threshold. Moreover, if he receives delegates in every state, but the other candidates hit the threshold in varying states, he can build up a delegate lead by default.

In addition, former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg has been running ads in Super Tuesday states – and did so during the Super Bowl, no less -- while his opponents were tearing at each other’s hair. Sooner or later, Bloomberg will be subjected to scrutiny and negative ads, but by that point millions of voters in Super Tuesday states will have cast ballots in a universe where they have only seen positive Bloomberg spots. This has the potential to upend the race completely.

Takeaways From New Hampshire | RealClearPolitics
 
#970
#970
I’ve been trying to think of who Bernie would select as VP , if he gets the nod . I can’t come up with anyone , especially if it comes down to bad blood between him and the DNC . He’s always been somewhat of a loner . Does he settle for a moderate that doesn’t believe in his policies just to pull votes or does he continue to look far left ? It’s kind of a big deal considering his recent health problems and age .
 
#971
#971
0nelilreb said:
I’ve been trying to think of who Bernie would select as VP , if he gets the nod . I can’t come up with anyone , especially if it comes down to bad blood between him and the DNC . He’s always been somewhat of a loner . Does he settle for a moderate that doesn’t believe in his policies just to pull votes or does he continue to look far left ? It’s kind of a big deal considering his recent health problems and age .
Click to expand...

Thinking about the same thing today. Not sure who he'd peg but agree there's a legit chance they end up taking over before his term ends.

God help us if it's Stacy Abrahms but I could see that - she's nutty enough to buy his agenda. Hard to imagine he'd pick a moderate.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1972 Grad and 0nelilreb
#975
#975
volinbham said:
Thinking about the same thing today. Not sure who he'd peg but agree there's a legit chance they end up taking over before his term ends.

God help us if it's Stacy Abrahms but I could see that - she's nutty enough to buy his agenda. Hard to imagine he'd pick a moderate.
Click to expand...

AOC
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top