2024 US House Races

[volinbham]

210R (+3)/ 194 D. If current races hold it will be 223R/212D

 

[volinbham]

double post

 

[MHS Rebel]

How does this person keep getting elected??

Breasts

 

[BigOrangeFanatic]

They need to send some people from Fla over to California to push the counting along. Ridiculous.

 

[jmacvols1]

 

[norrislakevol]

Looks like they could pull 219 seats. Razor thin, but better than a Hakeem Jeffries speakership.

 

[volinbham]

Current (per AP*): 213R (+3)/199D. R leading in 10 remaining races. Some of the D leads are flips. Could end up exactly where we are now.

*AP has 212R but one of the uncalled is a race between 2R candidate so it is a lock R though the actual winner is not yet determined.

 

[Franklin Pierce]

Moderate Republican Don Bacon Projected To Win Re-Election for Nebraska swing seat​

Moderate Republican Rep. Don Bacon is projected to survive a close re-election race in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.

The Associated Press projected on Friday that Bacon, a retired military general, who ran against Democratic state lawmaker Tony Vargas, won.

Moderate Republican Don Bacon projected to win re-election for Nebraska swing seat

Nebraska Rep. Don Bacon faced off against Democrat Tony Vargas in his Omaha-anchored district.

www.foxnews.com

 

[85SugarVol]

handies at the theater

Wristies. The technical term is “wristy”.

 

[BreatheUT]

Sidebar but relevant.

Massachusetts Democrat Seth Moulton hits back over progressive ‘purity test,’ boys in girls’ sports​

• Rick Sobey and Lance Reynolds
• UPDATED: November 8, 2024 at 6:54 PM EST

Congressman Seth Moulton pounced on critics Friday night for accusing him of failing the “Democratic Party purity test” for speaking his mind about boys playing in girls’ sports.

The Salem rep — a former U.S. Marine and presidential candidate — said he’s sticking to his opinion that he doesn’t want his daughters getting “run over on the playing field by a male or formerly male athlete.”

The Massachusetts Democrat in his criticized remarks was blaming his party for the Republican red wave and Donald Trump’s victory — saying that Dems were “out of touch with the American people,” especially on transgender issues.

Massachusetts Democrat Seth Moulton hits back over progressive ‘purity test,’ boys in girls’ sports

Congressman Seth Moulton pounced on critics Friday night for accusing him of failing the “Democratic Party purity test” for speaking his mind about boys playing in girls’ sports.

www.bostonherald.com

 

[jmacvols1]

 

[85SugarVol]

Alright @volinbham - where does that put the forecast?

 

[volinbham]

Alright @volinbham - where does that put the forecast?

I'm just watching AP (not sure they are the arbiter). R215 (one is not called but between two R)/D 203.

18 to be called (see caveat about R one not called). If I'm seeing right, 9 of those are R leads and 9 are D leads.

R are +3 in the AP count but a few D flips are leading. R control likely at within a seat or 2 of current split

 

[volinbham]

For reference RCP has R217/D208 (R+2).

 

[volinbham]

One I can't figure is a race in Louisiana - D is up 50.8% to 37.8% with 99% votes counted. "other votes" has 11.5 and maybe all of them are in dispute but it seems a mathematical impossibility that this isn't a D call.

 

[Volosaurus rex]

Looking like the absolute worst outcome for the R’s is a 219 - 216 majority, may well be as high as 222 - 213 when finished though.

I tend to agree. If patterns hold, Newsmax's map currently projects a 221-214 final margin of victory for the GOP. https://www.newsmax.com/election-maps/#house

 

[InVOLuntary]

By my count (using the AP) the number right now is GOP at 214. The races where the Republicans lead are:


CA - 2
AZ - 1
AK - 1
WA - 1
IA - 1
CO - 1

If that holds that means the GOP will be at 221

 

[GVF]

210R (+3)/ 194 D. If current races hold it will be 223R/212D

We'll see. They are into week 2 of counting trying to figure out how to get to a Dem majority.

 

[Vol737]

Just read R’s need 4 seats to retain majority, currently lead in 8.

 

[Matt2496]

 

[OrangeTsar]

Time to go to work!!!!!!

 

[volinbham]

Neither AP nor RCP have called enough races to say it's done. The reality is that it is done but there's still apparently enough votes out there that theoretically D could take control

My best guess at this point is a R win with 1 net pick up (221). 2 or 3 is possible. Hard to see a D control outcome

 

[Orangeburst]

Picking all these Congressional members for Cabinet positions seems risky.

 

[hog88]

Picking all these Congressional members for Cabinet positions seems risky.

Rubio is a swamp creature

 

[LouderVol]

Neither AP nor RCP have called enough races to say it's done. The reality is that it is done but there's still apparently enough votes out there that theoretically D could take control

My best guess at this point is a R win with 1 net pick up (221). 2 or 3 is possible. Hard to see a D control outcome

and it will come down to if the Rs can do something with it.

and Trump won't have a RINO argument to hide behind this time. McConnell stepping down, last couple elections have been filled with MAGA RINOs, he's got the support he theoretically needs.