2024 US House Races

#254
#254
LouderVol said:
and it will come down to if the Rs can do something with it.

and Trump won't have a RINO argument to hide behind this time. McConnell stepping down, last couple elections have been filled with MAGA RINOs, he's got the support he theoretically needs.
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There might be a few Rinos still there but a lot are gone. I don't mind individuality and disagreement, but some are for big government. It's has been hard to get consensus on a conservative agenda.
 
#255
#255
hog88 said:
Not by filling his cabinet with career swamp monsters.
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He seems to be going with who he knows and trusts. Unfortunately a lot of other experienced candidates are probably bureaucratic leftists. I think that is what's happening.
 
#257
#257
volinbham said:
RCP has it 219R (+1)/209D (-1) 7 to call. AP still at 214R (+3)/205D(-3) 16 to call.

Hard to see anyway D take the House. Given the redistricting efforts of Eric Holder and Co this is a loss for Ds - they stacked the deck to take the House.
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They're still counting. There were 4 races in California that Republicans were leading. Now just 3. I'm not sure whether they called one for the Republicans or the democrat took the lead. The AP didn't change from 214. I did notice they called that Washington race where it was R vs R but the number stayed at 214. Maybe they already had that in the republican column?
 
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#258
#258
InVOLuntary said:
They're still counting. There were 4 races in California that Republicans were leading. Now just 3. I'm not sure whether they called one for the Republicans or the democrat took the lead. The AP didn't change from 214. I did notice they called that Washington race where it was R vs R but the number stayed at 214. Maybe they already had that in the republican column?
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I see what you mean about W - I figured it wasn't in the column because it wasn't called but sure looks like it was.
 
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#259
#259
Looks like the AP moved the total to 216 for the GOP. Some really tight races left. It amazes me that over a week from the election and we're still counting votes.

The lonely remaining IA race with 99% in shows the GOP with a lead of 700 votes out of a little over 200,000 votes cast.

In the lone AZ race left the GOP candidate leads by around 6000 votes on a little under 400,000 votes cast with 90% counted.

Alaska's last uncalled race has the GOP winning by about 10,000 votes on 300,000 total cast votes with 91% cast. (This would be a flip).

That leaves California with three seats in which Republicans lead, district 13, 41, and district 45.

13 the GOP candidate leads by 3000 votes on 150,000 cast with 70% reporting.

In the 41s, the republican leads by 8,000 votes on 315,000 cast with 79% reported.

For the 45th, the GOP candidate leads the count, at 87% reporting, by a little over 2,000 votes out of a little under 300,000 cast.

California is still counting though. 😅
 
#260
#260
InVOLuntary said:
Looks like the AP moved the total to 216 for the GOP. Some really tight races left. It amazes me that over a week from the election and we're still counting votes.

The lonely remaining IA race with 99% in shows the GOP with a lead of 700 votes out of a little over 200,000 votes cast.

In the lone AZ race left the GOP candidate leads by around 6000 votes on a little under 400,000 votes cast with 90% counted.

Alaska's last uncalled race has the GOP winning by about 10,000 votes on 300,000 total cast votes with 91% cast. (This would be a flip).

That leaves California with three seats in which Republicans lead, district 13, 41, and district 45.

13 the GOP candidate leads by 3000 votes on 150,000 cast with 70% reporting.

In the 41s, the republican leads by 8,000 votes on 315,000 cast with 79% reported.

For the 45th, the GOP candidate leads the count, at 87% reporting, by a little over 2,000 votes out of a little under 300,000 cast.

California is still counting though. 😅
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ridiculous
 
#261
#261
InVOLuntary said:
Looks like the AP moved the total to 216 for the GOP. Some really tight races left. It amazes me that over a week from the election and we're still counting votes.

The lonely remaining IA race with 99% in shows the GOP with a lead of 700 votes out of a little over 200,000 votes cast.

In the lone AZ race left the GOP candidate leads by around 6000 votes on a little under 400,000 votes cast with 90% counted.

Alaska's last uncalled race has the GOP winning by about 10,000 votes on 300,000 total cast votes with 91% cast. (This would be a flip).

That leaves California with three seats in which Republicans lead, district 13, 41, and district 45.

13 the GOP candidate leads by 3000 votes on 150,000 cast with 70% reporting.

In the 41s, the republican leads by 8,000 votes on 315,000 cast with 79% reported.

For the 45th, the GOP candidate leads the count, at 87% reporting, by a little over 2,000 votes out of a little under 300,000 cast.

California is still counting though. 😅
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Sounds like you’ve analyzed this. What’s your best guess on the final outcome? How many seats you think each party gets?
 
#263
#263
VOLS INC. said:
Sounds like you’ve analyzed this. What’s your best guess on the final outcome? How many seats you think each party gets?
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It depends on how long California keeps counting. 😅

If I had had more time I would have tracked how the "late" votes were coming in. I mean if the averages hold, the GOP will pick up all three of those seats but it wouldn't shock me if a bunch of votes dropped that were close to 100% democrat either. I mean the California election is not much different than a one of these polls you see at the bottom of an online article. I think there's no doubt that the GOP will hold the house, they only need two. I said 221 earlier but I'm leaning toward 220 now.
 
#267
#267
Finally called the Alaska seat. 219 now. Recount may be on the books in the lone Iowa race left with the GOP with a very slight lead of 800 votes. California is still counting. 2 seats left. As one would expect, as these last few votes come in, they tilt heavily democrat so one has already taken the lead on the republican. The other republican still holds a slight lead that is slowly diminishing. 😅
 
#270
#270
I think maybe Pam Bondi was integral in fixing Florida's voting problems. Now she might have enough horsepower to go after the corruption in Kalifornia.

It's really pathetic that in the state where they basically invented the ****ing computer they suck this badly at 'counting'. But then again, government in Kalifornia is da bomb.
 
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#271
#271
Democrat gerrymandering at work. Then throw in Census "errors" and there is potentially a shortage of 15-20 electoral vote shift to the GOP.

 
#274
#274
InVOLuntary said:
California has counted until the dems have taken the lead in yet another race. 😅

I predicted 220 earliest in this thread despite the GOP leading in several races in California full well knowing they'd count until the dems won. Cheating is the democratic way.
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The kept finding votes that favored the democrats weeks after the election. It is dangerous in close elections.
 
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