I don't really want to see TN as a 5 seed but it makes the most sense. The 5 vs 12 matchup is what we had in 2009 and it didn't end well. According to the inter-webs since '94 the 12 has beaten the 5 in WBB ~22% of the time. That 09 team struggled late, losing 3 of their last 5 in the SEC and finished 18th in the final AP poll. Eerily similar.
Of the projected 4 seeds, I like the Lady Vols' chances against Baylor.
Hopefully an exorcism has occurred during the last few days.
Go Lady Vols.
I would agree with you if we were what we was...but we're not.
The team that struggled against inferior teams was then.
This team overwhelms those inferior conference teams with depth they can't match
We should easily survive round one no matter who it is:
The No. 5 vs. No. 12 matchup in March Madness is notoriously difficult for the higher seed because 12-seeds often represent the best mid-major teams or the last teams from Power 5 conferences, who are well-prepared and have the talent to compete, leading to frequent upsets.
Here's a more detailed breakdown:
12-seeds are often well-prepared: These teams are often the best mid-major teams or the last teams from Power 5 conferences, meaning they have had a full season to gel and often have a strong run to make the tournament.
12-seeds have nothing to lose: They come into the tournament with a "nothing to lose" mentality, which can lead to them playing their best basketball.
5-seeds can be overconfident: Higher-seeded teams might come into games overconfident or flat, not taking their opponents seriously.
12 seeds have a history of winning against 5 seeds, since 1985, No. 12 seeds have gone 53-99 for a .349 winning percentage against No. 5 seeds.
Neutral site games and short preparation time: The tournament format, with neutral-site games and a short time to prepare for an unfamiliar opponent, can also contribute to upsets.
Coaching: Good coaching can help teams maximize their potential in this format, especially for underdog teams.