2025 Seed Watch Party Thread

JBR Bracketology already has us as the 7th overall seed and St Johns right behind us. It's not far fetched we could play our way off the 2 seed line with a 1 and done appearance in the SEC tournament
Almost everyone is going to lose a conference tournament game this week and we’re pretty much guaranteed to be playing a Q1 game given our double bye. Probably not going shake things up too much.
 
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Lunardi just said on the air Alabama, Florida, Tennessee are 4, 5, and 6 "in whatever order you want to put them."
They’ll play the drama of “who will get the last one?” all the way til the announcement. That’s part of the drama.

Spoiler alert: We’re getting a two unless we roll through the tournament beat the heavyweights in a way that makes everyone reconsider. Even that might not do it.
 
Seems like the 3 region possibilities right now are:

1) 2 seed in the midwest with Houston
2) 2 seed in the east with Duke
3) 1 seed in the west with Michigan State

For 1st/2nd round locations, it's either:

1) Lexington: Thurs/Sat - would require being ahead of Alabama for sure and probably Florida too, meaning we are a 1 seed
2) Raleigh: Fri/Sun - would require being ahead of 1 of Florida/Bama, most likely meaning 2 seed with Houston
3) Cleveland: Fri/Sun - this probably indicates we fell to the East region with Duke

That sound about right?
 
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Seems like the 3 region possibilities right now are:

1) 2 seed in the midwest with Houston
2) 2 seed in the east with Duke
3) 1 seed in the west with Michigan State

For 1st/2nd round locations, it's either:

1) Lexington: Thurs/Sat - would require being ahead of Alabama and probably means we are a 1 seed
2) Raleigh: Fri/Sun - would require being ahead of Florida
3) Cleveland: Fri/Sun - this probably indicates we fell to the East region with Duke

That sound about right?
As long as we're ahead of Alabama we'll be in Lexington - whether we're a 1 or 2 seed.
 
This is Lunardi's response on ESPN.com this morning when asked who would join Auburn & Duke on the 1-seed line:

Lunardi: Houston is going to be a No. 1 seed. The Cougars went 19-1 in the Big 12 and won what's currently projected to be an eight-bid league by a ridiculous four games. The only race left is among three SEC teams -- Florida, Alabama and Tennessee -- for the last spot on the top line and a trip to the West Region. If it were me, I'd pick whichever of three advances the furthest in Nashville. And if all three were to lose their opening game at the SEC tourney, I'd go off the board and promote Michigan State. The top line would then include all four power conference champions. But I'm not the committee, and they are going to pick the SEC survivor.

He also picked the Vols to win the SEC Tournament.
 
Haven't seen this anywhere - has Duke passed Auburn as the overall #1?
Highly doubtful. Lunardi said the same thing on the air last night. Auburn has played 20 Quad One games and is 16-4. Duke has only played 10. Auburn was so far ahead of everyone else this year they could lose this Friday and still be the overall #1.
 
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Highly doubtful. Lunardi said the same thing on the air last night. Auburn has played 20 Quad One games and is 16-4. Duke has only played 10. Auburn was so far ahead of everyone else this year they could lose this Friday and still be the overall #1.
I figured that was the case. Just wondered if Auburn's back-to-back losses last week mattered. Makes sense that they had already clinched overall #1.
 
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They’ll play the drama of “who will get the last one?” all the way til the announcement. That’s part of the drama.

Spoiler alert: We’re getting a two unless we roll through the tournament beat the heavyweights in a way that makes everyone reconsider. Even that might not do it.

Honestly I feel like the only way that 4th 1 seed isn't Florida is if Bama or Vols win the SECT.
 
Honestly I feel like the only way that 4th 1 seed isn't Florida is if Bama or Vols win the SECT.
Maybe, but then that’s suggesting Sunday matters when that’s never been the case before. I feel like if Florida wins their opening game Friday they lock it up, if they happen to lose then can Tennessee or Alabama win Friday & Saturday, that may get them the 1.
 
Maybe, but then that’s suggesting Sunday matters when that’s never been the case before. I feel like if Florida wins their opening game Friday they lock it up, if they happen to lose then can Tennessee or Alabama win Friday & Saturday, that may get them the 1.

Yeah, I don't expect anything after Saturday to matter.

My assumption is if Florida wins Friday & then Saturday (likely against Bama) they'd be the 4th 1 regardless of what we did.

That 2 games back regular season is too big of a hurdle IMO.

A "best" case for us is we win 2 and Florida & Bama both lose their first games. That happens then we'd have a real case.
 
Iowa State or Purdue probably. If we can't beat them and the lesser teams we were never going to beat Duke anyways. My expectations were final four this year. Maybe my expectations were a little too high, but we sure started off good out of conference.
Oh it’s still happening. 2021, we hit the first round. 2022, second round, 2023, Sweet 16, 2024, Elite 8 and now it’s 2025. Final 4 on tap!
 
Lunardi just said on the air Alabama, Florida, Tennessee are 4, 5, and 6 "in whatever order you want to put them."
It does appear he has moved Bama ahead of us given he has Bama in Houston’s bracket and us in Duke’s. At least, that’s what it seems like most believe to be the decider, the higher ranked team gets Houston instead of Duke.

Something crazy just popped in my head. You know what would be super cool, is instead of a committee putting the bracket together, they should let the teams draft their opponents. Maybe the committee seeds the teams 1-64 (or whatever with 68) so the top 4 teams are all that matter to start so they draft their 2 seeds. The 2 seeds get to draft the 3 seeds and so on. That would be so wild. Maybe you stop after the top 4 or 8 seeds and bracket the rest but that would certainly make things interesting.
 
I absolutely believe that if TN plays FL or Bama on Sunday, it will be for the last #1 seed. Otherwise it means that the NCAA is flexing on the conferences and that could expedite a split.
 
Seems like the 3 region possibilities right now are:

1) 2 seed in the midwest with Houston
2) 2 seed in the east with Duke
3) 1 seed in the west with Michigan State

For 1st/2nd round locations, it's either:

1) Lexington: Thurs/Sat - would require being ahead of Alabama for sure and probably Florida too, meaning we are a 1 seed
2) Raleigh: Fri/Sun - would require being ahead of 1 of Florida/Bama, most likely meaning 2 seed with Houston
3) Cleveland: Fri/Sun - this probably indicates we fell to the East region with Duke

That sound about right?
With the way we shot at Rupp I am not so sure I want to play there.
 
Here are our most likely potential opponents we will face in the 2nd round. Kansas, Louisville, Marquette or Memphis. All 4 can deff beat us would prob opt for Louisville since we beat them once. I wouldn't be too scared of Marquette but they were a top 10 team early in the season
 
Here are our most likely potential opponents we will face in the 2nd round. Kansas, Louisville, Marquette or Memphis. All 4 can deff beat us would prob opt for Louisville since we beat them once. I wouldn't be too scared of Marquette but they were a top 10 team early in the season
What formula did you use to come up with this sure fire list?
 
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