2025 Seed Watch Party Thread

glad to know that since I was basically skewered by many of you for absurdly
mentioning the results of SECT could affect our seeding. This year is very different
from years past because of the closeness of several teams vieing for 1 seed.
And the fact that all 3 are from the same conference so swapping them has less impact on the rest of the bracket.
 
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They had won 15 games in a row. With Barnes track record in March that is not the kind of team we want in the 1st round

15 in a row in one of the worst five conferences in D1. In the non conference slate, they lost to a really bad Providence team that was several games below .500. Nothing about Central Connecticut was “we don’t want any part of them”. Nothing about any team in that conference would have been anything to think twice about.

If there is a 15/16 seed team to want to avoid, it would be one that can make threes in bunches (Colgate 2019). Central Connecticut is 234th nationally in threes made per game. Again, they would have been a nothing burger.
 
Interesting Lunardi bracketology hedging:

1. He has Auburn as the SEC automatic qualifier.

2. He has Tennessee as a 2 seed

3. He says FL, Bama, TN will duke it out in the SECT for the fourth 1 seed.

4. He has picked Tennessee to win the SECT. If this happens, 1 can't happens and 2 wont happen.
He lists teams like Auburn as “automatic qualifiers” because they won their league and the conference tournament hasn’t been played. His bracket is a snapshot in time, not a prediction for what’s going to happen in the future.
 
I'm retired, so I took the liberty of looking up the metrics of the last four in that year compared to A&M.

A&M
NET 36, KenPom 33, SOR 57, RPI 58, SOS 67
Quad 1: 5-11
Quad 2: 6-0
Quad 3: 6-2
Quad 4: 9-0

Wyoming
NET 58, KenPom 65, SOR 53, RPI 33, SOS 89
Quad 1: 1-6
Quad 2: 9-1
Quad 3: 4-2
Quad 4: 10-0

Indiana
NET 44, KenPom 48, SOR 58, RPI 68, SOS 58
Quad 1: 5-10
Quad 2: 4-3
Quad 3: 5-1
Quad 4: 7-0

Notre Dame
NET 43, KenPom 38, SOR 35, RPI 53, SOS 90
Quad 1: 4-9
Quad 2: 4-1
Quad 3: 9-1
Quad 4: 6-0

Rutgers
NET 80, KenPom 77, SOR 50, RPI 102, SOS 37
Quad 1: 7-7
Quad 2: 2-4
Quad 3: 4-2
Quad 4: 5-1

Rutgers had 7 Quad One wins and an SOS in the 30's, so that tells you how much weight those two carry with the committee.

Wyoming had a 33 RPI.

Notre Dame had a better SOR and one less Q3 loss.

The only thing Indiana had was one Q3 loss versus 2 for A&M.

Seems to me A&M got the shaft, but what's most glaring are the inconsistencies with many of these numbers. I think the Selection Committee generally does a good job each year, but this is one where the comparison doesn't make much sense.
That’s what I was thinking reading your post, the committee was really inconsistent. It’s like when the football committee left both undefeated FSU and 1-loss UGA out. You can leave one or the other out but not both. Most deserving included FSU. Best included UGA.
 
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If UT wins the SEC tournament, would that boost them back into the running for a #1 seed, or the #5 seed maybe? Or, will the Vols go out on Saturday, assuming 1 win, with no real intention of winning?
 
If UT wins the SEC tournament, would that boost them back into the running for a #1 seed, or the #5 seed maybe? Or, will the Vols go out on Saturday, assuming 1 win, with no real intention of winning?
We don’t know about the 1 seed part. Just speculation. We have a chance at it, but we don’t know.

Not sure what you mean by 5 seeds. Do you mean #5 overall? Then yes, that’s achievable.

The Vols will go into the tournament with every intention of winning it. They’re competitors.
 
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If UT wins the SEC tournament, would that boost them back into the running for a #1 seed, or the #5 seed maybe? Or, will the Vols go out on Saturday, assuming 1 win, with no real intention of winning?
There is no "back into the running." We're in the running now and have been all year.
 
Gonzaga would be a tough draw in the 2nd round now that they are a 7 seed. We need to hope Kansas plays its way off the 7 line and then draw any of the other 7's beside Gonzaga
 
Gonzaga would be a tough draw in the 2nd round now that they are a 7 seed. We need to hope Kansas plays its way off the 7 line and then draw any of the other 7's beside Gonzaga
Still going with the scared, hide-in-the-corner theme this morning I see. Let’s come at it from another angle. I wonder how many teams want to see the Vols in their bracket knowing they are going to get beaten up in a 40 minute rock fight? Ask Duke how much they enjoyed it the last time we played them in the tournament. As a high seed, once you get past the first game you will generally see a pretty good team no matter what bracket you get. Line up and play and let the chips fall where they may.
 

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