All things STOCKS

#6,401
#6,401
VolAllen said:
He'll probably lose MN, but he'll win 2 of MI, WI, and PA. AZ is in the bag. He won TX last time by nearly 1mil votes, that aint going blue. Lost NV last time by about 20,000 votes, so that is definitely in play for Trump now. He hasn't lost his base. The question is if he's brought anyone over from the other side.
Click to expand...

Same thing with NV as NH. A lot of CA liberals have moved in. That state is becoming more liberal and has a fairly large Hispanic population, which will hurt Trump.
 
#6,405
#6,405
headhunter15 said:
Stocks jumped this morning. Wondering if they are confident in a Trump victory?
Click to expand...

Seems like the calm before the storm, imo. I suspect the next few days will be a little wild in the market. Maybe good, may be bad. But it will likely correct itself in a couple weeks, depending on news involving COVID.
 
#6,408
#6,408
Thunder Good-Oil said:
If they hit the 12/1 target to begin sailing again then CCL will pop. But I might exit on the first rally if one happens. ANY good news with COVID and CCL will pop. I have a feeling that the MSM fear mongering goes away around 11/4.
Click to expand...
They have to run empty mock voyages and get their protocols,testing and system in place. I also read they had to give the CDC 60 days notice before they sail with passengers. It's november, that means 2021. Norwegian just delayed untill December 31st I seen.
 
#6,412
#6,412
I think stocks are rising because Trump has done a good job with his rallies and Joe has been Joe. It might be turning into a race. Still wouldn’t surprise me if either side wins yugely. If I had a bet on I’d still put my money on Joe. Actually Kamala before 2022.
 
  • Like
Reactions: VolAllen
#6,415
#6,415
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I haven’t seen the probabilities of the Rs keeping 51 Senate seats, but perhaps that could be fueling the equity markets rallying.
Click to expand...

Supposedly about 30% chance the Republicans keep control of the Senate (Either with 51 or more) or with 50 and Trump re-elected.

This is up from 20% in the past few days as the Republican candidates have narrowed gaps in polls in ME, NC, and IA. If the Rs win those 3, then the Dems likely won't get control (The Dems will win AZ and CO Senate races and may defeat the nutjob running in GA in a January runoff but will lose Bama. That's only +2 and the Dems will need another one for control if Biden wins).
 
#6,417
#6,417
BigOrangeMojo said:
Supposedly about 30% chance the Republicans keep control of the Senate (Either with 51 or more) or with 50 and Trump re-elected.

This is up from 20% in the past few days as the Republican candidates have narrowed gaps in polls in ME, NC, and IA. If the Rs win those 3, then the Dems likely won't get control (The Dems will win AZ and CO Senate races and may defeat the nutjob running in GA in a January runoff but will lose Bama. That's only +2 and the Dems will need another one for control if Biden wins).
Click to expand...

This election is really hard to predict. I think that there are so many people on either side that are not showing their hand. It is so toxic. My parents’ neighborhood is full of Biden signs and the Trump yard signs get stolen if they are planted. Disagree with a Facebook opinion and be prepared to be blasted with hostility. Ds versus Rs used to be friendly discussions. We’ve devolved.
 
  • Like
Reactions: VolAllen
#6,418
#6,418
Thunder Good-Oil said:
This election is really hard to predict. I think that there are so many people on either side that are not showing their hand. It is so toxic. My parents’ neighborhood is full of Biden signs and the Trump yard signs get stolen if they are planted. Disagree with a Facebook opinion and be prepared to be blasted with hostility. Ds versus Rs used to be friendly discussions. We’ve devolved.
Click to expand...
Well, I’ll put it this way....they’re not boarding up the cities to protect them from rioting Republicans. So the hostility is obviously coming from the other side.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Orange_Vol1321, loosedog and mr.checkerboards
#6,419
#6,419
Thunder Good-Oil said:
This election is really hard to predict. I think that there are so many people on either side that are not showing their hand. It is so toxic. My parents’ neighborhood is full of Biden signs and the Trump yard signs get stolen if they are planted. Disagree with a Facebook opinion and be prepared to be blasted with hostility. Ds versus Rs used to be friendly discussions. We’ve devolved.
Click to expand...

We had our neighborhood "Dominos Pizza Warrior" call the cops on a Halloween hayride through the neighborhood that had a Trump flag on it. Me and the wife have a no yard signs rule for this reason.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: VolAllen
#6,420
#6,420
VolAllen said:
Well, I’ll put it this way....they’re not boarding up the cities to protect them from rioting Republicans. So the hostility is obviously coming from the other side.
Click to expand...

The liberal hissy fit over the Biden Bus in Texas was hilarious. Especially after the crickets during the “peaceful protests”.
I still think it’s going to be President Biden. The Trump hate is going to result in an apparently cognitively impaired guy with a really sketchy history being our POTUS. It is really shocking.
 
  • Like
Reactions: mr.checkerboards and VolAllen
#6,421
#6,421
Thunder Good-Oil said:
The liberal hissy fit over the Biden Bus in Texas was hilarious. Especially after the crickets during the “peaceful protests”.
I still think it’s going to be President Biden. The Trump hate is going to result in an apparently cognitively impaired guy with a really sketchy history being our POTUS. It is really shocking.
Click to expand...
I’m not so sure
 
#6,422
#6,422
Thunder Good-Oil said:
The liberal hissy fit over the Biden Bus in Texas was hilarious. Especially after the crickets during the “peaceful protests”.
I still think it’s going to be President Biden. The Trump hate is going to result in an apparently cognitively impaired guy with a really sketchy history being our POTUS. It is really shocking.
Click to expand...
You mean comrade Kamala. Biden will be out of the seat before he can take the oath if he wins.
 
#6,423
#6,423
Thunder Good-Oil said:
FAZ is just above a multi-year low. Triple leveraged short financial ETF. Somebody talk me out of pulling the trigger.
Click to expand...

I like trading 3x etfs around binary events such as elections, but I wouldn't want to be 3x short financials with the volatility showing up in the bond market right now.
 
#6,424
#6,424
mr.checkerboards said:
You mean comrade Kamala. Biden will be out of the seat before he can take the oath if he wins.
Click to expand...

I’ve wondered how that is handled if the guy elected doesn’t make it to Inauguration Day. I assume that Kamala slides right in. It would be historic. And is Biden 46 and Kamala 47? On that, I assume that Biden wouldn’t be considered a POTUS until after taking the oath. So I think that Kamala would be 46 and Joe is nothing. The opposite of Ford. Ford is the only POTUS that never received a vote as Prez or VP. Joe would be the only person elected POTUS that never became POTUS. But saying all that, I think they’ll prop him up Weekend at Bernie’s style if it comes to that.
 
  • Like
Reactions: mr.checkerboards
#6,425
#6,425
Thunder Good-Oil said:
I’ve wondered how that is handled if the guy elected doesn’t make it to Inauguration Day. I assume that Kamala slides right in. It would be historic. And is Biden 46 and Kamala 47? On that, I assume that Biden wouldn’t be considered a POTUS until after taking the oath. So I think that Kamala would be 46 and Joe is nothing. The opposite of Ford. Ford is the only POTUS that never received a vote as Prez or VP. Joe would be the only person elected POTUS that never became POTUS. But saying all that, I think they’ll prop him up Weekend at Bernie’s style if it comes to that.
Click to expand...
I dont know. I'll look it up later. Imo he doesn't count
 
New posts
You must log in or register to reply here.

VN Store



Back
Top