All things STOCKS

#12,101
#12,101
mrorange211 said:
BoE already starting QE again after ending it last week.
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They're planning to pay a lot for energy this winter also. Basically a focused helicopter money.

People are all focused on energy, because they buy it, but basic chemicals are going to be tight. Now that there are holes in the nordstream pipelines, it's going to at least create a certainty the gas isn't coming back on today or tomorrow. The chemical shortage is very investable based on geography. Wherever the problem is not, the chemicals will simply be worth more. I think for the most part, investors have already seen this and prices are already up. By the stock market sense of time, the problem will hopefully be short lived and people will be pricing in the later collapse while the party is still going on.
 
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#12,102
#12,102
I was fully invested on Monday, and then cashed out at open. I don't not trust the geopolitical situation between Russia/USA rn. USA blew up the pipeline, and they have now advised all citizens to leave Russia immediately.
 
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#12,103
#12,103
mrorange211 said:
I was fully invested on Monday, and then cashed out at open. I don't not trust the geopolitical situation between Russia/USA rn. USA blew up the pipeline, and they have now advised all citizens to leave Russia immediately.
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It’s just one theory that the US blew up the pipelines. Russia sabotaging it themselves and blaming the US is my guess.
 
#12,105
#12,105
mrorange211 said:
Consider the motives. Who has the most to lose/win? That will lead you to the answer.
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The US would piss off our European allies. It’s not worth it.

Ukraine and Germany don’t make sense. Germany needs it. Ukraine is allowing others to flow over their territory. Russia. Russia. Russia. Pootin is unstable enough to do it.
 
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#12,108
#12,108
FduzBaEaEAAWl4D
 
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#12,109
#12,109
mrorange211 said:
Consider the motives. Who has the most to lose/win? That will lead you to the answer.
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That would be Poland. Was that what you meant? Probably not.

I'm sure, in the 1970's, I knew a Polish Navy joke, but I'm struggling to remember it.

My guess is certainly the USA but I have no idea why the USA would do that.
 
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#12,112
#12,112
LABU shares also have strong volume, I think that the shares could have a strong run up. So I’m trying to sell a couple of put contracts and don’t care at all to be assigned. There would be about a 10% return at the get go.
 
#12,118
#12,118
LABU has a market cap under $100 million. It has already traded over three times that amount so far today. The spread is a penny. It trades WEEKLY options. Speculation on the security is off the charts. And a triple levered heath care fund isn’t a bad idea at this level IMO.

I doubt that my limit to buy LABU 221007 P 7.5 will hit today unless there is another afternoon crash.

Certainly don’t put 10% of your investment capital in the shares or the short put position. Even 1% is risky.
 
#12,119
#12,119
Velo Vol said:
I don't really understand how the daily leveraged products work, beyond the fact that they go down further on the down days than they go up on the up days.
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A regular fund just takes in cash and buys shares. A levered fund uses margin and derivatives. A 3x ETF is seeking to have returns of 3x the underlying securities. The inverse is also true - it will fall 3x as much. They are not suggested for long term holds as they reset daily. More of a trading vehicle. However I have broken that rule with CURE especially. A lot of the 3x ETFs slowly degrade towards zero and go through multiple reverse splits.
 
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#12,120
#12,120
Velo Vol said:
I don't really understand how the daily leveraged products work, beyond the fact that they go down further on the down days than they go up on the up days.
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Once I was told basically how they work, I determined they were nothing I was interested in. Lots of leverage, lots of speculation, lots of movement. Considering I am a buy and hold person, to me they seem akin to short term gambling but others obviously disagree.

Shoot, I have been reading up on covered calls here and elsewhere, and feel fairly familiar enough with them to try, but I haven’t yet. A 3X anything isn’t in my universe. I did buy some CRWD and LRCX on Monday.
 
#12,121
#12,121
SAVE is down to about $20.
Could be a 50%+ return although not until 2024. Still a very good return.
I don't see the merger being turned down, but you never know.
 
#12,122
#12,122
@1RBFjr said:
Once I was told basically how they work, I determined they were nothing I was interested in. Lots of leverage, lots of speculation, lots of movement. Considering I am a buy and hold person, to me they seem akin to short term gambling but others obviously disagree.

Shoot, I have been reading up on covered calls here and elsewhere, and feel fairly familiar enough with them to try, but I haven’t yet. A 3X anything isn’t in my universe. I did buy some CRWD and LRCX on Monday.
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The 3x ETFs are less risky than buying options in the sense that options will go to zero value the majority of the time. I kind of like the bull 3x ETFs if they cover a good theme (like healthcare or the S&P 500, QQQs, or Diamonds if the timing is good). The 3x bear ETFs are limited in that the underlying securities can’t drop below zero.
 
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#12,123
#12,123
Go aeiou said:
SAVE is down to about $20.
Could be a 50%+ return although not until 2024. Still a very good return.
I don't see the merger being turned down, but you never know.
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The voting date for SAVE shareholders has been set for 10/19. $2.50/share is owed to them by Jetblue upon approval. Shares fell due to hurricane Ian disrupting routes in Florida and the Dems forcing fees added to airline tickets to be disclosed.

If approved, SAVE shareholders will immediately receive $2.50/share. Then $0.10/share beginning in January. Once the deal goes through SAVE shareholders will receive $31/share in cash.

The biggest risk by far is the federal government blocking the deal. But JetBlue is investing a huge amount of money in making the deal happen and they have hired a very successful law firm to make it happen. Overlapping routes are already being sold off.
 
#12,124
#12,124
Thunder Good-Oil said:
The voting date for SAVE shareholders has been set for 10/19. $2.50/share is owed to them by Jetblue upon approval. Shares fell due to hurricane Ian disrupting routes in Florida and the Dems forcing fees added to airline tickets to be disclosed.

If approved, SAVE shareholders will immediately receive $2.50/share. Then $0.10/share beginning in January. Once the deal goes through SAVE shareholders will receive $31/share in cash.

The biggest risk by far is the federal government blocking the deal. But JetBlue is investing a huge amount of money in making the deal happen and they have hired a very successful law firm to make it happen. Overlapping routes are already being sold off.
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Ha, have you ever flown on Spirit? Yuck! You book a flight and then you start adding on all the extras. Never again.
UAL, AAL, and JBLU are all up today.
 
#12,125
#12,125
Go aeiou said:
Ha, have you ever flown on Spirit? Yuck! You book a flight and then you start adding on all the extras. Never again.
UAL, AAL, and JBLU are all up today.
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$20/share today is too much. There will be at least $33.50/share no later than 2024. Even if the government blocks the deal, SAVE is an investable company. Plus the $2.50/share is 12.5%.
 
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